ICHR · TickerCove

ICHRIchor Holdings, Ltd.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $51.42 · now $51.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ICHR has typically landed between $38.94 and $67.89 — a range of −24.3% to +32.0% from the issuance price $51.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,433 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-12-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($51.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$51.42 · 38% of range

$14.25 low$112.28 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.8%

typical move · IQR 25.4%

−24.3%worst (p90)+32.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ICHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $51.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $51.42 (+0.0%)
typical $51 (-0.8%)
middle 50% $44.48–$57.53
90% range $38.94–$67.89

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,433 windows spanning 2016-12-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−57.2%	−57.2%	+3.2%
2020-02-20	−55.2%	−57.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−52.1%	−58.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-01-12	+93.1%	+0.0%	+93.1%
2025-12-18	+93.0%	+0.0%	+93.0%
2026-01-09	+90.5%	+0.0%	+90.5%

2,433 overlapping windows · 2016-12-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

80%

+19.4%

n=10

Feb

60%

+7.2%

n=10

Mar

40%

−3.5%

n=10

Apr

50%

+3.0%

n=10

May

60%

+0.8%

n=10

Jun

60%

+8.8%

n=10

Jul

60%

+1.8%

n=10

Aug

10%

−9.0%

n=10

Sep

40%

−4.6%

n=10

Oct

67%

+4.1%

n=9

Nov

78%

+7.5%

n=9

Dec

33%

−0.1%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	17,400 @ $50.52	$879K	−14.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	105,027	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-15	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	2,600 @ $51.59	$134K	−2.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	102,427	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-08	Swyt Greg	officer	Sale	2,068 @ $58.02	$120K	−4.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	47,832	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Sale	6,456 @ $51.74	$334K	−6.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	96,455	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Sale	3,931 @ $52.19	$205K	−4.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	92,524	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Sale	200 @ $53.05	$11K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	92,324	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Sale	814 @ $61.39	$50K	−0.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	162,062	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Sale	500 @ $62.67	$31K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	161,562	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	5,183 @ $65.19	$338K	−3.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	127,177	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	3,150 @ $65.99	$208K	−2.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	124,027	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	1,200 @ $66.81	$80K	−1.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,827	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18	MacKenzie Iain	director	Sale	400 @ $68.14	$27K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,427	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-08	Swyt Greg	officer	Sale	6,820 @ $66.81	$456K	−11.4% of holding	+42.5%	not yet — horizon still open	53,070	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Sale	13,705 @ $70.19	$962K	−7.7% of holding	+20.6%	not yet — horizon still open	165,078	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02	Black Laura A.	director	Sale	20,000 @ $75.02	$1.5M	−49.4% of holding	+32.7%	not yet — horizon still open	20,462	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-28	Swyt Greg	officer	Sale	19,662 @ $70.42	$1.4M	−24.4% of holding	+51.9%	not yet — horizon still open	60,971	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	Titinger Jorge	director	Sale	4,000 @ $64.21	$257K	−24.5% of holding	+50.7%	not yet — horizon still open	12,318	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13	Haugen Marc	director	Sale	5,337 @ $75.63	$404K	−33.0% of holding	+16.9%	not yet — horizon still open	10,825	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08	Haugen Marc	director	Sale	6,000 @ $71.96	$432K	−23.0% of holding	−3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	20,085	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08	Haugen Marc	director	Sale	3,923 @ $72.35	$284K	−19.5% of holding	−3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	16,162	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-26	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Sale	21,000 @ $46.63	$979K	−12.0% of holding	+4.2%	+13.5%	153,936	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Swyt Greg	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $51.20	$154K	−3.7% of holding	−0.3%	−5.4%	78,679	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Sale	21,276 @ $49.66	$1.1M	−17.9% of holding	+4.1%	−1.1%	