IPCX · TickerCove

IPCXInflection Point Acquisition Corp. IIIFinancial Services · Shell Companiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.85 · now $1.85 (2026-09-08, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IPCX has typically landed between $1.82 and $1.87 — a range of −1.4% to +1.2% from the issuance price $1.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

275 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-06-16 – 2026-07-21 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$1.85 · 0% of range

$1.85 low$10.51 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-08 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.2%

typical move · IQR 0.8%

−1.4%worst (p90)+1.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where IPCX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $1.85 (+0.0%)
typical $1.85 (+0.2%)
middle 50% $1.85–$1.86
90% range $1.82–$1.87

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 275 windows spanning 2025-06-16 to 2026-09-08. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-07-21	−82.2%	−82.2%	+1.0%
2026-07-20	−78.8%	−78.8%	+1.1%
2026-07-17	−75.6%	−75.6%	+1.1%
3 best
2026-06-25	+1.8%	+0.0%	+1.8%
2025-09-24	+1.7%	+0.0%	+1.7%
2025-10-07	+1.7%	+0.0%	+1.7%

275 overlapping windows · 2025-06-16 – 2026-09-08 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+0.1%

n=1

Feb

100%

+0.4%

n=1

Mar

100%

+0.3%

n=1

Apr

100%

+0.8%

n=1

May

100%

+0.2%

n=1

Jun

100%

+0.1%

n=1

Jul

−7.9%

n=2

Aug

−37.7%

n=2

Sep

−8.2%

n=2

Oct

100%

+1.2%

n=1

Nov

−1.0%

n=1

Dec

100%

+0.5%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	8,433,333	8,933,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	50,000	8,983,333	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	8,433,333	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Option exercise	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-01-01	BLITZER MICHAEL	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-01-01	BLITZER MICHAEL	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-01-01	BLITZER MICHAEL	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-01-01	BLITZER MICHAEL	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2025-04-28	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	500,000	500,000	Form 4
2025-04-28	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	500,000	500,000	Form 4
2025-04-28	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	500,000	500,000	Form 4
2025-04-28	Inflection Point Holdings III LLC	director	Award / grant	500,000	500,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i