Issued 2026-09-16 at $101.77 · now $101.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INBX has typically landed between $74.00 and $155.89 — a range of −27.3% to +53.2% from the issuance price $101.77.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,503 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-08-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($101.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where INBX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $101.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $101.77 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $101.58 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $88.16–$114.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $74–$155.89
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-05-29 | −59.7% | −59.7% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-24 | −57.8% | −57.8% | +2.4% |
| 2024-05-28 | −57.7% | −58.0% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-10-23 | +185.6% | +0.0% | +195.9% |
| 2025-10-22 | +166.3% | −10.0% | +166.3% |
| 2020-11-17 | +142.1% | +0.0% | +142.1% |
1,503 overlapping windows · 2020-08-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- May 2029 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2/Phase PHASE3 primary completion: INBRX-106 in Combination With Pembrolizumab in First-line PD-L1 CPS≥20 HNSCC (source, as of 2026-08-14)
- July 2033 — Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: Study of INBRX-106 and INBRX-106 in Combination With Pembrolizumab (Keytruda®) in Subjects With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors (Hexavalent OX40 Agonist) (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Sale | 500 @ $105.05 | $53K | −6.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Sale | 500 @ $110.26 | $55K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Sale | 500 @ $111.78 | $56K | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Sale | 500 @ $115.80 | $58K | −5.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 9,681 @ $112.28 | $1.1M | +1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 730,548 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 6,605 @ $100.64 | $665K | +0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 718,048 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 5,895 @ $99.29 | $585K | +0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 711,443 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $113.52 | $568K | +1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 424,360 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | FORSYTH DOUGLAS | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $114.65 | $287K | +1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 227,064 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 1,219 @ $111.88 | $136K | +0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 720,867 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 1,100 @ $107.12 | $118K | +0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 719,148 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Sale | 500 @ $115.14 | $58K | −5.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Lappe Mark | director | Purchase | 500 @ $108.23 | $54K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 719,648 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-07 | VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 308,643 @ $32.25 | $10.0M | −19.6% of holding | +141.6% | +122.6% | 1,267,823 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,042 @ $32.25 | $808K | −19.6% of holding | +141.6% | +122.6% | 102,864 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 16,315 @ $32.25 | $526K | −19.6% of holding | +141.6% | +122.6% | 67,018 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
15 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | FORSYTH DOUGLAS | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Vuori Kristiina MD | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Matly David | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | MANHARD KIMBERLY | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Vuori Kristiina MD | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | FORSYTH DOUGLAS | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Matly David | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Deck Kelly | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-27 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Gift | 90,000 | 419,360 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Gift | 500,000 | 509,360 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Gift | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-06 | Kayyem Jon Faiz | director | Gift | 52,000 | 1,009,360 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.