IMDX · TickerCove

IMDXInsight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.58 · now $3.58 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMDX has typically landed between $2.43 and $5.10 — a range of −32.2% to +42.6% from the issuance price $3.58.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,670 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-12-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.58) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.58 · 17% of range

$2.55 low$8.48 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−6.9%

typical move · IQR 19.7%

−32.2%worst (p90)+42.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where IMDX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.58 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.58 (+0.0%)
typical $3.33 (-6.9%)
middle 50% $2.98–$3.69
90% range $2.43–$5.1

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,670 windows spanning 2015-12-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2016-01-05	−64.9%	−74.1%	+0.0%
2018-02-21	−63.4%	−63.4%	+0.0%
2016-01-06	−62.8%	−70.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2018-12-31	+260.9%	+0.0%	+276.8%
2018-12-27	+258.6%	−4.8%	+258.6%
2018-12-28	+220.4%	−6.1%	+253.7%

2,670 overlapping windows · 2015-12-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+27.4%

n=11

Feb

18%

−6.8%

n=11

Mar

73%

−3.0%

n=11

Apr

55%

+5.4%

n=11

May

45%

+4.5%

n=11

Jun

27%

−8.9%

n=11

Jul

18%

−12.6%

n=11

Aug

45%

−0.1%

n=11

Sep

45%

+5.3%

n=11

Oct

30%

−3.4%

n=10

Nov

50%

+4.7%

n=10

Dec

40%

−0.7%

n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-27	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	250,923 @ $3.64	$913K	+2.0% of holding	+62.0%	not yet — horizon still open	12,684,884	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-27	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+62.0%	not yet — horizon still open	12,684,884	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-24	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	38,880 @ $3.53	$137K	+0.3% of holding	+66.1%	not yet — horizon still open	12,433,961	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+66.1%	not yet — horizon still open	12,433,961	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-23	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	280,381 @ $3.50	$982K	+2.3% of holding	+67.8%	not yet — horizon still open	12,395,081	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-23	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+67.8%	not yet — horizon still open	12,395,081	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-20	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	40,690 @ $3.88	$158K	+0.3% of holding	+35.8%	not yet — horizon still open	12,114,700	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-20	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+35.8%	not yet — horizon still open	12,114,700	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-17	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	40,114 @ $3.57	$143K	+0.3% of holding	+61.3%	not yet — horizon still open	12,074,010	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-17	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+61.3%	not yet — horizon still open	12,074,010	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-16	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	102,057 @ $3.45	$352K	+0.9% of holding	+77.3%	not yet — horizon still open	12,033,896	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-16	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	+77.3%	not yet — horizon still open	12,033,896	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-10	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	521,739 @ $5.75	$3.0M	+4.6% of holding	−30.2%	−51.5%	11,931,839	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10	BROADWOOD PARTNERS, L.P.	director	Purchase	0 @ $0.00	$0	+0.0% of holding	−30.2%	−51.5%	11,931,839	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Arno Andrew	director	Withheld for tax	12,100	156,785	Form 4
2026-07-01	Last Andrew J.	director	Withheld for tax	7,700	58,752	Form 4
2026-07-01	SILVERMAN LOU	director	Withheld for tax	7,700	55,807	Form 4
2026-06-11	Arno Andrew	director	Award / grant	32,331	168,885	Form 4
2026-06-11	Last Andrew J.	director	Award / grant	26,943	66,452	Form 4
2026-06-11	SILVERMAN LOU	director	Award / grant	26,943	63,507	Form 4
2026-03-26	Riggs Josh	director	Withheld for tax	12,310	38,365	Form 4
2026-03-26	James Andrea S.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,298	206,060	Form 4
2026-03-26	Liu James Yang	officer	Withheld for tax	2,578	3,711	Form 4
2026-03-26	Riggs Josh	director	Option exercise	47,170	141,509	Form 4
2026-03-26	James Andrea S.	officer	Option exercise	28,302	84,905	Form 4
2026-03-26	Liu James Yang	officer	Option exercise	6,289	12,578	Form 4
2026-03-26	Liu James Yang	officer	Option exercise	6,289	6,289	Form 4
2026-03-26	Riggs Josh	director	Option exercise	47,170	50,675	Form 4
2026-03-26	James Andrea S.	officer	Option exercise	28,302	217,358	Form 4
2026-03-26	James Andrea S.	officer	Option exercise	28,302	217,358	Form 4
2026-03-26	Riggs Josh	director	Option exercise	47,170	50,675	Form 4
2026-03-26	Liu James Yang	officer	Option exercise	6,289	6,289	Form 4
2025-10-31	James Andrea S.	officer	Option exercise	50,000	201,231	Form 4
2025-10-31	James Andrea S.	officer	Disposition	50,000	50,000	Form 4
2025-09-28	Riggs Josh	director	Award / grant	400,000	400,000	Form 4
2025-09-28	James Andrea S.	officer	Award / grant	235,000	235,000	Form 4
2025-09-28	Liu James Yang	officer	Award / grant	18,000	18,000	Form 4
2025-07-01	SILVERMAN LOU	director	Award / grant	35,000	36,564	Form 4
2025-07-01	Last Andrew J.	director	Award / grant	35,000	39,509	Form 4
2025-07-01	Arno Andrew	director	Award / grant	55,000	136,554	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i