Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.00 · now $37.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INTA has typically landed between $29.45 and $45.85 — a range of −20.4% to +23.9% from the issuance price $37.00.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,288 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INTA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.78 (+2.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.93–$41.63
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.45–$45.85
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,288 windows spanning 2021-06-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-22 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +1.2% |
| 2026-01-07 | −47.4% | −47.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-06 | −46.5% | −46.5% | +2.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | +57.4% | +0.0% | +57.4% |
| 2026-07-22 | +54.1% | +0.0% | +57.3% |
| 2026-07-24 | +49.0% | +0.0% | +50.5% |
1,288 overlapping windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
−1.0%
n=5
Feb
40%
+0.2%
n=5
Mar
60%
+1.6%
n=5
Apr
20%
−7.1%
n=5
May
80%
+1.0%
n=5
Jun
40%
−4.4%
n=5
Jul
50%
+4.6%
n=6
Aug
67%
+11.5%
n=6
Sep
33%
−5.2%
n=6
Oct
80%
+5.2%
n=5
Nov
100%
+10.2%
n=5
Dec
80%
+1.9%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $37.93 | $114K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $39.59 | $119K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Jampol Thad | officer | Sale | 3,804 @ $41.66 | $158K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 934,781 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Jampol Thad | officer | Sale | 1,196 @ $42.25 | $51K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 933,585 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $43.27 | $130K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 46,845 @ $41.33 | $1.9M | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 18,957 @ $40.86 | $775K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,861,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $40.88 | $409K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 120,074 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $41.33 | $50K | −5.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,112 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Sale | 274 @ $40.71 | $11K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,312 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 2,624 @ $40.00 | $105K | −7.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 30,465 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 1,700 @ $38.77 | $66K | −0.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,816,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 1,300 @ $39.44 | $51K | −0.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Jampol Thad | officer | Sale | 23,800 @ $40.75 | $970K | −2.5% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 914,107 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Sale | 18,800 @ $40.70 | $765K | −18.0% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,590 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $41.00 | $49K | −1.4% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,390 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Jampol Thad | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $41.00 | $49K | −0.1% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 912,907 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $37.04 | $111K | −0.1% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 146,674 @ $36.86 | $5.4M | −2.5% of holding | +16.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Sale | 3,530 @ $35.00 | $124K | −20.4% of holding | +25.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,814 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Murgel Michele | officer | Sale | 14,591 @ $25.02 | $365K | −5.9% of holding | +20.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,632 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-29 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $47.48 | $380K | −0.1% of holding | −28.7% | −53.5% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 6,600 @ $47.22 | $312K | −0.1% of holding | −18.7% | −61.1% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 1,300 @ $46.52 | $60K | −0.0% of holding | −18.7% | −61.1% | 5,718,268 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 100 @ $45.93 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −18.7% | −61.1% | 5,719,568 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 16,000 @ $42.28 | $676K | −0.3% of holding | −9.3% | −57.7% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Sale | 1,774 @ $42.58 | $76K | −50.0% of holding | −2.1% | −52.9% | 1,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $43.34 | $347K | −0.1% of holding | +1.1% | −51.5% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Sale | 4,960 @ $44.98 | $223K | −74.7% of holding | −6.5% | −54.6% | 1,679 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Sale | 1,541 @ $45.00 | $69K | −0.3% of holding | −6.5% | −54.6% | 447,613 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 5,851 @ $43.66 | $255K | −0.1% of holding | +6.8% | −55.4% | 5,711,969 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 1,848 @ $42.70 | $79K | −0.0% of holding | +6.8% | −55.4% | 5,717,820 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 301 @ $44.05 | $13K | −0.0% of holding | +6.8% | −55.4% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 22,243 @ $40.76 | $907K | −0.4% of holding | +13.5% | −62.5% | 5,711,668 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $40.76 | $408K | −18.6% of holding | +13.5% | −62.5% | 43,765 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 4,857 @ $42.57 | $207K | −0.1% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 5,706,905 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 2,343 @ $41.53 | $97K | −0.0% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 5,711,762 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $42.61 | $43K | −3.4% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 28,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 800 @ $43.26 | $35K | −0.0% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 5,706,105 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 500 @ $41.58 | $21K | −1.7% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 29,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 300 @ $43.23 | $13K | −1.1% of holding | +9.9% | −61.4% | 28,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 47,113 @ $39.60 | $1.9M | −0.8% of holding | +6.1% | −56.1% | 5,712,602 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 10,390 @ $38.78 | $403K | −0.2% of holding | +6.1% | −56.1% | 5,759,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 6,497 @ $40.03 | $260K | −0.1% of holding | +6.1% | −56.1% | 5,706,105 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,778 @ $45.58 | $172K | −0.1% of holding | −16.8% | −45.7% | 5,602,017 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 3,242 @ $46.32 | $150K | −0.1% of holding | −16.8% | −45.7% | 5,598,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 980 @ $44.92 | $44K | −0.0% of holding | −16.8% | −45.7% | 5,605,795 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Sale | 1,520 @ $45.21 | $69K | −0.3% of holding | −18.9% | −45.5% | 442,061 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Murgel Michele | officer | Sale | 18,781 @ $44.72 | $840K | −8.5% of holding | −17.0% | −48.8% | 203,137 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Murgel Michele | officer | Sale | 9,752 @ $45.13 | $440K | −4.8% of holding | −17.0% | −48.8% | 193,385 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $44.86 | $359K | −0.1% of holding | −17.0% | −48.8% | 5,598,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | HALL JOHN T | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $44.87 | $359K | −0.1% of holding | −15.1% | −46.7% | 5,598,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
248 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 5,817,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 5,817,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 73,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 5,817,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 76,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 5,880,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 3,000 | 79,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Withheld for tax | 65,061 | 5,877,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Withheld for tax | 47,334 | 130,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,611 | 938,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,296 | 554,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,268 | 55,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,341 | 23,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Option exercise | 8,698 | 43,494 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Option exercise | 2,749 | 164,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Option exercise | 3,257 | 13,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 5,948 | 47,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Option exercise | 4,863 | 18,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 578,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 67,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Option exercise | 3,132 | 12,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Option exercise | 3,132 | 565,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 67,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Option exercise | 1,750 | 14,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Option exercise | 1,899 | 15,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Option exercise | 1,974 | 950,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 27,500 | 5,942,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 29,927 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 8,605 | 5,909,223 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Coleman Donald F. | officer | Option exercise | 1,899 | 567,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Option exercise | 1,974 | 15,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Option exercise | 2,890 | 11,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Harrison David Benjamin | officer | Option exercise | 1,750 | 67,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Jampol Thad | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 965,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MORTON DAVID H JR | officer | Option exercise | 4,548 | 162,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 8,605 | 34,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sedgwick Dustin de Forest | officer | Option exercise | 4,863 | 58,350 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | HALL JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 5,948 | 5,915,171 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.