Issued 2026-09-16 at $513.62 · now $513.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IDXX has typically landed between $450.13 and $593.40 — a range of −12.4% to +15.5% from the issuance price $513.62.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($513.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IDXX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $513.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $513.62 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $509.54 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $482.01–$537.07
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $450.13–$593.4
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −48.3% | −48.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −45.2% | −45.2% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-08 | −37.8% | −37.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +46.6% | +0.0% | +46.6% |
| 2020-03-20 | +41.4% | −0.2% | +45.9% |
| 2020-03-19 | +38.4% | −5.3% | +38.4% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$173.79
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$372.09
- Analyst target · range $640.00–$800.00$775.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$513.62
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Sale | 2,203 @ $532.08 | $1.2M | −18.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,568 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 1,758 @ $634.57 | $1.1M | −8.8% of holding | −7.7% | −26.8% | 18,141 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 3,660 @ $658.92 | $2.4M | −3.9% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 91,254 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 2,859 @ $659.75 | $1.9M | −3.1% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 88,395 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 2,860 @ $657.84 | $1.9M | −2.9% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 94,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 2,693 @ $661.54 | $1.8M | −11.9% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 19,899 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 2,589 @ $663.04 | $1.7M | −3.0% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 83,606 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,669 @ $652.49 | $1.1M | −1.6% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 102,887 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,488 @ $655.85 | $976K | −1.5% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 99,117 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,343 @ $656.85 | $882K | −1.4% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 97,774 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,281 @ $650.67 | $834K | −1.2% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 105,651 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $661.10 | $793K | −1.4% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 87,195 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,171 @ $653.68 | $765K | −1.1% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 101,716 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,111 @ $654.63 | $727K | −1.1% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 100,605 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,095 @ $651.49 | $713K | −1.0% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 104,556 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $662.16 | $662K | −1.1% of holding | −7.7% | −30.0% | 86,195 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 2,694 @ $628.22 | $1.7M | −16.7% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 13,422 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 1,288 @ $626.26 | $807K | −7.4% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 16,116 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Vandebroek Sophie V. | director | Sale | 945 @ $628.65 | $594K | −44.7% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 1,167 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 689 @ $629.09 | $433K | −5.1% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 12,733 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Vandebroek Sophie V. | director | Sale | 519 @ $628.56 | $326K | −44.5% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 648 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 456 @ $623.76 | $284K | −2.5% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 17,608 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 204 @ $625.24 | $128K | −1.2% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 17,404 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 40 @ $629.86 | $25K | −0.3% of holding | −4.7% | −24.6% | 12,693 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 2,809 @ $649.26 | $1.8M | −22.2% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 9,863 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 2,782 @ $646.23 | $1.8M | −15.9% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 14,698 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 2,161 @ $645.25 | $1.4M | −11.0% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 17,480 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 1,130 @ $643.00 | $727K | −5.3% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 20,038 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 1,060 @ $647.21 | $686K | −7.2% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 13,638 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 966 @ $648.78 | $627K | −7.1% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 12,672 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 397 @ $644.02 | $256K | −2.0% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 19,641 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Sale | 40 @ $650.32 | $26K | −0.4% of holding | −7.9% | −24.0% | 9,823 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 5,114 @ $702.20 | $3.6M | −16.7% of holding | −3.1% | −35.3% | 25,460 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 1,468 @ $704.87 | $1.0M | −6.1% of holding | −3.1% | −35.3% | 22,527 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 1,465 @ $703.73 | $1.0M | −5.8% of holding | −3.1% | −35.3% | 23,995 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 1,378 @ $705.54 | $972K | −6.1% of holding | −3.1% | −35.3% | 21,149 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | SZOSTAK M ANNE | director | Sale | 2,187 @ $647.33 | $1.4M | −89.3% of holding | −2.6% | −6.6% | 262 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 318 @ $649.99 | $207K | −2.7% of holding | −3.4% | −8.8% | 11,375 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Erickson Michael G | officer | Sale | 88 @ $649.85 | $57K | −0.8% of holding | −3.4% | −8.8% | 11,287 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $656.53 | $788K | −6.7% of holding | −4.7% | −10.3% | 16,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Underberg Sharon E. | officer | Sale | 5,450 @ $651.60 | $3.6M | −47.0% of holding | −2.4% | −12.3% | 6,156 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 7,299 @ $631.61 | $4.6M | −7.3% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 93,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 6,056 @ $630.59 | $3.8M | −5.7% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 100,498 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Lane Michael | officer | Sale | 5,631 @ $627.56 | $3.5M | −36.2% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 9,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 3,526 @ $635.13 | $2.2M | −3.9% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 86,673 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 3,397 @ $629.82 | $2.1M | −3.1% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 106,554 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 3,018 @ $629.87 | $1.9M | −12.0% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 22,132 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $632.56 | $1.9M | −3.2% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 90,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hunt Nimrata | director | Sale | 2,907 @ $630.91 | $1.8M | −13.1% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 19,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Lane Michael | officer | Sale | 2,480 @ $627.99 | $1.6M | −25.0% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 7,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAY | director | Sale | 1,822 @ $636.15 | $1.2M | −2.1% of holding | +0.7% | −4.6% | 84,851 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
249 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 2,203 | 11,771 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 2,203 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 2,203 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 2,203 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 2,203 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Emerson Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 265 | 4,507 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Emerson Andrew | officer | Withheld for tax | 86 | 4,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Emerson Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 265 | 925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Emerson Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 265 | 925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L | director | Award / grant | 49 | 325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Withheld for tax | 284 | 10,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Option exercise | 639 | 10,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Option exercise | 639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FENNELL GEORGE | officer | Option exercise | 639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 168 | 168 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 75 | 75 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | JUNIUS DANIEL M | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | JUNIUS DANIEL M | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | SAMAD SAM | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | SAMAD SAM | director | Award / grant | 234 | 1,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vandebroek Sophie V. | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vandebroek Sophie V. | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Britt Irene Chang | director | Award / grant | 234 | 753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Claflin Bruce L. | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Claflin Bruce L. | director | Award / grant | 234 | 1,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Britt Irene Chang | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Peacock Karen | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Peacock Karen | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | ESSIG STUART | director | Award / grant | 525 | 525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | ESSIG STUART | director | Award / grant | 234 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | SZOSTAK M ANNE | director | Option exercise | 257 | 519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L | director | Option exercise | 158 | 276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Peacock Karen | director | Option exercise | 101 | 102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | JUNIUS DANIEL M | director | Option exercise | 257 | 3,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 82 | 9,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Option exercise | 257 | 9,486 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-01 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-30 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-24 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-17 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-23 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | sale | 2026-02-02 | 2026-01-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-11-06 | 2025-10-07 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | sale | 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-16 | $1–15K |
| Byron Donalds | House | purchase | 2025-10-07 | 2025-09-04 | $1–15K |
| Byron Donalds | House | purchase | 2025-10-07 | 2025-09-04 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.