IEXIDEX CorporationIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $221.50 · now $221.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IEX has typically landed between $199.60 and $244.05 — a range of −9.9% to +10.2% from the issuance price $221.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($221.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IEX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $221.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$199.6worst · -9.9%$244.05best · +10.2%
  • now $221.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $222.32 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $211.97–$232.67
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $199.6–$244.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−40.9%−40.9%+0.0%
2008-09-25−38.3%−38.3%+0.1%
2008-09-24−35.1%−35.1%+2.5%
3 best
2009-03-05+40.7%−3.1%+40.7%
2020-03-18+34.0%+0.0%+34.0%
2009-03-09+33.5%+0.0%+45.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$16.5B
market cap
$6.76
EPS (TTM)
33.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$3.5B
'20'25
Net income$483M
'20'25
Free cash flow$617M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr14.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.46
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $221.50$202.00$265.37
  • DCF (intrinsic)$206.37
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$207.21
  • Analyst target · range $214.00–$261.00$250.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$221.50

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.7%
n=18
Feb
63%
−0.0%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+3.4%
n=19
May
53%
−0.3%
n=19
Jun
42%
+0.7%
n=19
Jul
68%
+3.8%
n=19
Aug
37%
−0.9%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.7%
n=19
Oct
67%
+0.2%
n=18
Nov
94%
+4.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$241$1572026-08-12: 1 insider sale, $92K — Anderson Lisa M2026-05-11: 2 insider sales, $3.3M — ASHLEMAN ERIC D …2025-11-05: 1 insider purchase, $102K — Christenson Carl R2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $399K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $102K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $3.3M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Anderson Lisa M — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ASHLEMAN ERIC D — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ASHLEMAN ERIC D — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Christenson Carl R — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Anderson Lisa MofficerSale385 @ $238.59$92K−8.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open4,327Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorSale10,470 @ $214.95$2.3M−12.8% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open71,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorSale4,915 @ $215.81$1.1M−6.9% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open66,658Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05Christenson Carl RdirectorPurchase600 @ $169.41$102K+10.4% of holding+4.3%+19.9%6,351Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-07Helmkamp Katrina LdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $159.61$399K+23.4% of holding+0.9%+24.5%13,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-05Mahendra AkhilofficerSale250 @ $180.89$45K−4.7% of holding−3.7%−15.9%5,035Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

65 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Tereso Tara M.officerWithheld for tax1385,698Form 4
2026-08-29Lausas Allison SofficerWithheld for tax6453,302Form 4
2026-08-12Anderson Lisa MofficerOption exercise3854,712Form 4
2026-08-12Anderson Lisa MofficerOption exercise3850Form 4
2026-05-11ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorOption exercise15,38582,043Form 4
2026-05-11ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorOption exercise15,3850Form 4
2026-05-06Gunter Lakecia NdirectorAward / grant8054,925Form 4
2026-05-06Helmkamp Katrina LdirectorAward / grant1,03514,235Form 4
2026-05-06Disher StephaniedirectorAward / grant8051,880Form 4
2026-05-06Christenson Carl RdirectorAward / grant8057,156Form 4
2026-05-06Watts Stanfield ParisdirectorAward / grant8054,195Form 4
2026-05-06BUTHMAN MARK AdirectorAward / grant80510,025Form 4
2026-05-06Beck Mark AdirectorAward / grant8057,755Form 4
2026-05-06Quiroz AlejandrodirectorAward / grant8054,030Form 4
2026-05-06Glastra MatthijsdirectorAward / grant8051,880Form 4
2026-02-23Tereso Tara M.officerWithheld for tax1545,836Form 4
2026-02-22ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorAward / grant9,04066,658Form 4
2026-02-22ASHLEMAN ERIC DdirectorAward / grant38,16538,165Form 4
2026-02-20Lausas Allison SofficerWithheld for tax1793,947Form 4
2026-02-19Gillen Sean M.officerAward / grant10,16010,160Form 4
2026-02-19Simmons William L.officerAward / grant1,0552,892Form 4
2026-02-19Simmons William L.officerAward / grant4,4454,445Form 4
2026-02-19Tereso Tara M.officerAward / grant1,0555,990Form 4
2026-02-19Tereso Tara M.officerAward / grant4,4454,445Form 4
2026-02-19Anderson Lisa MofficerAward / grant1,2054,327Form 4
2026-02-19Anderson Lisa MofficerAward / grant5,0805,080Form 4
2026-02-19Lausas Allison SofficerAward / grant1,1451,145Form 4
2026-02-19Lausas Allison SofficerAward / grant2754,126Form 4
2026-02-19Gillen Sean M.officerAward / grant2,41019,005Form 4
2026-01-05Gillen Sean M.officerAward / grant16,59516,595Form 4
2025-05-30Mahendra AkhilofficerAward / grant2,7655,285Form 4
2025-05-08Disher StephaniedirectorAward / grant8951,075Form 4
2025-05-08Beck Mark AdirectorAward / grant8956,950Form 4
2025-05-08BUTHMAN MARK AdirectorAward / grant8959,220Form 4
2025-05-08Glastra MatthijsdirectorAward / grant8951,075Form 4
2025-05-08Quiroz AlejandrodirectorAward / grant8953,225Form 4
2025-05-08Watts Stanfield ParisdirectorAward / grant8953,390Form 4
2025-05-08Gunter Lakecia NdirectorAward / grant8954,120Form 4
2025-05-08Helmkamp Katrina LdirectorAward / grant1,16510,700Form 4
2025-05-08Christenson Carl RdirectorAward / grant8955,751Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-04-112025-03-31$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-04-102025-03-12$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-03-092025-02-24$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-12-052024-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.