INSE · TickerCove

INSEInspired Entertainment, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinosas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.91 · now $4.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INSE has typically landed between $3.85 and $5.92 — a range of −21.7% to +20.6% from the issuance price $4.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,933 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-12-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.91 · 0% of range

$4.91 low$9.82 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.8%

typical move · IQR 18.9%

−21.7%worst (p90)+20.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where INSE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.91 (+0.0%)
typical $4.87 (-0.8%)
middle 50% $4.41–$5.33
90% range $3.85–$5.92

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,933 windows spanning 2014-12-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-03-13	−56.3%	−56.3%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−55.4%	−55.4%	+0.0%
2020-03-06	−54.6%	−55.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-06	+103.7%	+0.0%	+103.7%
2020-05-07	+77.7%	−4.4%	+87.9%
2022-07-13	+74.0%	+0.0%	+74.0%

2,933 overlapping windows · 2014-12-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

33%

−0.2%

n=12

Feb

75%

+3.8%

n=12

Mar

42%

−5.9%

n=12

Apr

25%

−6.9%

n=12

May

75%

+11.5%

n=12

Jun

83%

+2.7%

n=12

Jul

50%

−0.6%

n=12

Aug

58%

+0.3%

n=12

Sep

42%

−4.5%

n=12

Oct

73%

+2.9%

n=11

Nov

36%

+2.4%

n=11

Dec

45%

+1.1%

n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-27	WEIL A LORNE	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $6.80	$136K	+3.3% of holding	−5.7%	not yet — horizon still open	622,771	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-27	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $6.76	$34K	+9.5% of holding	−5.7%	not yet — horizon still open	57,407	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-26	WEIL A LORNE	director	Purchase	21,659 @ $6.85	$148K	+3.7% of holding	−9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	602,771	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-26	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Purchase	13,332 @ $6.88	$92K	+34.1% of holding	−9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	52,407	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-26	Chambrello Michael R.	director	Purchase	5,188 @ $6.90	$36K	+8.7% of holding	−9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	64,568	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-26	Chambrello Michael R.	director	Purchase	4,812 @ $6.95	$33K	+8.8% of holding	−9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	59,380	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-25	WEIL A LORNE	director	Purchase	8,341 @ $6.66	$56K	+1.5% of holding	−3.6%	not yet — horizon still open	581,112	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-25	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Purchase	1,668 @ $6.66	$11K	+4.5% of holding	−3.6%	not yet — horizon still open	39,075	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-26	WEIL A LORNE	director	Purchase	50,000 @ $8.11	$406K	+9.6% of holding	+14.8%	−14.3%	572,771	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-21	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $7.39	$74K	+83.3% of holding	+20.7%	−9.1%	22,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-20	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $7.04	$70K	+500.0% of holding	+24.1%	−11.9%	12,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Tautscher Katja	director	Award / grant	593	41,260	Form 4
2026-08-05	Tautscher Katja	director	Award / grant	593	41,260	Form 4
2026-08-05	Vandemore John M	director	Disposition	274	45,458	Form 4
2026-08-05	Vandemore John M	director	Disposition	274	45,458	Form 4
2026-05-14	Wilson Craig Kyle	officer	Award / grant	30,000	30,000	Form 4
2026-03-10	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Award / grant	61,775	124,275	Form 4
2026-03-10	WEIL A LORNE	director	Award / grant	39,536	39,536	Form 4
2026-03-10	WEIL A LORNE	director	Award / grant	41,666	125,000	Form 4
2026-03-10	Richardson James Andrew	officer	Award / grant	7,284	7,284	Form 4
2026-03-10	Camilleri Simona	officer	Award / grant	6,069	6,069	Form 4
2026-03-10	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Award / grant	25,526	25,526	Form 4
2026-02-24	WEIL A LORNE	director	Award / grant	40,000	40,000	Form 4
2026-02-24	Camilleri Simona	officer	Award / grant	8,322	8,322	Form 4
2026-02-24	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Award / grant	32,083	32,083	Form 4
2026-02-24	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Award / grant	32,082	32,082	Form 4
2026-02-24	Richardson James Andrew	officer	Award / grant	9,987	9,987	Form 4
2026-02-24	Richardson James Andrew	officer	Award / grant	9,986	9,986	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Withheld for tax	14,991	37,407	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Withheld for tax	14,222	49,384	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Withheld for tax	5,680	306,380	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	13,333	13,334	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Option exercise	6,500	0	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Option exercise	8,608	17,218	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Option exercise	6,198	6,199	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	13,333	26,667	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	8,360	0	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	11,693	0	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Option exercise	9,092	0	Form 4
2026-01-02	ROGERS DESIREE G	director	Award / grant	10,952	40,667	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	13,333	312,060	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	33,386	63,606	Form 4
2026-01-02	Raphaelson Ira H	director	Award / grant	12,047	44,940	Form 4
2026-01-02	PIERCE BROOKS H	officer	Option exercise	30,398	52,398	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	13,333	312,060	Form 4
2026-01-02	WEIL A LORNE	director	Option exercise	33,386	63,606	Form 4
2026-01-02	Tautscher Katja	director	Award / grant	10,952	40,667	Form 4
2026-01-02	Vandemore John M	director	Award / grant	12,047	45,732	Form 4
2026-01-02	SAFERIN STEVEN M	director	Award / grant	12,047	45,490	Form 4
2026-01-02	Chambrello Michael R.	director	Award / grant	12,047	54,568	Form 4
2026-01-02	ROGERS DESIREE G	director	Award / grant	10,952	40,667	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i