IRENIREN LimitedTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.62 · now $42.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IREN has typically landed between $25.63 and $78.67 — a range of −39.9% to +84.6% from the issuance price $42.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,189 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IREN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$25.63worst · -39.9%$78.67best · +84.6%
  • now $42.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $42.43 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $31.77–$53.09
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.63–$78.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,189 windows spanning 2021-11-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-14−60.3%−60.3%+0.0%
2022-10-28−57.6%−57.6%+0.0%
2022-10-31−56.0%−56.6%+0.0%
3 best
2024-05-14+181.3%+0.0%+181.3%
2024-05-13+179.4%+0.0%+179.4%
2023-11-21+167.6%+0.0%+167.6%

1,189 overlapping windows · 2021-11-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+10.8%
n=5
Feb
60%
+10.1%
n=5
Mar
40%
−7.1%
n=5
Apr
60%
−0.1%
n=5
May
60%
+22.8%
n=5
Jun
60%
+15.5%
n=5
Jul
60%
+8.3%
n=5
Aug
60%
+3.8%
n=5
Sep
80%
+15.4%
n=5
Oct
50%
+0.7%
n=4
Nov
50%
+7.7%
n=4
Dec
20%
−6.1%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$76$182025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $434K — Guzowski Christopher2025-09-11: 2 insider sales, $66.3M — Roberts Daniel John, Roberts William Gregory2025-09-04: 2 insider sales, $23.5M — Roberts William Gregory, Roberts Daniel John2025-09-03: 2 insider sales, $25.5M — Roberts Daniel John, Roberts William Gregory2025-09: 7 open-market sales, $115.7M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Guzowski Christopher — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 288 days after the tradedirector Roberts Daniel John — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed same daydirector Roberts William Gregory — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed same daydirector Roberts William Gregory — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roberts Daniel John — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roberts Daniel John — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Roberts William Gregory — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-09-16Guzowski ChristopherdirectorSale11,958 @ $36.32$434K−23.4% of holding+85.4%+15.0%39,168Form 4 · filed 288 days after the trade
2025-09-11Roberts Daniel JohndirectorSale1,000,000 @ $33.13$33.1M−6.7% of holding+82.4%+25.3%13,989,696Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-11Roberts William GregorydirectorSale1,000,000 @ $33.13$33.1M−6.7% of holding+82.4%+25.3%13,989,696Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-04Roberts William GregorydirectorSale500,000 @ $23.51$11.8M−100.0% of holding+89.7%+36.3%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-04Roberts Daniel JohndirectorSale500,000 @ $23.51$11.8M−100.0% of holding+89.7%+36.3%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03Roberts Daniel JohndirectorSale500,000 @ $25.49$12.7M−50.0% of holding+62.4%+35.8%500,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-03Roberts William GregorydirectorSale500,000 @ $25.49$12.7M−50.0% of holding+62.4%+35.8%500,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Lewis Anthony JofficerAward / grant26,968221,483Form 4
2026-07-01ALFRED MICHAELdirectorAward / grant6,657127,606Form 4
2026-07-01Bartholomew David JamesdirectorAward / grant8,369153,574Form 4
2026-07-01Guzowski ChristopherdirectorAward / grant6,65745,825Form 4
2026-07-01Roberts William GregorydirectorAward / grant9,099,32823,089,024Form 4
2026-07-01Roberts William GregorydirectorAward / grant552,19723,641,221Form 4
2026-07-01Roberts Daniel JohndirectorAward / grant9,099,32823,089,024Form 4
2026-07-01Roberts Daniel JohndirectorAward / grant552,19723,641,221Form 4
2026-07-01Parasuraman SunitadirectorAward / grant6,65776,691Form 4
2025-07-01Nucifora BelindaofficerAward / grant63,910349,798Form 4
2025-07-01Bartholomew David JamesdirectorAward / grant48,960145,205Form 4
2025-07-01Roberts William GregorydirectorAward / grant1,793,39214,989,696Form 4
2025-07-01Guzowski ChristopherdirectorAward / grant39,16851,126Form 4
2025-07-01ALFRED MICHAELdirectorAward / grant39,168120,949Form 4
2025-07-01Parasuraman SunitadirectorAward / grant39,16870,034Form 4
2025-07-01Roberts Daniel JohndirectorAward / grant1,793,39214,989,696Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.