Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.55 · now $69.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IDT has typically landed between $58.20 and $82.32 — a range of −16.3% to +18.4% from the issuance price $69.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IDT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $69.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $71.06 (+2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $66.78–$75.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.2–$82.32
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-11-19 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +44.4% |
| 2008-08-19 | −57.9% | −57.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-08-25 | −57.4% | −57.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2010-06-10 | +94.7% | +0.0% | +94.7% |
| 2010-06-24 | +90.1% | −1.2% | +90.1% |
| 2010-06-09 | +88.9% | −1.0% | +88.9% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Sale | 3,488 @ $62.56 | $218K | −9.0% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,441 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Sale | 505 @ $62.58 | $32K | −3.9% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,522 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Sale | 3,653 @ $63.17 | $231K | −13.1% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Sale | 4,397 @ $63.02 | $277K | −13.6% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,846 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | COSENTINO ERIC F. | director | Sale | 500 @ $57.78 | $29K | −48.1% of holding | +14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 539 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Sale | 23,323 @ $56.98 | $1.3M | −41.5% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,824 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | KATSOF IRWIN | director | Sale | 2,408 @ $55.03 | $133K | −100.0% of holding | +11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | SHEA NADINE | officer | Sale | 500 @ $55.32 | $28K | −5.4% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,725 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Sale | 2,297 @ $50.94 | $117K | −5.7% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,207 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-16 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Sale | 907 @ $50.94 | $46K | −6.9% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,305 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-14 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $51.00 | $1.0M | −38.3% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,243 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $50.50 | $253K | −8.2% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,147 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Sale | 2,505 @ $50.28 | $126K | −8.0% of holding | −2.0% | +18.2% | 28,708 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | PEREIRA BILL | director | Sale | 7,287 @ $51.17 | $373K | −17.1% of holding | −3.6% | +15.4% | 35,213 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Sale | 920 @ $52.04 | $48K | −1.6% of holding | −3.6% | +15.4% | 55,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-14 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Sale | 7,009 @ $52.03 | $365K | −11.0% of holding | −5.1% | +13.4% | 56,863 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Sale | 641 @ $52.29 | $34K | −1.0% of holding | −8.0% | +9.1% | 63,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | COSENTINO ERIC F. | director | Sale | 200 @ $47.61 | $10K | −79.1% of holding | +6.0% | +3.0% | 53 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | PEREIRA BILL | director | Sale | 41,933 @ $49.63 | $2.1M | −49.7% of holding | −0.4% | +0.3% | 42,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | COSENTINO ERIC F. | director | Sale | 800 @ $67.03 | $54K | −76.0% of holding | −20.0% | −37.5% | 253 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | WARTELL DAVID | officer | Sale | 10,735 @ $48.99 | $526K | −100.0% of holding | +3.4% | +14.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | COSENTINO ERIC F. | director | Sale | 551 @ $45.47 | $25K | −34.4% of holding | +0.9% | +21.3% | 1,053 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | WARTELL DAVID | officer | Sale | 17,116 @ $47.11 | $806K | −100.0% of holding | −0.4% | +40.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | SHEA NADINE | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $53.74 | $54K | −17.3% of holding | −10.4% | +21.6% | 4,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 1,165 | 45,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 2,217 | 46,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | CONKLING WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 673 | 673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 7,942 | 48,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 722 | 38,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 722 | 13,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 722 | 29,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 1,175 | 56,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 600 | 57,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Option exercise | 834 | 52,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Withheld for tax | 347 | 52,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Option exercise | 834 | 4,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-28 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 2,214 | 58,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Option exercise | 5,204 | 61,147 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-16 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Option exercise | 5,204 | 12,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | COSENTINO ERIC F. | director | Award / grant | 986 | 1,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | SCHORR JUDAH | director | Award / grant | 986 | 122,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | KATSOF IRWIN | director | Award / grant | 986 | 2,408 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-29 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Other acquisition | 97,163 | 114,106 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 1,150 | 60,701 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 1,000 | 31,213 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 1,000 | 61,851 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | SHEA NADINE | officer | Award / grant | 2,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Award / grant | 2,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | PEREIRA BILL | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | WARTELL DAVID | officer | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 650 | 30,213 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 7,150 | 62,851 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 650 | 40,504 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Gift | 650 | 13,212 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | JONAS HOWARD S | director | Gift | 1,200 | 70,001 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-28 | MASON JOYCE J | officer | Award / grant | 7,685 | 29,563 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-28 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Award / grant | 181 | 51,822 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-28 | ASH MENACHEM | officer | Withheld for tax | 66 | 51,756 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | SILBERMAN MITCH | officer | Award / grant | 261 | 261 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-25 | PEREIRA BILL | director | Option exercise | 100,313 | 135,526 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-25 | FISCHER MARCELO | officer | Option exercise | 56,250 | 92,440 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-25 | PEREIRA BILL | director | Withheld for tax | 51,093 | 84,433 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.