IPXIperionX LimitedBasic Materials · Industrial Materialsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.23 · now $19.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IPX has typically landed between $13.93 and $27.00 — a range of −27.6% to +40.4% from the issuance price $19.23.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,041 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-06-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IPX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.93worst · -27.6%$27best · +40.4%
  • now $19.23 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $19.96 (+3.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $16.94–$22.98
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.93–$27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,041 windows spanning 2022-06-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-02-25−53.6%−53.6%+6.5%
2026-02-26−52.1%−54.5%+4.5%
2026-02-27−50.5%−54.8%+3.8%
3 best
2025-12-22+74.5%+0.0%+74.5%
2025-12-19+68.2%+0.0%+68.2%
2023-03-24+67.9%+0.0%+74.7%

1,041 overlapping windows · 2022-06-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+19.4%
n=4
Feb
25%
+1.8%
n=4
Mar
0%
−21.3%
n=4
Apr
75%
+23.1%
n=4
May
75%
+5.2%
n=4
Jun
50%
+4.5%
n=4
Jul
40%
−1.6%
n=5
Aug
100%
+17.6%
n=5
Sep
60%
+4.6%
n=5
Oct
0%
−13.2%
n=4
Nov
75%
+9.0%
n=4
Dec
50%
+4.9%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$60$182026-07-14: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Tripeny R Tony2026-07-13: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Hannigan Todd2026-07-10: 4 insider purchases, $1.5M — Hannigan Todd, Arima Anastasios, Martin Lorraine M, Symonds Toby Edgcumbe2026-04-29: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Hannigan Todd2026-04-28: 4 insider purchases, $1.7M — Hannigan Todd, Arima Anastasios, Martin Lorraine M, Symonds Toby Edgcumbe2026-03-27: 5 insider purchases, $2.9M — Arima Anastasios, Hannigan Todd, Symonds Toby Edgcumbe, Tripeny R Tony …2026-03: 5 open-market purchases, $2.9M2026-04: 5 open-market purchases, $2.8M2026-07: 6 open-market purchases, $2.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Tripeny R Tony — Purchase on 2026-07-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hannigan Todd — Purchase on 2026-07-13, filed same daydirector Hannigan Todd — Purchase on 2026-07-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Arima Anastasios — Purchase on 2026-07-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Martin Lorraine M — Purchase on 2026-07-10, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Symonds Toby Edgcumbe — Purchase on 2026-07-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hannigan Todd — Purchase on 2026-04-29, filed same daydirector Hannigan Todd — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Arima Anastasios — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Martin Lorraine M — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Symonds Toby Edgcumbe — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Arima Anastasios — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hannigan Todd — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Arima Anastasios — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Symonds Toby Edgcumbe — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Tripeny R Tony — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14Tripeny R TonydirectorPurchase3,846 @ $26.00$100K+91.9% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open8,033Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13Hannigan TodddirectorPurchase300,000 @ $3.59$1.1M+1.1% of holding−0.5%not yet — horizon still open26,633,334Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-10Hannigan TodddirectorPurchase225,000 @ $3.58$805K+0.9% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open26,333,334Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10Arima AnastasiosdirectorPurchase138,720 @ $3.58$497K+1.1% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open12,455,502Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10Martin Lorraine MdirectorPurchase4,100 @ $24.51$100K+86.2% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open8,855Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerPurchase2,040 @ $24.55$50K+5.5% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open39,040Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-29Hannigan TodddirectorPurchase260,000 @ $4.20$1.1M+1.0% of holding+36.1%not yet — horizon still open26,108,334Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28Hannigan TodddirectorPurchase220,000 @ $4.48$986K+0.9% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open25,848,334Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Arima AnastasiosdirectorPurchase110,000 @ $4.49$494K+0.9% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open12,316,782Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-28Martin Lorraine MdirectorPurchase4,755 @ $31.46$150Kownership Δ n/a+22.7%not yet — horizon still open4,755Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-28Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerPurchase3,000 @ $30.63$92K+8.8% of holding+22.7%not yet — horizon still open37,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-27Arima AnastasiosdirectorPurchase467,000 @ $3.20$1.5M+4.0% of holding+20.5%not yet — horizon still open12,206,782Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Hannigan TodddirectorPurchase225,225 @ $3.20$721K+0.9% of holding+20.5%not yet — horizon still open25,628,334Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Arima AnastasiosdirectorPurchase12,800 @ $23.41$300Kownership Δ n/a+20.5%not yet — horizon still open12,800Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerPurchase11,000 @ $23.87$263Kownership Δ n/a+20.5%not yet — horizon still open11,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Tripeny R TonydirectorPurchase4,187 @ $23.76$99Kownership Δ n/a+20.5%not yet — horizon still open4,187Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

22 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15Wyse BeverlydirectorExercise106,0930Form 4
2026-07-15Wyse BeverlydirectorOption exercise106,093745,868Form 4
2026-04-02Arima AnastasiosdirectorAward / grant639,205639,205Form 4
2026-04-02Arima AnastasiosdirectorAward / grant564,759564,759Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant226,047226,047Form 4
2026-04-02Arima AnastasiosdirectorAward / grant237,944237,944Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant196,086196,086Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant465,410465,410Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant526,760526,760Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant536,521536,521Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant607,244607,244Form 4
2026-04-02Castro Marcela RochaofficerAward / grant52,258214,259Form 4
2026-04-02Castro Marcela RochaofficerAward / grant127,993127,993Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant465,410465,410Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant526,760526,760Form 4
2026-04-02Arima AnastasiosdirectorAward / grant237,944237,944Form 4
2026-04-02Castro Marcela RochaofficerAward / grant52,258214,259Form 4
2026-04-02Castro Marcela RochaofficerAward / grant127,993127,993Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant226,047226,047Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant536,521536,521Form 4
2026-04-02Symonds Toby EdgcumbeofficerAward / grant607,244607,244Form 4
2026-04-02Hannigan TodddirectorAward / grant196,086196,086Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.