Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.59 · now $11.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INKT has typically landed between $7.64 and $17.84 — a range of −34.1% to +53.9% from the issuance price $11.59.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,211 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-10-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INKT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.59 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.06 (-4.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.95–$12.18
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.64–$17.84
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-11-26 | −79.0% | −79.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-24 | −77.1% | −78.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-11-22 | −75.6% | −75.6% | +18.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-06-10 | +435.8% | −7.9% | +435.8% |
| 2025-06-11 | +269.0% | −8.0% | +435.0% |
| 2025-06-13 | +220.7% | −3.7% | +460.1% |
1,211 overlapping windows · 2021-10-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $12.80 | $13K | −4.4% of holding | −15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 500 @ $12.68 | $6K | −2.1% of holding | −15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 500 @ $15.57 | $8K | −2.3% of holding | −15.8% | −25.1% | 20,906 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 500 @ $15.30 | $8K | −2.4% of holding | −15.8% | −25.1% | 20,406 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 300 @ $15.28 | $5K | −1.4% of holding | −15.8% | −25.1% | 21,406 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 200 @ $10.17 | $2K | −0.9% of holding | +6.8% | −4.0% | 21,706 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 100 @ $10.83 | $1K | −0.5% of holding | +1.6% | −10.6% | 21,906 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Ryan Barbara | director | Sale | 400 @ $10.86 | $4K | −1.8% of holding | +3.7% | −8.4% | 22,006 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
52 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,633 | 54,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 1,622 | 23,591 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,485 | 24,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 1,279 | 23,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Holcomb John Bradley | director | Award / grant | 1,233 | 4,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,444 | 53,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 1,434 | 23,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,313 | 22,919 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 1,131 | 22,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Holcomb John Bradley | director | Award / grant | 1,091 | 3,458 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,640 | 51,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 1,629 | 22,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,491 | 21,606 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 1,285 | 21,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Holcomb John Bradley | director | Award / grant | 1,239 | 2,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Buell Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 31,474 | 67,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 5,395 | 5,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Buell Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 5,395 | 5,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 5,395 | 5,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 5,395 | 5,395 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,612 | 50,053 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 1,601 | 22,406 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,466 | 20,115 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 1,263 | 20,234 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Kadlec Robert Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,218 | 19,126 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Holcomb John Bradley | director | Award / grant | 1,128 | 1,128 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-23 | Holcomb John Bradley | director | Award / grant | 4,174 | 4,174 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Buell Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 18,229 | 41,913 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 3,225 | 3,225 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 3,225 | 3,225 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 3,225 | 3,225 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 3,225 | 3,225 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Buell Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Kadlec Robert Peter | director | Award / grant | 3,225 | 3,225 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Corvese Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,290 | 48,441 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Ryan Barbara | director | Award / grant | 1,281 | 20,805 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Behner Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,173 | 18,649 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | WIINBERG ULF | director | Award / grant | 1,011 | 18,971 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Kadlec Robert Peter | director | Award / grant | 975 | 17,908 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.