INBKFirst Internet BancorpFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.54 · now $27.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, INBK has typically landed between $21.90 and $34.50 — a range of −20.5% to +25.3% from the issuance price $27.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where INBK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$21.9worst · -20.5%$34.5best · +25.3%
  • now $27.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.42 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.85–$29.99
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $21.9–$34.5
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−55.8%−55.8%+1.3%
2020-02-21−54.5%−55.3%+0.0%
2020-02-20−53.4%−56.3%+0.0%
3 best
2010-03-01+64.5%+0.0%+64.5%
2010-02-26+64.5%+0.0%+64.5%
2010-02-25+64.5%+0.0%+64.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+2.0%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.4%
n=20
Mar
35%
−1.7%
n=20
Apr
45%
+2.4%
n=20
May
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Jun
45%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
45%
+4.3%
n=20
Aug
45%
+0.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.0%
n=20
Oct
50%
+1.5%
n=20
Nov
60%
+4.8%
n=20
Dec
40%
+1.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$30$172026-02-24: 1 insider purchase, $20K — Fenech Joseph A.2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $36K — Lorch Nicole S.2025-10-30: 1 insider purchase, $20K — Dee Ann C.2025-10-29: 1 insider purchase, $93K — BECKER DAVID B2025-10-28: 1 insider purchase, $39K — KEACH JOHN K JR2025-10: 3 open-market purchases, $152K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $36K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $20K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Fenech Joseph A. — Purchase on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lorch Nicole S. — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dee Ann C. — Purchase on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BECKER DAVID B — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KEACH JOHN K JR — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-24Fenech Joseph A.directorPurchase1,000 @ $19.83$20K+11.0% of holding+5.2%+31.2%10,102Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Lorch Nicole S.officerPurchase2,000 @ $17.96$36K+2.9% of holding+30.6%+28.8%70,206Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-30Dee Ann C.directorPurchase1,110 @ $17.94$20K+7.0% of holding+11.3%+33.4%17,070Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-29BECKER DAVID BdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $18.67$93K+1.2% of holding+9.0%+30.3%419,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28KEACH JOHN K JRdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $19.34$39K+5.7% of holding+2.0%+17.2%37,046Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

23 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-18Fenech Joseph A.directorAward / grant2,41612,535Form 4
2026-05-18Christian Justin P.directorAward / grant2,41613,278Form 4
2026-05-18Raines Michele L.directorAward / grant2,4166,440Form 4
2026-05-18WOJTOWICZ JEAN LdirectorAward / grant2,41642,421Form 4
2026-05-18Dee Ann C.directorAward / grant2,41619,532Form 4
2026-05-18KEACH JOHN K JRdirectorAward / grant2,41639,571Form 4
2026-05-18Bade Aasif M.directorAward / grant2,41614,335Form 4
2026-01-31Lovik Kenneth J.officerAward / grant1,11651,733Form 4
2026-01-20BECKER DAVID BdirectorAward / grant12,566432,810Form 4
2026-01-20Lorch Nicole S.officerAward / grant8,08478,449Form 4
2026-01-20Lovik Kenneth J.officerAward / grant4,62052,849Form 4
2025-05-19Fenech Joseph A.directorAward / grant2,2879,051Form 4
2025-05-19Christian Justin P.directorAward / grant2,28710,862Form 4
2025-05-19KEACH JOHN K JRdirectorAward / grant2,28734,949Form 4
2025-05-19Raines Michele L.directorAward / grant2,2874,007Form 4
2025-05-19Dee Ann C.directorAward / grant2,28715,919Form 4
2025-05-19WOJTOWICZ JEAN LdirectorAward / grant2,28739,628Form 4
2025-05-19Bade Aasif M.directorAward / grant2,28711,919Form 4
2025-01-31Lovik Kenneth J.officerWithheld for tax1,02847,901Form 4
2025-01-06BECKER DAVID BdirectorAward / grant7,075411,318Form 4
2025-01-06Lorch Nicole S.officerAward / grant4,50867,667Form 4
2025-01-06Lovik Kenneth J.officerAward / grant2,60148,904Form 4
2024-12-13BECKER DAVID BdirectorGift15,000404,188Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.