IONQIonQ, Inc.Technology · Computer Hardwareas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.84 · now $36.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IONQ has typically landed between $23.89 and $60.84 — a range of −35.1% to +65.2% from the issuance price $36.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,411 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-01-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IONQ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$23.89worst · -35.1%$60.84best · +65.2%
  • now $36.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.62 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.63–$43.61
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.89–$60.84
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,411 windows spanning 2021-01-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-08−60.4%−60.4%+0.0%
2022-04-11−59.8%−59.8%+5.4%
2022-04-07−59.2%−59.2%+0.0%
3 best
2021-10-19+184.1%−11.5%+184.1%
2021-10-21+175.1%−5.1%+204.5%
2021-10-20+167.8%−7.5%+196.9%

1,411 overlapping windows · 2021-01-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
20%
−7.3%
n=5
Feb
67%
+5.5%
n=6
Mar
17%
−9.1%
n=6
Apr
50%
+3.0%
n=6
May
50%
+27.2%
n=6
Jun
50%
−4.1%
n=6
Jul
50%
+5.9%
n=6
Aug
67%
+1.0%
n=6
Sep
50%
+5.2%
n=6
Oct
80%
+19.8%
n=5
Nov
60%
+38.9%
n=5
Dec
40%
−11.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$82$272026-09-10: 1 insider sale, $90K — Raymond John w2026-06-18: 3 insider sales, $513K — Raymond John w, Chou Kathryn K., TOLEDANO GABRIELLE B2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $188K — Cardillo Robert T.2026-04-16: 1 insider sale, $112K — Cardillo Robert T.2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $93K — Raymond John w2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $115K — TEUBER WILLIAM J JR2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $204K — Cardillo Robert T.2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $19K — TOLEDANO GABRIELLE B2025-12-22: 1 insider sale, $275K — Chou Kathryn K.2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Chou Kathryn K.2025-11-20: 1 insider sale, $4.7M — Alameddine Rima2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $110K — TEUBER WILLIAM J JR2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $443K — Cardillo Robert T.2025-09-11: 3 insider sales, $1.8M — Alameddine Rima, de Masi Niccolo, DACIER PAUL T2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — Kramer Thomas G.2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Singh Inder M2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $4.3M2025-09: 5 open-market sales, $4.9M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $110K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $4.7M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $115K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $223K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $93K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $112K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $188K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $513K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $90K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Raymond John w — Sale on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Raymond John w — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Chou Kathryn K. — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TOLEDANO GABRIELLE B — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Cardillo Robert T. — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cardillo Robert T. — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Raymond John w — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TEUBER WILLIAM J JR — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed same daydirector Cardillo Robert T. — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TOLEDANO GABRIELLE B — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Chou Kathryn K. — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Chou Kathryn K. — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Alameddine Rima — Sale on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TEUBER WILLIAM J JR — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cardillo Robert T. — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Alameddine Rima — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector de Masi Niccolo — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DACIER PAUL T — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kramer Thomas G. — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Singh Inder M — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Raymond John wdirectorSale2,407 @ $37.21$90K−3.