IEPIcahn Enterprises L.P.Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.96 · now $6.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IEP has typically landed between $5.81 and $7.88 — a range of −16.6% to +13.2% from the issuance price $6.96.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IEP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.81worst · -16.6%$7.88best · +13.2%
  • now $6.96 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.96 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.63–$7.29
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.81–$7.88
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-10−58.6%−59.5%+0.0%
2023-04-26−57.1%−57.1%+0.0%
2023-04-27−56.8%−56.9%+0.0%
3 best
2012-12-24+57.8%+0.0%+57.8%
2012-12-26+56.2%+0.0%+56.2%
2013-01-15+54.6%+0.0%+54.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
85%
+9.3%
n=20
Feb
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Mar
25%
−4.7%
n=20
Apr
70%
+3.8%
n=20
May
55%
−3.6%
n=20
Jun
35%
+1.9%
n=20
Jul
75%
+4.1%
n=20
Aug
40%
−3.6%
n=20
Sep
30%
−3.0%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.5%
n=20
Nov
55%
+3.2%
n=20
Dec
35%
−4.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$8$6↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Flint RobertdirectorAward / grant6,6486,648Form 4
2026-08-14Papapostolou TeddirectorAward / grant33,24233,242Form 4
2026-06-25ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition36,456,030618,393,343Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorDisposition20,4860Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorOption exercise20,48620,486Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorDisposition22,6100Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorOption exercise20,48620,486Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorOption exercise20,48620,486Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorOption exercise20,48620,486Form 4
2026-05-06Flint RobertdirectorOption exercise20,48620,486Form 4
2026-04-15ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition32,536,774581,937,313Form 4
2025-12-24ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition30,467,595549,400,539Form 4
2025-09-24ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition24,149,325518,932,944Form 4
2025-06-25ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition22,033,036494,783,619Form 4
2025-04-16ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition21,962,413472,750,583Form 4
2024-12-26ICAHN CARL CdirectorOther acquisition17,581,237450,788,170Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.