Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.11 · now $26.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INGM has typically landed between $21.73 and $32.13 — a range of −16.8% to +23.0% from the issuance price $26.11.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
453 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-10-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INGM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $26.11 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.32 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.48–$28.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $21.73–$32.13
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-03-10 | −22.5% | −22.5% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | −21.6% | −21.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-10 | −21.0% | −21.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-20 | +39.5% | −1.0% | +39.5% |
| 2026-03-23 | +39.1% | +0.0% | +40.8% |
| 2026-03-18 | +37.2% | +0.0% | +37.2% |
453 overlapping windows · 2024-10-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,125,000 @ $27.19 | $356.8M | −7.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 164,341,319 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,167,069 @ $29.03 | $150.0M | −2.8% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,466,319 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $30.00 | $300K | −6.6% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,465 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $29.30 | $1.5M | −24.9% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 150,465 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,471,153 @ $24.96 | $361.2M | −7.3% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,633,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,348,314 @ $21.36 | $28.8M | −0.7% of holding | +23.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 197,104,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,499,999 @ $21.36 | $267.0M | −5.9% of holding | +21.1% | +15.4% | 198,452,855 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
31 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Wienbar Sharon L | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 25,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Alvaro Felicia | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 32,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Haussler Jakki L. | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 25,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | STONE HEISZ LESLIE | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 25,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MONIE ALAIN | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 25,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | ASHMORE CRAIG W | director | Award / grant | 7,031 | 7,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Hornstein Carolyn | officer | Award / grant | 8,407 | 36,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Bay Paul D | director | Award / grant | 168,146 | 610,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Award / grant | 25,222 | 200,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Sherman Scott D | officer | Award / grant | 25,222 | 231,927 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Zilis Michael | director | Award / grant | 37,833 | 277,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Bay Paul D | director | Withheld for tax | 13,874 | 442,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Zilis Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 2,601 | 239,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Sherman Scott D | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,853 | 206,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,424 | 175,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Hornstein Carolyn | officer | Withheld for tax | 597 | 27,809 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-23 | Bay Paul D | director | Withheld for tax | 23,938 | 456,304 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-23 | Zilis Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 17,975 | 241,832 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-23 | Sherman Scott D | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,960 | 208,558 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-23 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,650 | 176,667 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hornstein Carolyn | officer | Withheld for tax | 910 | 28,406 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Alvaro Felicia | director | Award / grant | 9,615 | 25,008 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | MONIE ALAIN | director | Award / grant | 9,615 | 18,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | STONE HEISZ LESLIE | director | Award / grant | 9,615 | 18,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Wienbar Sharon L | director | Award / grant | 9,615 | 18,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Haussler Jakki L. | director | Award / grant | 9,615 | 18,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Zilis Michael | director | Award / grant | 21,746 | 259,807 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Hornstein Carolyn | officer | Award / grant | 4,348 | 29,316 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Sherman Scott D | officer | Award / grant | 14,497 | 221,518 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Aragone Augusto | officer | Award / grant | 14,497 | 186,317 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Bay Paul D | director | Award / grant | 115,979 | 480,242 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.