Issued 2026-09-16 at $109.38 · now $109.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INSW has typically landed between $93.65 and $133.66 — a range of −14.4% to +22.2% from the issuance price $109.38.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,449 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-11-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($109.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INSW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $109.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $109.38 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $113.97 (+4.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $104.88–$123.07
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $93.65–$133.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-06-09 | −34.0% | −34.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-01-09 | −31.8% | −31.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-06-08 | −31.1% | −32.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-20 | +51.4% | +0.0% | +51.4% |
| 2019-09-24 | +47.8% | +0.0% | +47.8% |
| 2020-03-23 | +46.1% | +0.0% | +46.1% |
2,449 overlapping windows · 2016-11-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $108.01 | $216K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 171,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $98.44 | $197K | −1.1% of holding | +13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 173,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $87.59 | $175K | −1.1% of holding | +4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,745 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $87.49 | $87K | −1.0% of holding | +4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,984 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $81.34 | $163K | −1.1% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,745 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $81.68 | $82K | −1.0% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,984 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $84.23 | $168K | −1.1% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,745 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $83.72 | $84K | −1.0% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 102,984 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Nugent William F. | officer | Sale | 6,830 @ $85.23 | $582K | −12.2% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,169 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $88.08 | $2.2M | −12.1% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 181,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Sale | 4,700 @ $89.22 | $419K | −8.6% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $74.57 | $149K | −1.0% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 206,745 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $74.50 | $75K | −1.0% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 103,984 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $67.79 | $136K | −0.9% of holding | +3.6% | +52.3% | 208,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $66.50 | $67K | −1.0% of holding | +3.6% | +52.3% | 100,521 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Famatown Finance Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 156,362 @ $75.34 | $11.8M | +2.0% of holding | +1.5% | +37.7% | 7,810,494 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Famatown Finance Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $75.61 | $22.7M | +3.9% of holding | +0.9% | +31.5% | 7,966,856 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Alexandra Kate | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $74.88 | $374K | −32.9% of holding | +0.9% | +31.5% | 10,213 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Day Randee E | director | Sale | 4,090 @ $74.93 | $306K | −18.2% of holding | +0.9% | +31.5% | 18,435 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Grillo Debra | officer | Sale | 389 @ $76.27 | $30K | −24.7% of holding | +0.9% | +31.5% | 1,185 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Small James D III | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $75.37 | $1.5M | −35.5% of holding | +3.9% | +29.7% | 36,376 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Day Randee E | director | Sale | 2,635 @ $75.40 | $199K | −10.5% of holding | −1.0% | +27.1% | 22,525 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Nugent William F. | officer | Sale | 9,583 @ $76.00 | $728K | −15.4% of holding | +0.3% | +24.1% | 52,572 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $75.41 | $452K | −10.5% of holding | +0.3% | +24.1% | 50,989 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Blankenship Alexandra Kate | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $75.69 | $303K | −20.8% of holding | +0.3% | +24.1% | 15,213 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $63.96 | $128K | −1.1% of holding | +10.8% | +49.3% | 178,421 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $63.29 | $63K | −1.2% of holding | +10.8% | +49.3% | 83,463 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $55.17 | $110K | −1.1% of holding | +16.8% | +59.9% | 180,421 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $55.68 | $56K | −1.2% of holding | +16.8% | +59.9% | 79,073 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $48.56 | $97K | −1.1% of holding | +12.2% | +67.1% | 182,421 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $48.26 | $48K | −1.3% of holding | +12.2% | +67.1% | 75,242 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $53.82 | $108K | −1.1% of holding | −7.7% | +52.5% | 184,421 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $53.58 | $54K | −1.4% of holding | −7.7% | +52.5% | 71,734 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Small James D III | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $53.60 | $1.1M | −28.9% of holding | −10.5% | +47.1% | 49,292 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Sale | 3,500 @ $53.71 | $188K | −6.6% of holding | −7.4% | +52.2% | 49,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $44.12 | $88K | −1.1% of holding | +20.8% | +69.5% | 186,771 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $44.00 | $44K | −1.5% of holding | +20.8% | +69.5% | 67,695 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $49.08 | $98K | −1.0% of holding | −12.4% | +38.2% | 188,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $48.27 | $48K | −1.6% of holding | −12.4% | +38.2% | 63,502 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $44.69 | $45K | −1.5% of holding | +6.8% | +54.1% | 64,502 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $41.58 | $83K | −1.0% of holding | +15.6% | +53.2% | 190,771 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Small James D III | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $41.35 | $207K | −6.7% of holding | +17.8% | +53.0% | 69,292 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $41.35 | $124K | −5.4% of holding | +17.8% | +53.0% | 52,893 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Nugent William F. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $40.21 | $40K | −1.7% of holding | +11.8% | +44.4% | 58,752 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $38.62 | $77K | −1.0% of holding | +6.9% | +38.7% | 192,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-30 | Nugent William F. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $37.00 | $37K | −1.6% of holding | +9.8% | +27.3% | 59,752 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $38.74 | $77K | −1.0% of holding | −3.4% | +16.3% | 194,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Nugent William F. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $37.13 | $37K | −1.6% of holding | −3.6% | +31.0% | 60,752 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $38.15 | $76K | −1.0% of holding | +1.0% | +30.1% | 196,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $38.22 | $57K | −2.6% of holding | −2.6% | +24.8% | 55,893 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
250 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Other acquisition | 904 | 2,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Withheld for tax | 326 | 1,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Disposition | 904 | 1,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Other acquisition | 904 | 2,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Withheld for tax | 326 | 1,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Grillo Debra | officer | Disposition | 904 | 1,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Anderson Darron M. | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 6,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | STEVENSON CRAIG H JR | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 129,587 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | BERNLOHR TIMOTHY J | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 51,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | BLACKLEY IAN T | director | Other acquisition | 2,886 | 27,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Blankenship Alexandra Kate | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 12,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | GREENBERG DAVID I | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 33,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Day Randee E | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 20,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Johansen Kristian | director | Other acquisition | 1,842 | 6,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Nugent William F. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Award / grant | 20,542 | 20,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Award / grant | 20,542 | 20,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 8,156 | 8,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 8,156 | 8,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Small James D III | officer | Award / grant | 5,436 | 5,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Small James D III | officer | Award / grant | 5,436 | 5,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Nugent William F. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Nugent William F. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Oshodi Adewale | officer | Award / grant | 1,508 | 1,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Oshodi Adewale | officer | Award / grant | 1,508 | 1,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Nugent William F. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Oshodi Adewale | officer | Award / grant | 1,508 | 1,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Oshodi Adewale | officer | Award / grant | 1,508 | 1,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 8,156 | 8,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 8,156 | 8,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Small James D III | officer | Award / grant | 5,436 | 5,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Small James D III | officer | Award / grant | 5,436 | 5,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Solon Derek G. | officer | Award / grant | 5,286 | 5,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Award / grant | 20,542 | 20,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Zabrocky Lois K | director | Award / grant | 20,542 | 20,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,708 | 104,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Pribor Jeffrey | officer | Option exercise | 13,171 | 113,692 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.