IHRTiHeartMedia, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.55 · now $2.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IHRT has typically landed between $1.71 and $3.56 — a range of −33.0% to +39.4% from the issuance price $2.55.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,812 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-05-072026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IHRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.71worst · -33.0%$3.56best · +39.4%
  • now $2.55 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.48 (-2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.07$2.89
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.71$3.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,812 windows spanning 2019-05-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−64.4%−64.4%+0.0%
2020-03-05−63.5%−63.5%+0.0%
2020-03-06−62.5%−62.5%+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-01+111.7%+0.0%+111.7%
2026-03-31+104.5%+0.0%+104.5%
2026-04-06+96.2%+0.0%+97.8%

1,812 overlapping windows · 2019-05-072026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
71%
+4.3%
n=7
Feb
43%
−5.0%
n=7
Mar
14%
−17.5%
n=7
Apr
43%
+6.0%
n=7
May
43%
−9.9%
n=7
Jun
50%
+9.4%
n=8
Jul
50%
+9.4%
n=8
Aug
38%
−3.9%
n=8
Sep
50%
+1.8%
n=8
Oct
57%
−4.0%
n=7
Nov
86%
+15.8%
n=7
Dec
71%
−0.6%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$22026-03-09: 1 insider purchase, $49K — PITTMAN ROBERT W2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $106K — PITTMAN ROBERT W2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $257K — PITTMAN ROBERT W2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $257K2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $154K↑ buys↓ salesdirector PITTMAN ROBERT W — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector PITTMAN ROBERT W — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector PITTMAN ROBERT W — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-09PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorPurchase16,349 @ $2.97$49K+0.3% of holding+15.6%not yet — horizon still open6,231,286Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorPurchase32,468 @ $3.25$106K+0.5% of holding+2.1%not yet — horizon still open6,214,937Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorPurchase117,371 @ $2.19$257K+2.6% of holding+24.1%+48.1%4,558,760Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-16SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorSale136 @ $1.24$169−100.0% of holding+35.7%+214.5%0Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-05-15PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorPurchase200,000 @ $1.22$244K+4.7% of holding+32.1%+217.3%4,441,389Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-28SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase170 @ $1.03$175+33.3% of holding+19.5%+190.4%681Form 4 · filed 32 days after the trade
2025-04-24SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorSale200 @ $1.02$204−59.5% of holding+14.7%+202.9%136Form 4 · filed 36 days after the trade
2025-04-07SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase190 @ $1.23$234+59.2% of holding−19.6%+117.4%511Form 4 · filed 53 days after the trade
2025-03-24SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase197 @ $1.76$347+141.7% of holding−31.6%+56.5%336Form 4 · filed 67 days after the trade
2025-03-21SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase168 @ $1.69$284+109.8% of holding−33.3%+57.8%321Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade
2025-03-07BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.79$179K+2.8% of holding−22.3%+9.6%3,617,764Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-04PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorPurchase200,000 @ $1.60$320K+4.9% of holding−0.7%+34.9%4,241,389Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase153 @ $1.70$260ownership Δ n/a−1.2%+11.1%153Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade
2025-02-28SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorPurchase139 @ $1.71$238ownership Δ n/a−1.2%+11.1%139Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

145 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-29MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorGift137,734137,734Form 4
2026-07-29MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorGift137,7340Form 4
2026-06-04MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorAward / grant35,629249,043Form 4
2026-06-04Englebardt Samuel ElidirectorAward / grant35,629691,297Form 4
2026-06-04SIVARAMAKRISHNAN KAMAKSHIdirectorAward / grant35,629421,541Form 4
2026-06-04Englebardt Samuel ElidirectorAward / grant35,629726,926Form 4
2026-06-04Rasulo James AdirectorAward / grant35,629496,902Form 4
2026-06-04Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant35,629382,822Form 4
2026-06-04MILLS CHERYL DdirectorAward / grant35,629407,155Form 4
2026-06-04MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorAward / grant35,629284,672Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorWithheld for tax554,9654,686,838Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax554,9655,676,656Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorDisposition302,1386,231,621Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorDisposition302,1385,241,803Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax226,6306,533,759Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorWithheld for tax226,6305,543,941Form 4
2026-05-18MCGUINNESS MICHAEL BofficerWithheld for tax115,678642,183Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise528,7680Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise528,7686,760,389Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise528,7680Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise528,7685,770,571Form 4
2026-05-18PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise528,7686,760,389Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise528,7680Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise528,7685,770,571Form 4
2026-05-18BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise528,7680Form 4
2026-04-28Hillman DavidofficerWithheld for tax55,300354,349Form 4
2026-02-25BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorDisposition146,6595,291,747Form 4
2026-02-25PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorDisposition146,6596,232,473Form 4
2026-02-25BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorWithheld for tax110,0085,438,406Form 4
2026-02-25PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax110,0086,379,132Form 4
2026-02-25PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorWithheld for tax50,0046,182,469Form 4
2026-02-25BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorWithheld for tax50,0045,241,743Form 4
2026-02-25MCGUINNESS MICHAEL BofficerWithheld for tax14,890787,028Form 4
2026-02-25MCGUINNESS MICHAEL BofficerWithheld for tax14,890757,861Form 4
2026-02-25MCGUINNESS MICHAEL BofficerDisposition14,277772,751Form 4
2026-02-25MCGUINNESS MICHAEL BofficerOption exercise29,16729,167Form 4
2026-02-25BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise256,667256,667Form 4
2026-02-25PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise256,667256,667Form 4
2026-02-25BRESSLER RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise256,6675,548,414Form 4
2026-02-25PITTMAN ROBERT WdirectorOption exercise256,6676,489,410Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.