IMAX · TickerCove

IMAXIMAX CorporationCommunication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $52.07 · now $52.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMAX has typically landed between $45.06 and $62.96 — a range of −13.5% to +20.9% from the issuance price $52.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($52.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$52.07 · 89% of range

$31.09 low$54.79 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.3%

typical move · IQR 14.9%

−13.5%worst (p90)+20.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where IMAX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $52.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $52.07 (+0.0%)
typical $52.24 (+0.3%)
middle 50% $48.36–$56.11
90% range $45.06–$62.96

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-14	−59.8%	−59.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−57.9%	−58.1%	+0.6%
2008-09-26	−52.3%	−52.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-12-09	+79.7%	+0.0%	+87.0%
2008-12-04	+76.8%	−5.4%	+76.8%
2008-12-08	+72.2%	−3.3%	+80.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.9%

n=20

Feb

70%

+6.7%

n=20

Mar

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Apr

60%

+4.7%

n=20

May

65%

+0.1%

n=20

Jun

35%

−2.5%

n=20

Jul

55%

+1.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.0%

n=20

Sep

55%

+1.2%

n=20

Oct

50%

+2.9%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.7%

n=20

Dec

45%

+6.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	LISTER ROBERT D	officer	Sale	22,500 @ $51.58	$1.2M	−11.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	182,375	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	WELTON MARK	officer	Sale	30,000 @ $54.47	$1.6M	−17.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	143,216	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Weissman Kenneth Ian	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $54.54	$436K	−22.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	28,205	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24	Fernandes Natasha	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $54.63	$1.1M	−36.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	35,596	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-20	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	100,000 @ $53.23	$5.3M	−13.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	665,002	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-20	PABLO CALAMERA	officer	Sale	15,000 @ $52.41	$786K	−25.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	43,012	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	205,504 @ $53.27	$10.9M	−21.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	151,253 @ $51.00	$7.7M	−16.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Zlatar Jose Aleksandr	officer	Sale	500 @ $49.90	$25K	−46.2% of holding	+3.6%	not yet — horizon still open	583	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	8,943 @ $37.33	$334K	−1.2% of holding	−0.7%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-17	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	34,182 @ $37.06	$1.3M	−4.3% of holding	−6.4%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-16	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	41,737 @ $37.05	$1.5M	−5.2% of holding	−14.8%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-15	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	15,746 @ $37.07	$584K	−2.0% of holding	−15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-14	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	6,924 @ $37.07	$257K	−0.9% of holding	−15.1%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-13	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	97,462 @ $37.15	$3.6M	−11.3% of holding	−15.7%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-10	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	135,046 @ $37.82	$5.1M	−15.0% of holding	−19.4%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-06	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	12,987 @ $40.26	$523K	−1.7% of holding	−19.0%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-02	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	12,037 @ $40.00	$482K	−1.5% of holding	−21.7%	not yet — horizon still open	765,002	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-16	DOUGLAS KEVIN	director	Sale	330,200 @ $37.82	$12.5M	−8.3% of holding	−10.3%	+20.8%	3,657,450	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	DOUGLAS KEVIN	director	Sale	62,600 @ $37.82	$2.4M	−4.6% of holding	−10.3%	+20.8%	1,301,045	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	DOUGLAS KEVIN	director	Sale	43,800 @ $37.82	$1.7M	−6.8% of holding	−10.3%	+20.8%	602,310	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	DOUGLAS KEVIN	director	Sale	43,800 @ $37.82	$1.7M	−6.8% of holding	−10.3%	+20.8%	602,311	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	121,220 @ $40.10	$4.9M	−13.7% of holding	−5.4%	+16.8%	765,002	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15	WELTON MARK	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $39.28	$982K	−16.3% of holding	−9.0%	+4.0%	128,323	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-24	Fernandes Natasha	officer	Sale	2,652 @ $36.15	$96K	−7.8% of holding	+1.2%	−4.5%	31,257	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10	WELTON MARK	officer	Sale	49,504 @ $35.23	$1.7M	−24.4% of holding	+6.0%	−14.8%	153,323	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10	PABLO CALAMERA	officer	Sale	20,586 @ $34.23	$705K	−33.5% of holding	+6.0%	−14.8%	40,886	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10	Dolci Giovanni M.	officer	Sale	6,188 @ $34.25	$212K	−15.8% of holding	+6.0%	−14.8%	33,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07	LISTER ROBERT D	officer	Sale	50,143 @ $34.67	$1.7M	−23.7% of holding	+8.6%	−12.2%	161,421	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	LISTER ROBERT D	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $32.80	$656K	−11.0% of holding	−4.9%	+17.2%	161,421	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14	Weissman Kenneth Ian	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $25.63	$205K	−23.4% of holding	+25.2%	+34.3%	26,133	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14	Weissman Kenneth Ian	officer	Sale	7,072 @ $25.67	$182K	−17.2% of holding	+25.2%	+34.3%	34,133	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-05	Dolci Giovanni M.	officer	Sale	6,500 @ $25.00	$162K	−16.5% of holding	+12.6%	+30.8%	33,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-19	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Sale	100,000 @ $27.11	$2.7M	−14.2% of holding	+7.2%	+17.0%	604,599	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

266 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Conversion	205,504	970,506	Form 4
2026-08-19	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Conversion	205,504	975,654	Form 4
2026-08-18	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Conversion	151,253	1,181,158	Form 4
2026-08-18	GELFOND RICHARD L	director	Conversion	151,253	916,255	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Withheld for tax	2,474	38,181	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Withheld for tax	1,849	39,569	Form 4
2026-06-11	Demirian Eric A	director	Withheld for tax	1,842	38,641	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Option exercise	4,611	40,655	Form 4
2026-06-11	DOUGLAS KEVIN	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,660,840	Form 4
2026-06-11	Pamon Steve	director	Option exercise	3,390	35,515	Form 4
2026-06-11	SETTLE DANA R	director	Option exercise	3,390	69,090	Form 4
2026-06-11	LEEBRON DAVID W	director	Option exercise	3,390	131,083	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Option exercise	3,390	41,418	Form 4
2026-06-11	Demirian Eric A	director	Option exercise	3,390	40,483	Form 4
2026-06-11	Berman Gail	director	Option exercise	3,390	22,582	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Award / grant	4,611	4,611	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Option exercise	4,611	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Option exercise	3,390	22,582	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Option exercise	4,611	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	LEEBRON DAVID W	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Berman Gail	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	Berman Gail	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Pamon Steve	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	Pamon Steve	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Option exercise	3,390	22,582	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	Wong Jennifer L.	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	SETTLE DANA R	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	SETTLE DANA R	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Demirian Eric A	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	Demirian Eric A	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	Throop Darren D	director	Award / grant	4,611	4,611	Form 4
2026-06-11	LEEBRON DAVID W	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	LEEBRON DAVID W	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Award / grant	3,390	3,390	Form 4
2026-06-11	MacMillan Michael	director	Option exercise	3,390	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i