Issued 2026-09-16 at $112.15 · now $112.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IRM has typically landed between $99.36 and $129.29 — a range of −11.4% to +15.3% from the issuance price $112.15.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($112.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IRM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $112.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $112.15 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $114.76 (+2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $107.72–$121.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $99.36–$129.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −33.4% | −33.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −32.7% | −32.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −32.3% | −32.3% | +0.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +40.2% | −0.8% | +40.2% |
| 2009-03-06 | +38.2% | −0.8% | +40.2% |
| 2009-03-09 | +36.3% | +0.0% | +41.4% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$-30.09
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$29.91
- Analyst target · range $130.00–$143.00$140.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$112.15
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 20,952 @ $114.14 | $2.4M | −77.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,190 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 11,332 @ $113.45 | $1.3M | −29.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,142 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 6,101 @ $115.00 | $702K | −98.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 89 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $115.60 | $694K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.60 | $578K | −6.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 75,634 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 89 @ $116.00 | $10K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 18,780 @ $121.10 | $2.3M | −48.8% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,694 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 16,785 @ $122.11 | $2.0M | −85.2% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,909 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $122.70 | $736K | −5.6% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,507 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 2,909 @ $122.75 | $357K | −100.0% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Sale | 6,839 @ $127.13 | $869K | −7.8% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,634 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $127.13 | $636K | −5.8% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,634 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 17,514 @ $121.81 | $2.1M | −45.5% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,960 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 9,656 @ $122.84 | $1.2M | −46.1% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,304 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 7,173 @ $123.84 | $888K | −63.5% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,131 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $125.62 | $754K | −5.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 107,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 2,530 @ $125.82 | $318K | −100.0% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 1,601 @ $124.72 | $200K | −38.8% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,530 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 10,457 @ $127.00 | $1.3M | −36.9% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,861 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 10,156 @ $126.20 | $1.3M | −26.4% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,318 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 9,247 @ $129.14 | $1.2M | −89.4% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,091 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 7,523 @ $127.90 | $962K | −42.1% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,338 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $126.70 | $760K | −5.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 113,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 1,091 @ $129.66 | $141K | −100.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Borges Daniel | officer | Sale | 7,189 @ $125.50 | $902K | −100.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | RAKOWICH WALTER C | director | Sale | 757 @ $124.45 | $94K | −40.0% of holding | +4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,135 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Arway Pamela M | director | Sale | 1,892 @ $128.97 | $244K | −4.5% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,196 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 23,598 @ $129.19 | $3.0M | −100.0% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 14,876 @ $128.52 | $1.9M | −38.7% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,598 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $127.91 | $767K | −4.8% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 119,507 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 38,474 @ $102.71 | $4.0M | −100.0% of holding | +16.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $102.71 | $616K | −4.6% of holding | +16.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Bhargava Mithu | officer | Sale | 20,462 @ $104.30 | $2.1M | −41.8% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Bhargava Mithu | officer | Sale | 14,260 @ $104.25 | $1.5M | −18.8% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 61,519 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Bhargava Mithu | officer | Sale | 12,537 @ $105.04 | $1.3M | −20.4% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,982 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Bhargava Mithu | officer | Sale | 12,446 @ $105.13 | $1.3M | −43.7% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,054 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Bhargava Mithu | officer | Sale | 20 @ $105.64 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,962 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 38,021 @ $107.02 | $4.1M | −100.0% of holding | +1.1% | −5.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 34,358 @ $106.15 | $3.6M | −47.5% of holding | +1.1% | −5.3% | 38,021 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 26,278 @ $105.26 | $2.8M | −26.6% of holding | +1.1% | −5.3% | 72,379 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 70,971 @ $107.52 | $7.6M | −41.8% of holding | +0.6% | −7.0% | 98,657 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 27,688 @ $106.96 | $3.0M | −14.0% of holding | +0.6% | −7.0% | 169,628 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 30,940 @ $107.43 | $3.3M | −12.2% of holding | −2.1% | −5.0% | 223,085 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 25,769 @ $107.94 | $2.8M | −11.6% of holding | −2.1% | −5.0% | 197,316 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 23,590 @ $105.25 | $2.5M | −8.0% of holding | −2.1% | −5.0% | 272,385 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 18,360 @ $106.33 | $2.0M | −6.7% of holding | −2.1% | −5.0% | 254,025 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 41,456 @ $110.05 | $4.6M | −12.2% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 299,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 37,296 @ $109.07 | $4.1M | −9.9% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 340,631 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 18,117 @ $110.02 | $2.0M | −5.7% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 297,799 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 16,457 @ $108.91 | $1.8M | −5.0% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 315,916 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 13,778 @ $108.27 | $1.5M | −3.5% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 377,927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Allerton Jennifer | director | Sale | 7,000 @ $108.88 | $762K | −37.8% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 11,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $107.27 | $644K | −4.4% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 131,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 3,200 @ $110.74 | $354K | −1.1% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 295,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 2,929 @ $107.16 | $314K | −0.7% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 391,705 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 2,076 @ $107.95 | $224K | −0.6% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 332,373 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 1,824 @ $110.64 | $202K | −0.6% of holding | −1.7% | −6.2% | 295,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 38,474 @ $108.17 | $4.2M | −100.0% of holding | −2.1% | +0.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Kidd Mark | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $108.17 | $649K | −10.9% of holding | −2.1% | +0.6% | 49,081 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Meaney William L | director | Sale | 25,809 @ $82.99 | $2.1M | −67.1% of holding | +5.5% | +31.1% | 12,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
185 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 38,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 115,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 115,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 115,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 115,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 38,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 153,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 153,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 153,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 153,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Option exercise | 6,839 | 87,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Option exercise | 6,839 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Option exercise | 6,839 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Option exercise | 6,839 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | McIntosh Greg W | officer | Option exercise | 6,839 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Simons Doyle | director | Award / grant | 339 | 46,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Samuels Theodore R. II | director | Award / grant | 99 | 13,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Samuels Theodore R. II | director | Award / grant | 311 | 13,701 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 38,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 192,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 192,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 38,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 230,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 230,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 38,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 269,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Meaney William L | director | Option exercise | 38,474 | 269,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Allerton Jennifer | director | Withheld for tax | 133 | 13,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Samuels Theodore R. II | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 13,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | FORD MONTE E | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 31,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Matlock Robin | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 30,451 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | DAUTEN KENT P | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 1,209,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Felix June Yee | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 4,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | RAKOWICH WALTER C | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 1,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Kelly Christie B. | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 3,211 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Arway Pamela M | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 42,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Allerton Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 13,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Simons Doyle | director | Award / grant | 1,892 | 1,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | RAKOWICH WALTER C | director | Gift | 1,600 | 23,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Simons Doyle | director | Award / grant | 380 | 45,874 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-03-02 | 2026-02-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-23 | $1–15K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $15–50K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-10-03 | 2025-09-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-08-07 | 2025-07-25 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-08-07 | 2025-07-25 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-04-10 | 2025-03-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-19 | $1–15K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | purchase | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-03 | $1–15K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | purchase | 2025-01-31 | 2025-01-02 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.