ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties TrustReal Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.69 · now $7.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ILPT has typically landed between $5.52 and $10.10 — a range of −28.2% to +31.4% from the issuance price $7.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,159 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-01-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ILPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.52worst · -28.2%$10.1best · +31.4%
  • now $7.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.55 (-1.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.75–$8.34
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.52–$10.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,159 windows spanning 2018-01-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−43.4%−43.4%+0.0%
2020-02-20−40.3%−40.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−38.8%−38.8%+0.6%
3 best
2023-06-12+119.1%+0.0%+119.1%
2023-06-01+105.4%+0.0%+105.4%
2023-06-09+103.5%+0.0%+113.9%

2,159 overlapping windows · 2018-01-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+3.3%
n=8
Feb
22%
−3.1%
n=9
Mar
44%
−4.0%
n=9
Apr
56%
−5.6%
n=9
May
67%
+4.0%
n=9
Jun
67%
+15.4%
n=9
Jul
78%
+8.3%
n=9
Aug
56%
−1.9%
n=9
Sep
11%
−8.9%
n=9
Oct
25%
−8.1%
n=8
Nov
63%
+3.5%
n=8
Dec
50%
+3.8%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$52026-05-22: 1 insider purchase, $18K — PHELAN KEVIN C2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $18K↑ buys↓ salesdirector PHELAN KEVIN C — Purchase on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-22PHELAN KEVIN CdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $8.87$18K+36.4% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open7,500Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-31PHELAN KEVIN CdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $5.43$27K+47.6% of holding+13.9%−8.2%15,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-30Morea JosephdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $3.31$66K+21.7% of holding+34.9%+54.5%112,191Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant39,164125,863Form 4
2026-09-10PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant39,164251,541Form 4
2026-09-10PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant39,164251,541Form 4
2026-09-10Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant39,164125,863Form 4
2026-09-10Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant39,164125,863Form 4
2026-09-10PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant39,164251,541Form 4
2026-09-10PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant39,164251,541Form 4
2026-09-10Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant39,164125,863Form 4
2026-06-09Poptodorova ElenadirectorWithheld for tax1,87810,636Form 4
2026-06-09Youngs June S.directorAward / grant12,51488,205Form 4
2026-06-09JONES LISA HARRISdirectorAward / grant12,514137,367Form 4
2026-06-09Morea JosephdirectorAward / grant12,514124,705Form 4
2026-06-09PHELAN KEVIN CdirectorAward / grant12,514102,957Form 4
2026-06-09Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant12,51486,699Form 4
2026-06-09Poptodorova ElenadirectorAward / grant12,51412,514Form 4
2026-06-09Youngs June S.directorAward / grant12,51488,205Form 4
2026-06-09PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant12,514212,377Form 4
2026-06-09GANS BRUCE M.directorAward / grant12,514102,205Form 4
2026-06-09Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant12,51486,699Form 4
2026-06-09Poptodorova ElenadirectorAward / grant12,51412,514Form 4
2026-06-09PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant12,514212,377Form 4
2026-06-09GANS BRUCE M.directorAward / grant12,514102,205Form 4
2026-06-09JONES LISA HARRISdirectorAward / grant12,514137,367Form 4
2026-06-09Morea JosephdirectorAward / grant12,514124,705Form 4
2026-06-09PHELAN KEVIN CdirectorAward / grant12,514102,957Form 4
2026-03-18Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant15,62574,185Form 4
2026-03-18Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant15,62574,185Form 4
2025-11-21PHELAN KEVIN CdirectorGift10,0005,500Form 4
2025-09-16Jordan Matthew P.directorWithheld for tax13,367176,902Form 4
2025-09-16PORTNOY ADAM D.directorWithheld for tax6,080199,863Form 4
2025-09-16Duffy YaeldirectorWithheld for tax4,39858,560Form 4
2025-09-16Sy Tiffany RofficerWithheld for tax1,77324,315Form 4
2025-09-09Jordan Matthew P.directorAward / grant40,650190,269Form 4
2025-09-09Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant24,39062,958Form 4
2025-09-09Sy Tiffany RofficerAward / grant13,00826,088Form 4
2025-09-09PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant40,650205,943Form 4
2025-09-09Jordan Matthew P.directorAward / grant40,650190,269Form 4
2025-09-09PORTNOY ADAM D.directorAward / grant40,650205,943Form 4
2025-09-09Duffy YaeldirectorAward / grant24,39062,958Form 4
2025-09-09Sy Tiffany RofficerAward / grant13,00826,088Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.