IOSPInnospec Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $92.93 · now $92.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IOSP has typically landed between $82.17 and $103.68 — a range of −11.6% to +11.6% from the issuance price $92.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($92.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IOSP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $92.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$82.17worst · -11.6%$103.68best · +11.6%
  • now $92.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $93.6 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $88.8–$98.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $82.17–$103.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-16−55.3%−55.3%+9.8%
2008-09-26−53.8%−53.8%+0.0%
2008-09-15−53.2%−53.2%+15.1%
3 best
2009-04-06+128.0%−2.5%+130.8%
2009-04-03+117.2%−8.3%+117.2%
2009-03-30+111.3%+0.0%+111.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Feb
45%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
55%
+1.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+6.8%
n=20
May
50%
+1.7%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Jul
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Sep
35%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Nov
70%
+4.3%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$96$652026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $78K — Jones David B.2026-02-27: 5 insider sales, $328K — Cleminson Ian, LANDLESS DAVID, PADFIELD Larry, Blackmore Milton C …2026-02-20: 2 insider sales, $169K — Blackmore Milton C, PADFIELD Larry2025-11-14: 1 insider purchase, $25K — PARRETTE LESLIE J2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $25K2026-02: 7 open-market sales, $496K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $78K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Jones David B. — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same dayofficer Cleminson Ian — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LANDLESS DAVID — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PADFIELD Larry — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Blackmore Milton C — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Poccia Claudia — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Blackmore Milton C — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PADFIELD Larry — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PARRETTE LESLIE J — Purchase on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-03Jones David B.officerSale1,028 @ $75.64$78K−6.5% of holding−0.2%+10.1%14,693Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Cleminson IanofficerSale2,380 @ $76.56$182K−10.5% of holding+3.2%+13.3%20,357Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27LANDLESS DAVIDdirectorSale594 @ $76.56$45K−7.2% of holding+3.2%+13.3%7,632Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27PADFIELD LarrydirectorSale594 @ $76.56$45K−5.9% of holding+3.2%+13.3%9,453Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Blackmore Milton CdirectorSale594 @ $76.56$45K−5.3% of holding+3.2%+13.3%10,530Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Poccia ClaudiadirectorSale119 @ $76.56$9K−1.8% of holding+3.2%+13.3%6,508Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Blackmore Milton CdirectorSale1,030 @ $81.84$84K−9.7% of holding−12.4%+5.0%9,585Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20PADFIELD LarrydirectorSale1,030 @ $81.84$84K−10.8% of holding−12.4%+5.0%8,508Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14PARRETTE LESLIE JdirectorPurchase340 @ $74.09$25K+6.2% of holding+5.5%−3.6%5,837Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-13PARRETTE LESLIE JdirectorSale270 @ $90.60$24K−4.5% of holding−5.6%−32.6%5,673Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13PARRETTE LESLIE JdirectorSale176 @ $90.68$16K−3.1% of holding−5.6%−32.6%5,497Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Cleminson IanofficerSale4,275 @ $100.98$432K−21.2% of holding−1.3%−21.9%15,858Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24BARNES CORBINofficerSale598 @ $103.06$62K−6.9% of holding−1.2%−22.5%8,051Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21BOON PHILIP JOHNofficerSale3,754 @ $103.30$388K−15.8% of holding−0.9%−23.1%20,079Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21Jones David B.officerSale3,091 @ $103.30$319K−24.2% of holding−0.9%−23.1%9,664Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21BARNES CORBINofficerSale2,692 @ $103.30$278K−25.1% of holding−0.9%−23.1%8,051Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21Blackmore Milton CdirectorSale652 @ $103.30$67K−7.2% of holding−0.9%−23.1%8,376Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21PADFIELD LarrydirectorSale196 @ $103.30$20K−2.6% of holding−0.9%−23.1%7,299Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-11-18BARNES CORBINofficerSale307 @ $117.52$36K−3.7% of holding−5.9%−25.2%8,051Form 4 · filed 73 days after the trade
2024-11-18GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerSale161 @ $117.52$19K−3.4% of holding−5.9%−25.2%4,523Form 4 · filed 73 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

58 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-27Williams PatrickdirectorWithheld for tax7,966231,535Form 4
2026-02-27Jones David B.officerWithheld for tax87515,721Form 4
2026-02-27GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerWithheld for tax40110,161Form 4
2026-02-27BARNES CORBINofficerWithheld for tax16613,080Form 4
2026-02-23Jones David B.officerAward / grant2,99316,596Form 4
2026-02-23Arnold Elizabeth KdirectorAward / grant1,5396,376Form 4
2026-02-23MCROBBIE IAN MALCOLMofficerAward / grant2,2282,228Form 4
2026-02-23Blackmore Milton CdirectorAward / grant1,53911,124Form 4
2026-02-23LANDLESS DAVIDdirectorAward / grant1,5398,226Form 4
2026-02-23BARNES CORBINofficerAward / grant2,48113,246Form 4
2026-02-23Poccia ClaudiadirectorAward / grant1,5396,627Form 4
2026-02-23GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerAward / grant2,52110,562Form 4
2026-02-23Cleminson IanofficerAward / grant4,49922,737Form 4
2026-02-23Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant20,846239,501Form 4
2026-02-23PADFIELD LarrydirectorAward / grant1,53910,047Form 4
2026-02-23Blair GraemeofficerAward / grant520520Form 4
2026-02-23PARRETTE LESLIE JdirectorAward / grant1,5397,376Form 4
2026-02-20Blackmore Milton CdirectorOption exercise1,03010,615Form 4
2026-02-20PADFIELD LarrydirectorOption exercise1,0309,538Form 4
2026-02-20PADFIELD LarrydirectorOption exercise1,0300Form 4
2026-02-20Blackmore Milton CdirectorOption exercise1,0300Form 4
2026-02-16Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant18,966218,655Form 4
2026-02-16BARNES CORBINofficerAward / grant1,73010,765Form 4
2026-02-16GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerAward / grant1,2998,041Form 4
2026-02-16Cleminson IanofficerAward / grant2,38018,238Form 4
2026-02-16Jones David B.officerAward / grant1,90313,603Form 4
2025-05-13BARNES CORBINofficerWithheld for tax7408,998Form 4
2025-05-13GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerWithheld for tax6006,742Form 4
2025-03-03Williams PatrickdirectorWithheld for tax12,723199,689Form 4
2025-02-24BARNES CORBINofficerOption exercise5988,649Form 4
2025-02-24Blair GraemeofficerAward / grant300300Form 4
2025-02-24BARNES CORBINofficerAward / grant1,6879,738Form 4
2025-02-24MCROBBIE IAN MALCOLMofficerAward / grant1,5601,560Form 4
2025-02-24Poccia ClaudiadirectorAward / grant1,2095,088Form 4
2025-02-24PARRETTE LESLIE JdirectorAward / grant1,2095,943Form 4
2025-02-24PADFIELD LarrydirectorAward / grant1,2098,508Form 4
2025-02-24LANDLESS DAVIDdirectorAward / grant1,2096,687Form 4
2025-02-24Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant14,743212,412Form 4
2025-02-24Jones David B.officerAward / grant2,03611,700Form 4
2025-02-24GRIFFIN HARDY LOUIS IIIofficerAward / grant1,6827,342Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.