Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.55 · now $2.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IHRT has typically landed between $1.71 and $3.56 — a range of −33.0% to +39.4% from the issuance price $2.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,812 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-05-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IHRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.48 (-2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.07–$2.89
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.71–$3.56
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −64.4% | −64.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-05 | −63.5% | −63.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-06 | −62.5% | −62.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-01 | +111.7% | +0.0% | +111.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | +104.5% | +0.0% | +104.5% |
| 2026-04-06 | +96.2% | +0.0% | +97.8% |
1,812 overlapping windows · 2019-05-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 16,349 @ $2.97 | $49K | +0.3% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,231,286 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-05 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 32,468 @ $3.25 | $106K | +0.5% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,214,937 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-14 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 117,371 @ $2.19 | $257K | +2.6% of holding | +24.1% | +48.1% | 4,558,760 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Sale | 136 @ $1.24 | $169 | −100.0% of holding | +35.7% | +214.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 200,000 @ $1.22 | $244K | +4.7% of holding | +32.1% | +217.3% | 4,441,389 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 170 @ $1.03 | $175 | +33.3% of holding | +19.5% | +190.4% | 681 | Form 4 · filed 32 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Sale | 200 @ $1.02 | $204 | −59.5% of holding | +14.7% | +202.9% | 136 | Form 4 · filed 36 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-07 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 190 @ $1.23 | $234 | +59.2% of holding | −19.6% | +117.4% | 511 | Form 4 · filed 53 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-24 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 197 @ $1.76 | $347 | +141.7% of holding | −31.6% | +56.5% | 336 | Form 4 · filed 67 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-21 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 168 @ $1.69 | $284 | +109.8% of holding | −33.3% | +57.8% | 321 | Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $1.79 | $179K | +2.8% of holding | −22.3% | +9.6% | 3,617,764 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Purchase | 200,000 @ $1.60 | $320K | +4.9% of holding | −0.7% | +34.9% | 4,241,389 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 153 @ $1.70 | $260 | ownership Δ n/a | −1.2% | +11.1% | 153 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Purchase | 139 @ $1.71 | $238 | ownership Δ n/a | −1.2% | +11.1% | 139 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
145 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | MILLARD ROBERT B | director | Gift | 137,734 | 137,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | MILLARD ROBERT B | director | Gift | 137,734 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | MILLARD ROBERT B | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 249,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Englebardt Samuel Eli | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 691,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHI | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 421,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Englebardt Samuel Eli | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 726,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Rasulo James A | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 496,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Monteagudo Graciela | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 382,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | MILLS CHERYL D | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 407,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | MILLARD ROBERT B | director | Award / grant | 35,629 | 284,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Withheld for tax | 554,965 | 4,686,838 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Withheld for tax | 554,965 | 5,676,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Disposition | 302,138 | 6,231,621 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Disposition | 302,138 | 5,241,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Withheld for tax | 226,630 | 6,533,759 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Withheld for tax | 226,630 | 5,543,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | MCGUINNESS MICHAEL B | officer | Withheld for tax | 115,678 | 642,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 6,760,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 5,770,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 6,760,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 5,770,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 528,768 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Hillman David | officer | Withheld for tax | 55,300 | 354,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Disposition | 146,659 | 5,291,747 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Disposition | 146,659 | 6,232,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Withheld for tax | 110,008 | 5,438,406 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Withheld for tax | 110,008 | 6,379,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Withheld for tax | 50,004 | 6,182,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Withheld for tax | 50,004 | 5,241,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | MCGUINNESS MICHAEL B | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,890 | 787,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | MCGUINNESS MICHAEL B | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,890 | 757,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | MCGUINNESS MICHAEL B | officer | Disposition | 14,277 | 772,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | MCGUINNESS MICHAEL B | officer | Option exercise | 29,167 | 29,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 256,667 | 256,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 256,667 | 256,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | BRESSLER RICHARD J | director | Option exercise | 256,667 | 5,548,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PITTMAN ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 256,667 | 6,489,410 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.