Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.92 · now $11.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMMX has typically landed between $8.29 and $19.79 — a range of −30.4% to +66.0% from the issuance price $11.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,169 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-12-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IMMX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.92 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.69–$14.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.29–$19.79
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-09 | −62.3% | −62.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-08 | −61.2% | −61.2% | +2.3% |
| 2022-02-07 | −58.7% | −60.8% | +2.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-11-11 | +128.5% | +0.0% | +128.5% |
| 2022-04-27 | +123.3% | −2.3% | +123.3% |
| 2022-12-05 | +117.9% | −10.3% | +117.9% |
1,169 overlapping windows · 2021-12-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Purchase | 770 @ $6.58 | $5K | +0.3% of holding | −35.4% | +17.1% | 291,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-10 | Rachman Ilya M | director | Purchase | 746 @ $6.67 | $5K | +0.1% of holding | −35.4% | +17.1% | 1,141,683 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-17 | Rachman Ilya M | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $2.02 | $5K | +0.2% of holding | +37.3% | +393.2% | 1,140,937 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-16 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Purchase | 2,600 @ $1.97 | $5K | +0.9% of holding | +29.9% | +372.2% | 290,659 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | Hsu Jason | director | Purchase | 40,000 @ $2.19 | $88K | +4.7% of holding | −12.7% | −4.5% | 893,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-20 | Hsu Jason | director | Purchase | 7,700 @ $2.17 | $17K | +0.9% of holding | −8.4% | −0.9% | 853,000 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
28 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Adams Helen C. | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 181,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Adams Helen C. | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | BUCHAN JANE | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 28,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | BUCHAN JANE | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | CHANG NANCY T | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 428,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | CHANG NANCY T | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Chudnovsky Yekaterina | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 6,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Chudnovsky Yekaterina | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Hsu Jason | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 899,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Hsu Jason | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Rachman Ilya M | director | Award / grant | 500,000 | 500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marquet Magda | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 52,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marquet Magda | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Award / grant | 500,000 | 500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Ng Carey | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 26,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Ng Carey | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Exercise | 156,000 | 426,844 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Exercise | 60,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Exercise | 96,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | CHANG NANCY T | director | Award / grant | 39,643 | 39,643 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Ng Carey | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Rachman Ilya M | director | Award / grant | 340,000 | 340,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Morris Gabriel S | director | Award / grant | 340,000 | 340,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Adams Helen C. | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Hsu Jason | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | BUCHAN JANE | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Chudnovsky Yekaterina | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Marquet Magda | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.