INVE · TickerCove

INVEIdentiv, Inc.Technology · Computer Hardwareas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.56 · now $2.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INVE has typically landed between $1.90 and $3.13 — a range of −25.9% to +22.4% from the issuance price $2.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.56 · 2% of range

$2.5 low$5.29 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.9%

typical move · IQR 17.9%

−25.9%worst (p90)+22.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where INVE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.56 (+0.0%)
typical $2.51 (-1.9%)
middle 50% $2.28–$2.74
90% range $1.9–$3.13

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−55.7%	−55.7%	+0.0%
2015-11-09	−51.1%	−56.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-13	−51.0%	−51.0%	+0.2%
3 best
2014-08-07	+104.0%	+0.0%	+104.0%
2014-08-08	+88.3%	+0.0%	+101.1%
2008-12-10	+88.2%	+0.0%	+92.9%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+3.1%

n=20

Feb

60%

+4.1%

n=20

Mar

35%

−1.0%

n=20

Apr

40%

−2.1%

n=20

May

30%

−4.5%

n=20

Jun

30%

−2.4%

n=20

Jul

40%

+0.2%

n=20

Aug

60%

+2.6%

n=20

Sep

55%

+0.8%

n=20

Oct

45%

−1.9%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.0%

n=20

Dec

60%

+5.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-03-14	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Purchase	6,565 @ $3.20	$21K	+2.9% of holding	+4.9%	−4.3%	231,178	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-13	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Purchase	19,000 @ $3.32	$63K	+7.9% of holding	−0.5%	−8.2%	258,931	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

34 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-30	Angelini Laura	director	Award / grant	18,797	68,476	Form 4
2026-07-30	OUSLEY JAMES E	director	Award / grant	23,810	309,266	Form 4
2026-07-30	KREMEN GARY	director	Award / grant	15,664	318,226	Form 4
2026-07-30	Kuntz Richard	director	Award / grant	17,544	65,712	Form 4
2026-07-30	LOPEZ MIGUEL A	director	Award / grant	19,424	42,838	Form 4
2026-07-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	6,361	281,887	Form 4
2026-07-10	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Withheld for tax	19,875	70,823	Form 4
2026-06-01	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,133	90,698	Form 4
2026-04-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	6,360	288,248	Form 4
2026-03-02	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	77,532	286,290	Form 4
2026-03-02	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Award / grant	150,000	363,822	Form 4
2026-02-27	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,252	91,831	Form 4
2026-01-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	7,023	213,822	Form 4
2025-12-01	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,117	93,083	Form 4
2025-10-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	6,348	220,845	Form 4
2025-08-29	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Withheld for tax	1,361	94,200	Form 4
2025-08-09	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Award / grant	15,000	95,561	Form 4
2025-07-29	Angelini Laura	director	Award / grant	22,659	49,679	Form 4
2025-07-29	KREMEN GARY	director	Award / grant	18,882	302,562	Form 4
2025-07-29	Kuntz Richard	director	Award / grant	21,148	48,168	Form 4
2025-07-29	KIRNBAUER EDWARD	officer	Award / grant	25,000	80,561	Form 4
2025-07-29	LOPEZ MIGUEL A	director	Award / grant	23,414	23,414	Form 4
2025-07-29	OUSLEY JAMES E	director	Award / grant	28,701	285,456	Form 4
2025-07-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	6,348	227,193	Form 4
2025-05-30	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	2,360	210,295	Form 4
2025-04-15	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	25,390	233,541	Form 4
2025-04-15	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	15,847	212,655	Form 4
2025-04-01	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	2,676	228,502	Form 4
2025-02-28	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	1,678	224,613	Form 4
2025-02-24	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Withheld for tax	27,235	239,931	Form 4
2025-02-24	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	16,805	226,291	Form 4
2025-02-24	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Award / grant	30,000	243,096	Form 4
2025-02-24	Newquist Kirsten F.	director	Award / grant	50,000	267,166	Form 4
2024-12-31	Scarpulla Justin	officer	Withheld for tax	2,456	213,096	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i