INTUIntuit Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $318.13 · now $318.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INTU has typically landed between $264.97 and $368.13 — a range of −16.7% to +15.7% from the issuance price $318.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($318.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where INTU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $318.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$264.97worst · -16.7%$368.13best · +15.7%
  • now $318.13 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $317.33 (-0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $299.31–$335.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $264.97–$368.13
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-01-12−37.1%−37.1%+0.0%
2026-01-23−36.4%−36.4%+0.0%
2026-01-09−34.9%−34.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+35.8%+0.0%+36.6%
2026-07-23+30.4%+0.0%+30.4%
2022-07-14+28.1%+0.0%+28.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$81.1B
market cap
$16.50
EPS (TTM)
18.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-20
next earnings
Revenue$18.8B
'20'25
Net income$3.9B
'20'25
Free cash flow$6.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr20.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.34
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $318.13$219.36$663.64
  • DCF (intrinsic)$430.64
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$564.38
  • Analyst target · range $250.00–$633.00$410.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$318.13

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−1.1%
n=18
Feb
68%
+1.5%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.2%
n=19
Apr
42%
−0.3%
n=19
May
53%
+2.8%
n=19
Jun
63%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+4.8%
n=19
Aug
68%
+1.6%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.1%
n=19
Oct
56%
+2.0%
n=18
Nov
72%
+1.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$709$2542026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $93K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-08-27: 2 insider sales, $314K — Hotz Lauren D …2026-06-23: 1 insider sale, $74K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $80K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $95K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $96K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $99K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $155K — PRABHU VASANT M2026-05-22: 1 insider purchase, $387K — PRABHU VASANT M2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $147K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $153K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $158K — DALZELL RICHARD L2026-01-07: 2 insider sales, $26.7M — Goodarzi Sasan K …2026-01-05: 2 insider sales, $840K — Aujla Sandeep …2025-12-31: 1 insider sale, $937K — COOK SCOTT D2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $380K2025-09: 8 open-market sales, $666K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $792K2025-12: 103 open-market sales, $328.9M2026-01: 4 open-market sales, $27.5M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $457K2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $542K2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $444K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $314K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $93K↑ buys↓ salesdirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hotz Lauren D — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hotz Lauren D — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-06-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed same daydirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PRABHU VASANT M — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed same daydirector PRABHU VASANT M — Purchase on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed same daydirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DALZELL RICHARD L — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Goodarzi Sasan K — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Goodarzi Sasan K — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Aujla Sandeep — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Aujla Sandeep — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector COOK SCOTT D — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale285 @ $325.36$93K−2.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-27Hotz Lauren DofficerSale845 @ $346.56$293K−33.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,690Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-27Hotz Lauren DofficerSale62 @ $346.15$22K−3.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,628Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-23DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale284 @ $262.32$74K−2.4% of holding+9.0%not yet — horizon still open11,758Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale284 @ $282.20$80K−2.3% of holding+4.7%not yet — horizon still open12,042Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale338 @ $279.86$95K−2.7% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open12,326Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-10DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale333 @ $287.50$96K−2.6% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open12,664Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale333 @ $297.65$99K−2.5% of holding−8.7%not yet — horizon still open12,997Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26PRABHU VASANT MdirectorPurchase500 @ $309.71$155K+40.0% of holding−14.3%not yet — horizon still open1,750Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-22PRABHU VASANT MdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $309.45$387Kownership Δ n/a−16.6%not yet — horizon still open1,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale333 @ $440.40$147K−2.5% of holding−18.1%−40.9%13,253Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale333 @ $458.10$153K−2.4% of holding−20.8%−41.1%13,586Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10DALZELL RICHARD LdirectorSale333 @ $474.01$158K−2.3% of holding−20.8%−43.5%13,919Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-07Goodarzi Sasan KdirectorSale40,960 @ $650.10$26.6M−75.0% of holding−31.9%−67.4%13,651Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Goodarzi Sasan KdirectorSale40 @ $651.01$26K−0.3% of holding−31.9%−67.4%13,611Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Aujla SandeepofficerSale1,334 @ $629.46$840K−71.3% of holding−29.3%−65.8%536Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Aujla SandeepofficerSale1 @ $627.41$398−0.0% of holding−29.3%−65.8%1,870Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-31COOK SCOTT DdirectorSale1,402 @ $668.02$937K−0.0% of holding−28.3%−69.5%5,668,182Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

282 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Goodarzi Sasan KdirectorWithheld for tax12,37731,020Form 4
2026-09-01Aujla SandeepofficerWithheld for tax3,7056,742Form 4
2026-09-01Hanebrink AntondirectorWithheld for tax2,72133,525Form 4
2026-09-01Hotz Lauren DofficerWithheld for tax1,0632,584Form 4
2026-09-01Hilliard Caryl LynofficerWithheld for tax95824,745Form 4
2026-09-01Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerWithheld for tax7687,305Form 4
2026-09-01Goodarzi Sasan KdirectorOption exercise26,18943,397Form 4
2026-09-01Hotz Lauren DofficerOption exercise2,0193,647Form 4
2026-09-01Aujla SandeepofficerOption exercise7,2150Form 4
2026-09-01Goodarzi Sasan KdirectorOption exercise26,1890Form 4
2026-09-01Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerOption exercise1,8598,072Form 4
2026-09-01Hilliard Caryl LynofficerOption exercise2,16625,703Form 4
2026-09-01Aujla SandeepofficerOption exercise7,21510,447Form 4
2026-09-01Hilliard Caryl LynofficerOption exercise2,1660Form 4
2026-09-01Hotz Lauren DofficerOption exercise2,0190Form 4
2026-09-01Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise5,24736,245Form 4
2026-09-01Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise5,2470Form 4
2026-09-01Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerOption exercise1,8590Form 4
2026-08-14Hilliard Caryl LynofficerAward / grant264264Form 4
2026-08-14Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerAward / grant207207Form 4
2026-08-14Hotz Lauren DofficerAward / grant201201Form 4
2026-08-14Hotz Lauren DofficerAward / grant201201Form 4
2026-08-14Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerAward / grant207207Form 4
2026-08-14Hilliard Caryl LynofficerAward / grant264264Form 4
2026-08-11Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise1940Form 4
2026-08-11Hanebrink AntondirectorWithheld for tax19730,998Form 4
2026-08-11Aujla SandeepofficerOption exercise1200Form 4
2026-08-11Hilliard Caryl LynofficerOption exercise1090Form 4
2026-08-11Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerOption exercise890Form 4
2026-08-11Aujla SandeepofficerWithheld for tax1203,232Form 4
2026-08-11Hilliard Caryl LynofficerWithheld for tax9023,537Form 4
2026-08-11Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerWithheld for tax566,213Form 4
2026-08-11Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerOption exercise840Form 4
2026-08-11Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise1940Form 4
2026-08-11Aujla SandeepofficerOption exercise1203,232Form 4
2026-08-11Aujla SandeepofficerOption exercise1200Form 4
2026-08-11Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise19431,001Form 4
2026-08-11Hilliard Caryl LynofficerOption exercise10923,523Form 4
2026-08-11Cozzens Tyler RalphofficerOption exercise846,270Form 4
2026-08-11Hanebrink AntondirectorOption exercise19431,195Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousesale2026-07-172026-07-10$1–15K
Richard W. AllenHousesale2026-07-152026-06-10$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2026-06-102026-05-22$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$15–50K
Richard W. AllenHousesale2026-06-052026-04-16$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2026-06-032026-05-22$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousesale2026-05-132026-04-02$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousesale2026-05-132026-04-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.