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open77,741Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-18Raymond John wdirectorSale3,815 @ $55.01$210K−4.5% of holding−37.4%not yet — horizon still open80,148Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18Chou Kathryn K.directorSale2,757 @ $55.02$152K−4.2% of holding−37.4%not yet — horizon still open62,608Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18TOLEDANO GABRIELLE BdirectorSale2,757 @ $55.01$152K−19.8% of holding−37.4%not yet — horizon still open11,154Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-06Cardillo Robert T.directorSale3,773 @ $49.90$188K−2.6% of holding+7.5%not yet — horizon still open139,967Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-16Cardillo Robert T.directorSale2,500 @ $44.90$112K+1.8% of holding+10.9%not yet — horizon still open139,967Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12Raymond John wdirectorSale2,800 @ $33.34$93K−3.2% of holding−13.2%−4.1%83,963Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27TEUBER WILLIAM J JRdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $38.38$115K+46.8% of holding−23.1%−10.6%9,413Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-26Cardillo Robert T.directorSale5,165 @ $39.44$204K−4.4% of holding−24.9%−8.6%112,291Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24TOLEDANO GABRIELLE BdirectorSale616 @ $31.00$19K−6.2% of holding+5.3%+21.0%9,385Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-22Chou Kathryn K.directorSale5,000 @ $55.00$275K−7.6% of holding−12.9%−13.9%60,839Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11Chou Kathryn K.directorSale20,000 @ $51.40$1.0M−24.7% of holding−7.8%+6.3%60,839Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-20Alameddine RimaofficerSale100,000 @ $46.89$4.7M−18.8% of holding+26.1%+39.5%432,616Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11TEUBER WILLIAM J JRdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $54.81$110K+45.3% of holding−4.3%−4.6%6,413Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Cardillo Robert T.directorSale8,773 @ $50.52$443K−19.0% of holding+46.5%−42.5%37,436Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Alameddine RimaofficerSale19,976 @ $44.40$887K−3.6% of holding+50.6%−31.2%532,616Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11de Masi NiccolodirectorSale16,120 @ $44.40$716K−1.3% of holding+50.6%−31.2%1,181,186Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11DACIER PAUL TdirectorSale4,175 @ $44.40$185K−3.5% of holding+50.6%−31.2%114,454Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03Kramer Thomas G.officerSale64,578 @ $41.82$2.7M−12.0% of holding+65.6%−18.5%473,302Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Singh Inder MdirectorSale50,480 @ $43.02$2.2M−90.2% of holding+33.0%−30.3%5,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06Kramer Thomas G.officerSale17,776 @ $41.28$734K−3.2% of holding−0.9%−33.9%537,880Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-01Singh Inder MdirectorSale37,090 @ $38.28$1.4M−87.1% of holding+9.8%−11.3%5,513Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-21Kramer Thomas G.officerSale47,478 @ $47.70$2.3M−7.9% of holding−18.9%+5.6%555,656Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-11Chou Kathryn K.directorSale6,789 @ $43.14$293K−10.0% of holding+5.5%+6.3%60,839Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-08Kramer Thomas G.officerSale43,382 @ $47.73$2.1M−6.7% of holding−10.3%+0.7%603,134Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-07Alameddine RimaofficerSale45,000 @ $46.18$2.1M−7.5% of holding−8.2%−3.7%552,592Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-07Chou Kathryn K.directorSale5,000 @ $46.18$231K−6.9% of holding−8.2%−3.7%67,628Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-02Kramer Thomas G.officerSale72,000 @ $42.26$3.0M−10.0% of holding−15.0%−10.3%646,516Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-20Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale1,497,311 @ $39.93$59.8M−79.3% of holding−1.9%+0.9%390,329Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-17Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale910,740 @ $37.78$34.4M−70.0% of holding+16.9%+16.3%390,329Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale3,581,193 @ $38.13$136.5M−90.2% of holding+12.2%+6.3%390,329Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-16Kramer Thomas G.officerSale216,000 @ $38.11$8.2M−23.1% of holding+12.2%+6.3%718,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13Alameddine RimaofficerSale65,000 @ $38.57$2.5M−10.5% of holding+10.2%+18.2%552,592Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12Singh Inder MdirectorSale43,391 @ $39.18$1.7M−61.6% of holding+3.8%+20.9%27,090Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-12Thomas WendydirectorSale16,696 @ $39.43$658K−21.4% of holding+3.8%+20.9%61,145Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11de Masi NiccolodirectorSale2,597,500 @ $40.34$104.8M−100.0% of holding+2.6%+15.2%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Chou Kathryn K.directorSale25,696 @ $40.46$1.0M−29.3% of holding+2.6%+15.2%62,115Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Alameddine RimaofficerSale19,976 @ $41.60$831K−3.5% of holding+2.6%+15.2%552,592Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale11,965 @ $41.60$498K−3.0% of holding+2.6%+15.2%390,329Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Kramer Thomas G.officerSale9,994 @ $41.60$416K−1.1% of holding+2.6%+15.2%934,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Cardillo Robert T.directorSale10,058 @ $40.22$405K−24.0% of holding+2.6%+15.2%31,923Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11TOLEDANO GABRIELLE BdirectorSale792 @ $41.50$33K−50.0% of holding+2.6%+15.2%792Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09de Masi NiccolodirectorSale9,280 @ $42.23$392K−1.3% of holding+10.0%+21.0%711,987Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Scannell William FdirectorPurchase93,066 @ $21.81$2.0M+221.7% of holding+24.5%+97.3%135,047Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale2,000,000 @ $18.72$37.4M−82.8% of holding+42.0%+116.5%414,363Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Alameddine RimaofficerSale20,047 @ $18.57$372K−3.4% of holding+42.0%+116.5%572,568Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale12,069 @ $18.57$224K−2.9% of holding+42.0%+116.5%402,294Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11Kramer Thomas G.officerSale11,712 @ $18.57$217K−1.2% of holding+42.0%+116.5%944,510Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-06Alameddine RimaofficerSale1,407 @ $21.20$30K−0.2% of holding+12.5%+90.4%592,615Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11Alameddine RimaofficerSale21,337 @ $29.73$634K−3.6% of holding+2.8%+29.0%571,321Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-11Chapman Peter HumedirectorSale13,106 @ $29.73$390K−3.1% of holding+2.8%+29.0%414,363Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-11Kramer Thomas G.officerSale9,780 @ $29.72$291K−1.0% of holding+2.8%+29.0%926,114Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

94 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11de Masi NiccolodirectorWithheld for tax16,1211,123,426Form 4
2026-09-11Singh Inder MdirectorWithheld for tax6,272408,614Form 4
2026-09-11DACIER PAUL TdirectorWithheld for tax4,457100,001Form 4
2026-08-24Baxter Timothy EdirectorAward / grant5,54013,922Form 4
2026-08-24Ball Eric R.directorAward / grant5,5405,540Form 4
2026-06-17FRANKOLA JIMdirectorAward / grant4,5268,939Form 4
2026-06-17TEUBER WILLIAM J JRdirectorAward / grant4,52613,939Form 4
2026-06-17Chou Kathryn K.directorAward / grant4,52665,365Form 4
2026-06-17TOLEDANO GABRIELLE BdirectorAward / grant4,52613,911Form 4
2026-06-17Scannell William FdirectorAward / grant4,526145,086Form 4
2026-06-16Singh Inder MdirectorWithheld for tax2,617414,886Form 4
2026-06-11de Masi NiccolodirectorWithheld for tax16,1201,139,547Form 4
2026-06-11Singh Inder MdirectorWithheld for tax6,272417,503Form 4
2026-06-11DACIER PAUL TdirectorWithheld for tax4,110104,458Form 4
2026-06-11Cardillo Robert T.directorWithheld for tax904139,063Form 4
2026-05-06Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise3,773143,740Form 4
2026-05-06Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise3,7738,774Form 4
2026-04-16Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise2,500142,467Form 4
2026-04-16Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise2,50012,547Form 4
2026-03-11de Masi NiccolodirectorWithheld for tax20,7851,155,667Form 4
2026-03-11Singh Inder MdirectorWithheld for tax8,134423,775Form 4
2026-03-11DACIER PAUL TdirectorWithheld for tax6,181108,568Form 4
2026-03-11Cardillo Robert T.directorWithheld for tax904139,967Form 4
2026-03-02Cardillo Robert T.directorAward / grant31,651140,871Form 4
2026-02-27Cardillo Robert T.directorWithheld for tax3,071109,220Form 4
2026-02-26Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise2,500117,456Form 4
2026-02-26Cardillo Robert T.directorOption exercise2,50015,047Form 4
2026-02-20de Masi NiccolodirectorAward / grant11,5561,176,452Form 4
2026-02-20DACIER PAUL TdirectorAward / grant4,427114,749Form 4
2026-02-20Singh Inder MdirectorAward / grant3,708431,909Form 4
2025-12-22Chou Kathryn K.directorOption exercise5,00065,839Form 4
2025-12-22Chou Kathryn K.directorOption exercise5,00019,900Form 4
2025-12-11Millard Scott FrancisofficerWithheld for tax19,586216,457Form 4
2025-12-11de Masi NiccolodirectorWithheld for tax16,2901,164,896Form 4
2025-12-11Singh Inder MdirectorWithheld for tax12,553428,201Form 4
2025-12-11DACIER PAUL TdirectorWithheld for tax4,132110,322Form 4
2025-12-11Chou Kathryn K.directorOption exercise20,00080,839Form 4
2025-12-11Chou Kathryn K.directorOption exercise20,00024,900Form 4
2025-11-17Raymond John wdirectorAward / grant83,70086,763Form 4
2025-11-10Singh Inder MdirectorAward / grant274,947440,754Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.