IRIngersoll Rand Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.44 · now $71.44 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IR has typically landed between $62.04 and $81.15 — a range of −13.2% to +13.6% from the issuance price $71.44.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,328 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.44) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.44 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$62.04worst · -13.2%$81.15best · +13.6%
  • now $71.44 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.53 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $68.39–$76.67
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $62.04–$81.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,328 windows spanning 2017-05-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−48.3%−49.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−48.1%−49.1%+0.0%
2020-02-18−47.6%−47.6%+2.9%
3 best
2020-03-18+39.5%+0.0%+39.5%
2020-03-23+37.5%+0.0%+37.5%
2020-03-20+34.6%−0.5%+36.7%

2,328 overlapping windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$33.0B
market cap
$1.48
EPS (TTM)
57.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$7.7B
'20'25
Net income$581M
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr7.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr5.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.48
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $71.44$40.20$115.17
  • DCF (intrinsic)$49.48
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$45.37
  • Analyst target · range $80.00–$110.00$89.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$71.44

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+2.7%
n=9
Feb
56%
+1.4%
n=9
Mar
44%
−3.3%
n=9
Apr
44%
+2.2%
n=9
May
56%
+0.7%
n=9
Jun
50%
+0.8%
n=10
Jul
70%
+4.4%
n=10
Aug
40%
−1.4%
n=10
Sep
60%
+0.7%
n=10
Oct
44%
+2.2%
n=9
Nov
89%
+9.3%
n=9
Dec
56%
+0.0%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$99$692026-08-03: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Satpathy Aurobind2026-04-13: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — Reynal Vicente2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $11.1M — Reynal Vicente2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — Kini Vikram2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $412K — Humphrey John2026-02-18: 1 insider sale, $90K — Reynal Vicente2026-02-17: 6 insider sales, $10.2M — Reynal Vicente, Hepding Elizabeth Meloy, Schiesl Andrew R, Keene Kathleen M. …2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $5.6M — Reynal Vicente2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $44K — Reynal Vicente2026-02-04: 5 insider sales, $8.8M — Reynal Vicente …2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $914K — Reynal Vicente2026-01-16: 1 insider sale, $16.8M — Reynal Vicente2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $119K — Scheske Michael J2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $119K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $16.8M2026-02: 17 open-market sales, $28.8M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $11.1M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $2.7M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Satpathy Aurobind — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-04-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kini Vikram — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Humphrey John — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hepding Elizabeth Meloy — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schiesl Andrew R — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Keene Kathleen M. — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Scheske Michael J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Scheske Michael J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reynal Vicente — Sale on 2026-01-16, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Scheske Michael J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Satpathy AurobinddirectorPurchase11,538 @ $86.68$1.0Mownership Δ n/a−15.5%not yet — horizon still open11,538Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-13Reynal VicentedirectorSale30,492 @ $88.00$2.7M−12.7% of holding−24.1%not yet — horizon still open209,534Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Reynal VicentedirectorSale118,044 @ $94.11$11.1M−36.0% of holding−9.7%−30.3%209,534Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-20Kini VikramdirectorSale28,367 @ $96.50$2.7M−22.4% of holding−9.2%−27.4%98,517Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-19Humphrey JohndirectorSale4,300 @ $95.90$412K−15.2% of holding−10.4%−29.5%23,983Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-18Reynal VicentedirectorSale900 @ $100.00$90K−0.5% of holding−11.6%−29.1%193,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Reynal VicentedirectorSale36,482 @ $97.50$3.6M−15.9% of holding−13.8%−31.2%193,186Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorSale18,246 @ $97.11$1.8M−53.0% of holding−13.8%−31.2%16,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Schiesl Andrew RofficerSale18,000 @ $98.00$1.8M−61.2% of holding−13.8%−31.2%11,405Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Keene Kathleen M.officerSale12,000 @ $99.46$1.2M−77.3% of holding−13.8%−31.2%3,528Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Scheske Michael JofficerSale11,479 @ $97.11$1.1M−48.6% of holding−13.8%−31.2%12,153Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Scheske Michael JofficerSale7,643 @ $98.50$753K−38.6% of holding−13.8%−31.2%12,153Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Reynal VicentedirectorSale55,870 @ $100.39$5.6M−19.6% of holding−13.0%−30.3%229,668Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-11Reynal VicentedirectorSale440 @ $100.00$44K−0.2% of holding−10.8%−25.9%229,668Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Reynal VicentedirectorSale39,585 @ $98.50$3.9M−16.6% of holding−9.2%−22.0%198,985Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Reynal VicentedirectorSale37,618 @ $97.50$3.7M−13.6% of holding−9.2%−22.0%238,570Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Reynal VicentedirectorSale5,799 @ $99.13$575K−2.9% of holding−9.2%−22.0%193,186Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Reynal VicentedirectorSale4,564 @ $96.44$440K−1.6% of holding−9.2%−22.0%276,188Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Reynal VicentedirectorSale2,715 @ $95.32$259K−1.0% of holding−9.2%−22.0%280,752Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Reynal VicentedirectorSale9,719 @ $94.00$914K−4.8% of holding−2.2%−16.1%193,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-16Reynal VicentedirectorSale191,000 @ $88.12$16.8M−49.7% of holding+11.0%−16.9%193,186Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-01Scheske Michael JofficerSale1,477 @ $80.63$119K−10.8% of holding−0.5%−23.0%12,153Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

278 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerWithheld for tax42968,406Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorWithheld for tax390103,095Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorWithheld for tax18917,764Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerWithheld for tax1565,582Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise483967Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise9671,934Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise435870Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise8981,796Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Hepding Elizabeth MeloydirectorOption exercise43517,953Form 4
2026-08-20Kini VikramdirectorOption exercise898103,485Form 4
2026-08-20Weatherred Michael AofficerOption exercise96768,835Form 4
2026-08-20Keene Kathleen M.officerOption exercise4835,738Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerWithheld for tax3451,868Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerOption exercise756757Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerOption exercise7562,213Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerOption exercise7562,213Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerOption exercise7562,213Form 4
2026-08-17Emmerich Matthew JofficerOption exercise7562,213Form 4
2026-08-06Schiesl Andrew RofficerWithheld for tax16014,038Form 4
2026-08-06Weatherred Michael AofficerWithheld for tax10967,868Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-01-132025-01-31$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132024-10-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-25$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-09-122025-05-21$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.