Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.12 · now $10.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMUX has typically landed between $6.95 and $14.64 — a range of −31.3% to +44.7% from the issuance price $10.12.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,095 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-04-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IMUX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.12 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.89 (-2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.46–$11.32
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.95–$14.64
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-08-29 | −97.2% | −97.2% | +0.0% |
| 2018-08-15 | −97.1% | −97.1% | +6.4% |
| 2018-08-28 | −96.9% | −97.1% | +2.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2019-03-13 | +256.2% | −16.7% | +256.2% |
| 2019-03-12 | +240.7% | −14.2% | +240.7% |
| 2019-03-07 | +229.9% | −12.2% | +229.9% |
3,095 overlapping windows · 2014-04-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-13 | Nash Duane | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $0.83 | $17K | +124.8% of holding | +6.4% | −37.6% | 36,032 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Neermann Joerg | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $0.76 | $23K | +17.6% of holding | +2.3% | −27.1% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-05 | Tardio Jason | officer | Purchase | 12,512 @ $0.79 | $10K | ownership Δ n/a | +2.3% | −27.1% | 12,512 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Neermann Joerg | director | Purchase | 70,000 @ $0.77 | $54K | +70.0% of holding | −5.8% | −31.5% | 170,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Vitt Daniel | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $0.77 | $12K | +107.1% of holding | −5.8% | −31.5% | 29,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Rudick Richard Alan | director | Purchase | 143,075 @ $0.70 | $100K | +163.9% of holding | −5.6% | −25.7% | 230,375 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Purchase | 45,000 @ $0.71 | $32K | +89.1% of holding | −5.6% | −25.7% | 95,510 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
45 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Ridloff Elena | director | Award / grant | 50,740 | 50,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Rudick Richard Alan | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Skerjanec Simona | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Neermann Joerg | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | PHILLIPS BARCLAY A | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Congleton Jon | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | PHILLIPS BARCLAY A | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Neermann Joerg | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Rudick Richard Alan | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Skerjanec Simona | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Vitt Daniel | director | Award / grant | 445,000 | 445,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | BONNEY MICHAEL W | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Congleton Jon | director | Award / grant | 50,740 | 50,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | HOWSON TAMAR D | director | Award / grant | 25,370 | 25,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 120,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Tardio Jason | officer | Award / grant | 253,000 | 253,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Lundgren Erik | officer | Award / grant | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Panzara Michael A. | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Tardio Jason | officer | Award / grant | 330,000 | 330,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Award / grant | 280,000 | 280,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Award / grant | 560,000 | 560,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Tardio Jason | officer | Award / grant | 660,000 | 660,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Muehler Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 330,000 | 330,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Muehler Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 660,000 | 660,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Vitt Daniel | director | Award / grant | 860,000 | 860,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Vitt Daniel | director | Award / grant | 1,720,000 | 1,720,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Nash Duane | director | Award / grant | 315,000 | 315,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Nash Duane | director | Award / grant | 630,000 | 630,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Nash Duane | director | Award / grant | 560,000 | 560,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Award / grant | 503,000 | 503,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Neermann Joerg | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Toernsen Monika Maria | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Rudick Richard Alan | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Skerjanec Simona | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Tardio Jason | officer | Award / grant | 595,000 | 595,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | PHILLIPS BARCLAY A | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Muehler Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 595,000 | 595,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | HOWSON TAMAR D | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Vitt Daniel | director | Award / grant | 1,535,000 | 1,535,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Whaley Glenn | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 50,510 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.