IMMR · TickerCove

IMMRImmersion CorporationTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.12 · now $7.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMMR has typically landed between $6.09 and $8.58 — a range of −14.4% to +20.4% from the issuance price $7.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$7.12 · 73% of range

$5.34 low$7.79 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 10.8%

−14.4%worst (p90)+20.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where IMMR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $7.12 (+0.0%)
typical $7.12 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $6.74–$7.5
90% range $6.09–$8.58

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-02-03	−57.1%	−57.1%	+0.0%
2009-02-05	−53.3%	−55.3%	+1.5%
2009-02-02	−51.3%	−51.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2013-03-06	+74.5%	+0.0%	+90.3%
2013-02-25	+74.1%	−8.5%	+74.1%
2008-12-02	+71.6%	+0.0%	+72.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

30%

−0.6%

n=20

Feb

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Mar

45%

+1.4%

n=20

Apr

50%

+5.9%

n=20

May

60%

+6.9%

n=20

Jun

65%

+1.8%

n=20

Jul

70%

+3.2%

n=20

Aug

30%

−6.0%

n=20

Sep

35%

−2.4%

n=20

Oct

25%

−1.8%

n=20

Nov

55%

+3.2%

n=20

Dec

50%

+4.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-12	DODSON J MICHAEL	director	Sale	4,899 @ $6.54	$32K	−12.5% of holding	+0.3%	not yet — horizon still open	34,233	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-12	DODSON J MICHAEL	director	Sale	5,921 @ $7.53	$45K	−13.1% of holding	−1.6%	−21.7%	39,132	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Singer Eric	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $7.47	$37K	+0.2% of holding	+0.1%	−18.9%	2,166,866	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-20	Singer Eric	director	Purchase	42,638 @ $7.51	$320K	+2.0% of holding	+1.5%	−19.4%	2,161,866	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-20	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Purchase	27,150 @ $7.55	$205K	+1.9% of holding	+1.5%	−19.4%	1,450,693	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

38 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-31	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	5,640	1,423,164	Form 4
2026-07-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	2,116,558	Form 4
2026-07-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	2,101,801	Form 4
2026-04-30	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	17,872	1,417,524	Form 4
2026-04-30	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	7,425	1,399,652	Form 4
2026-04-06	Nader Elias	director	Award / grant	21,815	68,323	Form 4
2026-04-06	HOFFMAN EMILY	director	Award / grant	21,815	97,100	Form 4
2026-04-06	Wasch Childress Frederick	director	Award / grant	21,815	87,913	Form 4
2026-04-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,850	2,131,315	Form 4
2026-04-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	2,146,165	Form 4
2026-01-30	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	6,588	1,392,227	Form 4
2026-01-03	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	12,217	2,160,922	Form 4
2026-01-02	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	37,948	1,873,139	Form 4
2026-01-02	Singer Eric	director	Award / grant	300,000	2,173,139	Form 4
2026-01-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	1,911,087	Form 4
2025-11-14	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	17,647	1,385,639	Form 4
2025-10-31	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	7,952	1,367,992	Form 4
2025-10-03	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	13,117	1,925,844	Form 4
2025-10-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	1,938,961	Form 4
2025-07-31	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	7,140	1,360,040	Form 4
2025-07-03	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	13,117	1,953,718	Form 4
2025-07-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	98,375	1,981,592	Form 4
2025-07-01	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Withheld for tax	68,400	1,352,900	Form 4
2025-07-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	1,966,835	Form 4
2025-05-02	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	10,239	1,421,300	Form 4
2025-04-30	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	5,968	1,411,061	Form 4
2025-04-03	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	13,117	2,079,967	Form 4
2025-04-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	59,025	2,093,084	Form 4
2025-04-01	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Withheld for tax	45,600	1,405,093	Form 4
2025-04-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	14,757	2,152,109	Form 4
2025-01-31	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	86,899	1,423,543	Form 4
2025-01-03	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	13,117	2,119,228	Form 4
2025-01-02	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	34,509	1,832,345	Form 4
2025-01-02	Singer Eric	director	Award / grant	300,000	2,132,345	Form 4
2025-01-01	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Withheld for tax	8,799	1,344,336	Form 4
2025-01-01	MARTIN WILLIAM C	director	Withheld for tax	7,692	1,336,644	Form 4
2025-01-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	7,132	1,872,942	Form 4
2025-01-01	Singer Eric	director	Withheld for tax	6,088	1,866,854	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i