III · TickerCove

IIIInformation Services Group, Inc.Industrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.27 · now $5.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, III has typically landed between $4.42 and $6.26 — a range of −16.0% to +18.9% from the issuance price $5.27.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,909 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-02-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$5.27 · 69% of range

$3.73 low$5.97 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.2%

typical move · IQR 12.8%

−16.0%worst (p90)+18.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where III has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $5.27 (+0.0%)
typical $5.21 (-1.2%)
middle 50% $4.87–$5.54
90% range $4.42–$6.26

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,909 windows spanning 2007-02-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-11	−53.0%	−53.0%	+7.3%
2020-02-12	−49.0%	−56.2%	+0.0%
2008-10-01	−46.4%	−47.1%	+1.0%
3 best
2020-10-28	+56.8%	+0.0%	+56.8%
2020-03-12	+51.9%	+0.0%	+86.7%
2013-02-27	+50.0%	−0.9%	+50.0%

4,909 overlapping windows · 2007-02-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

42%

+1.4%

n=19

Feb

47%

+0.1%

n=19

Mar

35%

+3.2%

n=20

Apr

50%

−0.3%

n=20

May

40%

−2.0%

n=20

Jun

50%

+1.2%

n=20

Jul

45%

+1.3%

n=20

Aug

55%

+2.1%

n=20

Sep

50%

−0.0%

n=20

Oct

32%

−3.6%

n=19

Nov

58%

+4.5%

n=19

Dec

58%

+0.6%

n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-12-15	Chevrillon & Associes	tenPercentOwner	Sale	200,000 @ $5.95	$1.2M	−8.9% of holding	−0.5%	−38.5%	2,048,607	Form 4 · filed 72 days after the trade
2025-12-11	Chevrillon & Associes	tenPercentOwner	Sale	250,000 @ $6.06	$1.5M	−7.3% of holding	−1.1%	−40.6%	3,188,888	Form 4 · filed 76 days after the trade
2025-11-12	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Sale	66,196 @ $5.26	$348K	−1.3% of holding	+12.8%	−31.2%	5,040,029	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-11	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Sale	100,096 @ $5.21	$522K	−1.9% of holding	+15.3%	−27.0%	5,106,225	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Sale	78,476 @ $5.22	$410K	−1.5% of holding	+17.1%	−26.2%	5,206,321	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Sale	248,935 @ $5.47	$1.4M	−4.5% of holding	+14.1%	−28.3%	5,284,797	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-12	Pfau Bruce	director	Sale	6,000 @ $4.98	$30K	−3.3% of holding	+2.6%	−12.8%	175,419	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

92 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Withheld for tax	66,996	364,551	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,481	1,219,105	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Withheld for tax	10,754	431,547	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,197	336,820	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Option exercise	25,880	0	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Option exercise	18,116	0	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Option exercise	7,764	0	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Option exercise	25,880	1,229,573	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Option exercise	25,880	1,229,573	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Option exercise	18,116	442,301	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Option exercise	7,764	340,781	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Option exercise	7,764	340,781	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Option exercise	18,116	442,301	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Option exercise	7,764	340,781	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Option exercise	25,880	1,229,573	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Option exercise	18,116	442,301	Form 4
2026-08-18	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Option exercise	7,764	340,781	Form 4
2026-08-18	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Option exercise	25,880	1,229,573	Form 4
2026-08-18	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Option exercise	18,116	442,301	Form 4
2026-06-01	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Withheld for tax	56,651	5,156,729	Form 4
2026-06-01	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Withheld for tax	35,575	1,203,693	Form 4
2026-06-01	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Withheld for tax	20,426	424,185	Form 4
2026-06-01	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Withheld for tax	12,419	333,017	Form 4
2026-04-01	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Award / grant	130,208	5,213,380	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Award / grant	97,656	1,239,268	Form 4
2026-04-01	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Award / grant	68,359	444,611	Form 4
2026-04-01	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Award / grant	29,297	345,436	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Award / grant	32,552	32,552	Form 4
2026-04-01	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Award / grant	22,786	22,786	Form 4
2026-04-01	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Award / grant	9,766	9,766	Form 4
2026-04-01	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Award / grant	468,750	468,750	Form 4
2026-03-17	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Withheld for tax	56,359	5,083,172	Form 4
2026-03-17	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Withheld for tax	27,251	376,252	Form 4
2026-03-17	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Withheld for tax	19,379	1,140,528	Form 4
2026-03-17	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,022	315,886	Form 4
2026-03-13	CONNORS MICHAEL P	director	Award / grant	99,502	5,139,531	Form 4
2026-03-13	Lavieri Todd D.	officer	Award / grant	55,970	1,159,907	Form 4
2026-03-13	Sherrick Michael A.	officer	Award / grant	44,776	403,503	Form 4
2026-03-13	Kucinski Thomas S.	officer	Award / grant	7,463	326,908	Form 4
2025-12-12	RAINA KALPANA	director	Disposition	3,904	388,613	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i