Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.11 · now $4.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INSG has typically landed between $2.59 and $6.27 — a range of −36.9% to +52.5% from the issuance price $4.11.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INSG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.11 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.82 (-7.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.13–$4.5
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.59–$6.27
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2017-04-27 | −53.6% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-04 | −53.3% | −53.3% | +0.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | −52.4% | −63.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-04-18 | +195.0% | +0.0% | +195.0% |
| 2024-04-17 | +177.2% | +0.0% | +177.2% |
| 2020-03-16 | +157.6% | +0.0% | +157.6% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | North Sound Trading, LP | director | Purchase | 28,205 @ $4.43 | $125K | +50.0% of holding | −7.7% | +1.0% | 84,615 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | North Sound Trading, LP | director | Purchase | 15,100 @ $8.93 | $135K | +0.7% of holding | +45.8% | +6.4% | 2,143,769 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | North Sound Trading, LP | director | Purchase | 31,094 @ $8.98 | $279K | +1.5% of holding | +42.4% | +0.9% | 2,128,669 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | North Sound Trading, LP | director | Purchase | 8,807 @ $7.44 | $66K | +0.4% of holding | +57.2% | +13.0% | 2,097,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $9.78 | $98K | +8.0% of holding | −10.7% | +25.7% | 134,347 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Miller Brian | director | Award / grant | 19,654 | 30,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Mulhern George | director | Award / grant | 19,654 | 52,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Tavistock Holdings, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 19,654 | 72,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Withheld for tax | 6,749 | 243,956 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,872 | 222,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 465 | 40,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Miller Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,431 | 10,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mulhern George | director | Award / grant | 2,036 | 33,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,506 | 228,369 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Withheld for tax | 4,159 | 250,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Withheld for tax | 3,686 | 254,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,980 | 226,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,061 | 40,962 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 401 | 40,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,570 | 236,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 215 | 42,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Withheld for tax | 929 | 258,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,715 | 238,445 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 215 | 42,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-22 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Withheld for tax | 11,868 | 259,479 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,715 | 240,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 215 | 42,453 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Award / grant | 73,600 | 241,875 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Sarvikas Juho | director | Award / grant | 137,000 | 271,347 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Award / grant | 15,500 | 42,668 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,490 | 168,275 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 179 | 27,168 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,115 | 169,765 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 179 | 27,347 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bukhari Syed Nabeel Anwar | director | Award / grant | 8,879 | 8,879 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-30 | BYE STEPHEN J | director | Award / grant | 8,879 | 8,879 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | Mulhern George | director | Award / grant | 936 | 28,176 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,115 | 173,880 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | McClaskey James Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 179 | 27,526 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Harland Christopher | director | Award / grant | 9,427 | 49,764 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Miller Brian | director | Award / grant | 9,427 | 9,427 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | TUDER JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 9,427 | 64,717 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Tavistock Holdings, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 9,427 | 52,771 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Mulhern George | director | Award / grant | 9,427 | 27,240 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | Gatoff Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,114 | 177,995 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.