Issued 2026-09-25 at $3.85 · now $3.85 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, INDP has typically landed between $2.36 and $5.96 — a range of −38.7% to +54.8% from the issuance price $3.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,779 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-08-04 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($3.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INDP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $3.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.5 (-9.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3–$4
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.36–$5.96
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2019-06-27 | −89.4% | −89.4% | +1.9% |
| 2019-07-11 | −89.1% | −89.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-06-28 | −89.0% | −89.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-08-18 | +319.8% | +0.0% | +319.8% |
| 2026-08-19 | +277.7% | +0.0% | +318.1% |
| 2026-08-25 | +263.6% | +0.0% | +263.6% |
2,779 overlapping windows · 2015-08-04 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- 2027-06-30 — Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: Study of DECOY20 With or Without Tislelizumab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Lazar David E. | director | Sale | 196,800 | — | −65.6% of holding | +90.3% | +100.5% | 103,200 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Lazar David E. | director | Sale | 700,000 | — | −100.0% of holding | +90.3% | +100.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Lazar David E. | director | Sale | 196,800 | — | −65.6% of holding | +90.3% | +100.5% | 103,200 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Lazar David E. | director | Sale | 700,000 | — | −100.0% of holding | +90.3% | +100.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
68 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | Jabbour Jerome D | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 12,136 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 12,136 | 12,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 3,033 | 3,033 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 3,033 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 1,519 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 1,519 | 1,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 12,136 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 12,136 | 12,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 3,033 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 3,033 | 3,033 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 1,519 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 1,519 | 1,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Ben-Tzvi Avraham | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | NATAN DAVID | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Ben-Tzvi Avraham | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 216,617 | 229,929 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Linscott Walt Addison | officer | Award / grant | 54,421 | 54,426 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Newman Michael James | director | Award / grant | 52,204 | 101,074 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Sassi Nir | officer | Award / grant | 26,758 | 26,758 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 12,136 | 16,688 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Award / grant | 6,068 | 13,312 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Hayes William B | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Karah Hila | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | MADDALUNA ANTHONY J | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Martell Robert | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Gilbert Mark John | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Pomerantz Roger | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Pomerantz Roger | director | Disposition | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Hayes William B | director | Disposition | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | MADDALUNA ANTHONY J | director | Disposition | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Karah Hila | director | Disposition | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Sassi Nir | officer | Disposition | 2,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 4,750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Linscott Walt Addison | officer | Disposition | 2,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Meckler Jeffrey A | director | Disposition | 3,750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Pomerantz Roger | director | Disposition | 250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Hayes William B | director | Disposition | 250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | MADDALUNA ANTHONY J | director | Disposition | 250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-10 | Karah Hila | director | Disposition | 281 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.