97,661	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23	Haugen Marc	director	Sale	19,875 @ $49.71	$988K	−43.2% of holding	+4.1%	−1.1%	26,085	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23	Titinger Jorge	director	Sale	1,200 @ $50.11	$60K	−7.9% of holding	+4.1%	−1.1%	13,969	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12	ROHRS THOMAS M	director	Sale	53,908 @ $45.48	$2.5M	−50.4% of holding	−1.3%	+47.2%	53,024	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17	MacKenzie Iain	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $14.53	$145K	+8.3% of holding	+16.0%	+348.2%	130,011	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-06	MacKenzie Iain	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $15.28	$153K	+9.1% of holding	+15.1%	+399.0%	120,011	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Haugen Marc	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $17.64	$53K	+7.0% of holding	−8.0%	+86.0%	45,960	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-07	MacKenzie Iain	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $16.63	$416K	+71.4% of holding	−2.0%	+83.1%	60,011	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07	Haugen Marc	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $17.75	$53K	+7.5% of holding	−2.0%	+83.1%	42,960	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-08	Andreson Jeff	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $16.86	$169K	+3.6% of holding	+5.2%	−29.1%	285,594	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-18	ROHRS THOMAS M	director	Sale	46,872 @ $32.35	$1.5M	−49.6% of holding	−11.3%	−52.3%	47,687	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-14	ROHRS THOMAS M	director	Sale	78,128 @ $31.98	$2.5M	−45.2% of holding	−6.6%	−47.6%	94,559	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-07	Titinger Jorge	director	Sale	3,000 @ $32.04	$96K	−23.4% of holding	−16.1%	−56.9%	9,832	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	1,081	49,900	Form 4
2026-08-18	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	881	162,876	Form 4
2026-08-18	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	670	102,911	Form 4
2026-08-18	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	503	50,981	Form 4
2026-08-15	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	732	51,484	Form 4
2026-08-15	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	610	163,757	Form 4
2026-08-15	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	580	103,581	Form 4
2026-08-14	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	854	52,216	Form 4
2026-08-14	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	711	164,367	Form 4
2026-08-14	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	676	104,161	Form 4
2026-07-01	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	1,580	104,837	Form 4
2026-06-04	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Option exercise	1,403	178,783	Form 4
2026-06-04	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Option exercise	1,403	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	1,081	59,890	Form 4
2026-05-24	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	1,078	177,380	Form 4
2026-05-18	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	503	80,633	Form 4
2026-05-18	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	881	178,458	Form 4
2026-05-18	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	623	105,711	Form 4
2026-05-15	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	732	73,452	Form 4
2026-05-15	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	610	150,483	Form 4
2026-05-15	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	539	94,255	Form 4
2026-05-14	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	3,414	74,184	Form 4
2026-05-14	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	2,843	151,093	Form 4
2026-05-14	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	1,958	94,794	Form 4
2026-05-14	KISPERT JOHN H	director	Award / grant	2,349	42,908	Form 4
2026-05-14	WASSERMAN YUVAL	director	Award / grant	2,349	24,798	Form 4
2026-05-14	Arienzo Wendy	director	Award / grant	2,349	25,285	Form 4
2026-05-14	Swyt Greg	officer	Award / grant	7,684	81,136	Form 4
2026-05-14	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Award / grant	28,856	179,339	Form 4
2026-05-14	Black Laura A.	director	Award / grant	2,349	40,462	Form 4
2026-05-14	MacKenzie Iain	director	Award / grant	2,349	132,360	Form 4
2026-05-14	Titinger Jorge	director	Award / grant	2,349	16,318	Form 4
2026-05-14	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Award / grant	12,079	106,334	Form 4
2026-04-01	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	909	96,752	Form 4
2026-03-01	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	1,081	77,598	Form 4
2026-02-24	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	695	174,936	Form 4
2026-02-18	BARROS PHILIP RYAN SR.	director	Withheld for tax	568	175,631	Form 4
2026-02-18	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	503	81,679	Form 4
2026-02-18	RAGSDALE BRUCE	officer	Withheld for tax	386	118,937	Form 4
2026-02-15	Swyt Greg	officer	Withheld for tax	732	82,182	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i