INN · TickerCove

INNSummit Hotel Properties, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motelas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.69 · now $5.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INN has typically landed between $4.85 and $6.58 — a range of −14.7% to +15.7% from the issuance price $5.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,902 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-02-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$5.69 · 55% of range

$3.97 low$7.07 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 11.5%

−14.7%worst (p90)+15.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where INN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $5.69 (+0.0%)
typical $5.68 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $5.35–$6.01
90% range $4.85–$6.58

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,902 windows spanning 2011-02-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−77.3%	−77.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−72.6%	−77.0%	+0.2%
2020-02-20	−70.3%	−77.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+88.0%	+0.0%	+88.0%
2020-10-28	+75.9%	+0.0%	+80.5%
2020-10-27	+73.6%	−2.0%	+76.8%

3,902 overlapping windows · 2011-02-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

27%

−1.5%

n=15

Feb

53%

+1.0%

n=15

Mar

63%

−3.7%

n=16

Apr

50%

+2.1%

n=16

May

63%

+3.1%

n=16

Jun

50%

+1.6%

n=16

Jul

38%

+0.2%

n=16

Aug

56%

−2.1%

n=16

Sep

38%

−2.9%

n=16

Oct

47%

+2.3%

n=15

Nov

67%

+6.9%

n=15

Dec

67%

+1.2%

n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-01-05	Patel Mehulkumar Bhikhubhai	director	Sale	25,000 @ $4.84	$121K	−5.3% of holding	−7.1%	+27.2%	444,295	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-18	Patel Mehulkumar Bhikhubhai	director	Sale	10,000 @ $5.12	$51K	−2.1% of holding	−7.3%	+25.7%	469,295	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-21	Storey Thomas W.	director	Purchase	27,118 @ $0.00	$0	+14.4% of holding	+17.3%	+11.7%	215,067	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13	Storey Thomas W.	director	Purchase	16,270 @ $4.62	$75K	+7.6% of holding	+1.4%	+9.4%	231,337	Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade
2025-03-10	Bright Force Investment, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	21,207 @ $6.38	$135K	−1.3% of holding	−29.3%	−24.8%	1,578,793	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-20	Kay Kenneth J	director	Award / grant	22,293	166,835	Form 4
2026-05-20	JONES JEFFREY W	director	Award / grant	22,293	166,835	Form 4
2026-05-20	Storey Thomas W.	director	Award / grant	22,293	253,630	Form 4
2026-05-20	Taitz Hope S	director	Award / grant	22,293	148,752	Form 4
2026-05-20	Belouizdad Amina	director	Award / grant	22,293	105,543	Form 4
2026-05-20	Patel Mehulkumar Bhikhubhai	director	Award / grant	22,293	95,686	Form 4
2026-05-20	Hanson Bjorn R.L.	director	Award / grant	22,293	180,263	Form 4
2026-03-13	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Disposition	256,477	2,099,813	Form 4
2026-03-13	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Disposition	37,306	377,384	Form 4
2026-03-13	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Disposition	93,264	846,281	Form 4
2026-03-13	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Withheld for tax	29,969	939,545	Form 4
2026-03-13	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Withheld for tax	16,089	453,746	Form 4
2026-03-13	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Disposition	38,860	414,886	Form 4
2026-03-13	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Withheld for tax	14,326	414,690	Form 4
2026-03-13	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Withheld for tax	98,492	2,356,290	Form 4
2026-03-09	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Award / grant	42,572	365,158	Form 4
2026-03-09	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Award / grant	63,858	429,016	Form 4
2026-03-09	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Award / grant	292,683	2,015,758	Form 4
2026-03-09	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Award / grant	439,024	2,454,782	Form 4
2026-03-09	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Award / grant	126,386	779,935	Form 4
2026-03-09	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Award / grant	189,579	969,514	Form 4
2026-03-09	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Award / grant	44,346	403,316	Form 4
2026-03-09	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Award / grant	66,519	469,835	Form 4
2025-05-21	Hanson Bjorn R.L.	director	Award / grant	27,118	157,970	Form 4
2025-05-21	JONES JEFFREY W	director	Award / grant	27,118	144,542	Form 4
2025-05-21	Taitz Hope S	director	Award / grant	27,118	126,459	Form 4
2025-05-21	Kay Kenneth J	director	Award / grant	27,118	144,542	Form 4
2025-05-21	Belouizdad Amina	director	Award / grant	27,118	83,250	Form 4
2025-05-21	Patel Mehulkumar Bhikhubhai	director	Award / grant	27,118	73,393	Form 4
2025-03-28	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Withheld for tax	15,789	358,970	Form 4
2025-03-28	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Disposition	13,683	338,135	Form 4
2025-03-28	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Withheld for tax	15,549	322,586	Form 4
2025-03-28	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Disposition	33,449	691,877	Form 4
2025-03-28	Conkling William Higgins	officer	Withheld for tax	38,328	653,549	Form 4
2025-03-28	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Disposition	91,223	1,852,693	Form 4
2025-03-28	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Withheld for tax	129,618	1,723,075	Form 4
2025-03-28	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Disposition	13,683	374,759	Form 4
2025-03-07	Eng Christopher R.	officer	Award / grant	47,022	388,442	Form 4
2025-03-07	Stanner Jonathan P	director	Award / grant	310,345	1,943,916	Form 4
2025-03-07	RUIZ PAUL	officer	Award / grant	30,094	306,677	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i