ICFI · TickerCove

ICFIICF International, Inc.Industrials · Consulting Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $87.46 · now $87.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ICFI has typically landed between $76.00 and $98.72 — a range of −13.1% to +12.9% from the issuance price $87.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($87.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$87.46 · 69% of range

$59.78 low$100 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.4%

typical move · IQR 11.2%

−13.1%worst (p90)+12.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ICFI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $87.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $87.46 (+0.0%)
typical $88.7 (+1.4%)
middle 50% $83.79–$93.62
90% range $76–$98.72

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−41.0%	−41.0%	+0.9%
2020-02-14	−36.2%	−36.2%	+0.0%
2025-01-30	−35.2%	−35.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2007-03-15	+49.9%	+0.0%	+49.9%
2007-03-16	+46.2%	+0.0%	+46.7%
2007-03-14	+44.1%	−0.1%	+44.1%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−1.3%

n=20

Feb

50%

−0.3%

n=20

Mar

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Apr

60%

+4.4%

n=20

May

40%

−1.5%

n=20

Jun

65%

+1.3%

n=20

Jul

55%

+2.0%

n=20

Aug

60%

+3.7%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.1%

n=20

Oct

65%

+3.8%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.9%

n=20

Dec

40%

+0.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Wasson John	director	Sale	5,815 @ $88.18	$513K	−47.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,339	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01	Wasson John	director	Sale	585 @ $89.68	$52K	−4.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	12,154	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $88.59	$177K	−7.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	24,467	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-13	Wasson John	director	Sale	12,411 @ $80.08	$994K	−31.1% of holding	+11.6%	not yet — horizon still open	27,511	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-15	VAN HANDEL MICHAEL J	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $61.58	$246K	+24.6% of holding	+17.8%	not yet — horizon still open	20,254	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15	VAN HANDEL MICHAEL J	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $61.20	$245K	+19.7% of holding	+17.8%	not yet — horizon still open	24,254	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	1,100 @ $74.30	$82K	+5.4% of holding	−9.2%	+1.2%	21,574	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	500 @ $77.00	$39K	+2.5% of holding	+12.1%	−22.2%	20,474	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-14	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	346 @ $78.20	$27K	+1.8% of holding	+11.5%	−24.2%	19,820	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-14	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	154 @ $78.00	$12K	+0.8% of holding	+11.5%	−24.2%	19,974	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-02	Morgan James C M	officer	Sale	2,400 @ $95.19	$228K	−5.7% of holding	−16.5%	−26.8%	39,704	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25	Morgan James C M	officer	Sale	100 @ $95.00	$10K	−0.2% of holding	−5.2%	−26.4%	42,104	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-09	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $84.80	$85K	+6.3% of holding	+2.1%	−15.9%	16,754	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09	Mehl Randall	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $84.00	$84K	+6.0% of holding	+2.1%	−15.9%	17,754	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06	SALMIRS SCOTT B	director	Purchase	1,250 @ $83.98	$105K	+19.5% of holding	+1.1%	−13.8%	7,653	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Morgan James C M	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $87.50	$219K	−5.6% of holding	−5.5%	−23.3%	42,204	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09	Morgan James C M	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $87.00	$217K	−5.3% of holding	−7.7%	−24.8%	44,704	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05	SALMIRS SCOTT B	director	Purchase	600 @ $81.75	$49K	+10.3% of holding	+10.4%	+3.6%	6,403	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

206 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	VAN HANDEL MICHAEL J	director	Award / grant	2,277	26,531	Form 4
2026-07-01	Mehl Randall	director	Award / grant	2,277	23,851	Form 4
2026-07-01	SALMIRS SCOTT B	director	Award / grant	2,277	11,650	Form 4
2026-07-01	Angoorly Caroline	director	Award / grant	2,277	4,441	Form 4
2026-07-01	Crouther Marilyn C	director	Award / grant	2,277	10,859	Form 4
2026-07-01	Williams Michelle A	director	Award / grant	2,277	8,498	Form 4
2026-07-01	Datar Srikant M.	director	Award / grant	2,277	5,998	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wasson John	director	Award / grant	279	21,582	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Withheld for tax	3,462	21,303	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Withheld for tax	3,298	24,765	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Withheld for tax	1,524	28,063	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Withheld for tax	823	49,683	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Withheld for tax	640	50,506	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Withheld for tax	540	10,480	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Withheld for tax	412	26,467	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Withheld for tax	329	11,020	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Withheld for tax	296	26,879	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Withheld for tax	262	51,146	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Withheld for tax	258	51,408	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Withheld for tax	136	11,349	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Withheld for tax	136	27,175	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Withheld for tax	106	27,311	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chadha Ranjit S	officer	Withheld for tax	70	258	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chadha Ranjit S	officer	Withheld for tax	37	328	Form 4
2026-03-20	Ostria Sergio J	officer	Option exercise	887	26,694	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chadha Ranjit S	officer	Option exercise	197	263	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chadha Ranjit S	officer	Option exercise	102	365	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chadha Ranjit S	officer	Award / grant	813	2,507	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Option exercise	1,732	9,997	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Option exercise	1,053	11,050	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Option exercise	435	11,485	Form 4
2026-03-20	Choate Anne F	officer	Award / grant	7,090	18,190	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Option exercise	2,833	46,911	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Option exercise	2,625	49,536	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Option exercise	1,073	50,609	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Option exercise	1,057	51,666	Form 4
2026-03-20	Morgan James C M	officer	Award / grant	12,133	32,476	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Option exercise	7,676	18,896	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Option exercise	7,312	26,208	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wasson John	director	Option exercise	3,379	29,587	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i