ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Data & Stock Exchangesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $154.10 · now $154.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ICE has typically landed between $137.83 and $170.55 — a range of −10.6% to +10.7% from the issuance price $154.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($154.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ICE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $154.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$137.83worst · -10.6%$170.55best · +10.7%
  • now $154.1 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $155.81 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $148.65$162.96
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $137.83$170.55
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-12-17−37.9%−37.9%+3.3%
2008-12-19−33.7%−36.6%+5.4%
2008-12-31−33.4%−38.3%+2.6%
3 best
2008-11-20+55.8%+0.0%+61.5%
2009-03-05+47.0%+0.0%+47.0%
2009-03-10+44.1%+0.0%+44.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$82.4B
market cap
$6.87
EPS (TTM)
21.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$12.6B
'20'25
Net income$3.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$4.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr26.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr11.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.70
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $154.10$104.91$215.64
  • DCF (intrinsic)$161.63
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$112.54
  • Analyst target · range $163.00$208.00$184.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$154.10

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−1.3%
n=18
Feb
53%
+2.3%
n=19
Mar
42%
+1.5%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.3%
n=19
May
47%
+0.9%
n=19
Jun
58%
−0.2%
n=19
Jul
74%
+1.3%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.4%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.3%
n=19
Oct
67%
+2.8%
n=18
Nov
72%
+3.3%
n=18
Dec
50%
+1.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$180$1232026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $256K — Foley Douglas2026-09-01: 4 insider sales, $2.9M — Jackson Benjamin, Edmonds Christopher Scott …2026-08-26: 3 insider sales, $956K — Surdykowski Andrew J, Tirinnanzi Martha A …2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $256K — Foley Douglas2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $389K — Gardiner Warren2026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $22K — Tirinnanzi Martha A2026-08-12: 3 insider sales, $646K — Kapani Mayur …2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Foley Douglas2026-07-16: 4 insider sales, $2.2M — Martin Lynn C …2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $186K — Hague William Jefferson2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $13K — Hague William Jefferson2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $693K — Surdykowski Andrew J …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $101K — Bowen Sharon2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $390K — Gardiner Warren2026-05-14: 2 insider sales, $664K — Kapani Mayur …2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $264K — Foley Douglas2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $638K — Jackson Benjamin2026-02-26: 2 insider sales, $741K — Surdykowski Andrew J …2026-02-20: 3 insider sales, $2.1M — Martin Lynn C …2026-02-19: 8 insider sales, $2.7M — Edmonds Christopher Scott, Gardiner Warren, Jackson Benjamin …2026-02-18: 4 insider sales, $45.7M — Sprecher Jeffrey C, Kapani Mayur …2026-02-10: 1 insider sale, $2.1M — Jackson Benjamin2026-02-05: 7 insider sales, $799K — SPRIESER JUDITH A …2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $261K — Foley Douglas2025-12-08: 2 insider sales, $837K — Kapani Mayur …2025-12-05: 2 insider sales, $584K — SPRIESER JUDITH A …2025-11-20: 1 insider sale, $242K — Gardiner Warren2025-11-19: 3 insider sales, $23.2M — Sprecher Jeffrey C, Surdykowski Andrew J …2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $314K — Surdykowski Andrew J2025-10-08: 5 insider sales, $1.6M — Kapani Mayur …2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $162K — Williams Stuart Glen2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $281K — Foley Douglas2025-09-04: 3 insider sales, $506K — SPRIESER JUDITH A …2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $363K — Farooqui Duriya M2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $687K — Surdykowski Andrew J2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $110K — Tirinnanzi Martha A2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $280K — Gardiner Warren2025-08-12: 10 insider sales, $39.7M — Sprecher Jeffrey C …2025-08: 14 open-market sales, $41.1M2025-09: 5 open-market sales, $949K2025-10: 5 open-market sales, $1.6M2025-11: 5 open-market sales, $23.8M2025-12: 5 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-02: 26 open-market sales, $54.8M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $264K2026-05: 6 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $199K2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $2.2M2026-08: 10 open-market sales, $3.4M2026-09: 5 open-market sales, $3.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Edmonds Christopher Scott — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tirinnanzi Martha A — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Gardiner Warren — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tirinnanzi Martha A — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hague William Jefferson — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hague William Jefferson — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowen Sharon — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Gardiner Warren — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Lynn C — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Edmonds Christopher Scott — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Edmonds Christopher Scott — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gardiner Warren — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Edmonds Christopher Scott — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Edmonds Christopher Scott — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jackson Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Gardiner Warren — Sale on 2025-11-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kapani Mayur — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Williams Stuart Glen — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foley Douglas — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed same daydirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SPRIESER JUDITH A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Farooqui Duriya M — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Surdykowski Andrew J — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tirinnanzi Martha A — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Gardiner Warren — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprecher Jeffrey C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Foley DouglasofficerSale1,600 @ $160.00$256K−9.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open15,863Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerSale6,242 @ $160.17$1000K−3.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open165,864Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerSale5,000 @ $160.59$803K−25.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,367Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerSale5,020 @ $159.68$802K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open172,106Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerSale1,600 @ $161.05$258K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open164,264Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale3,974 @ $161.67$642K−8.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open43,665Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-26Tirinnanzi Martha AdirectorSale1,340 @ $161.16$216K−26.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,747Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale600 @ $162.38$97K−1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open43,065Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-20Foley DouglasofficerSale1,600 @ $160.00$256K−8.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open17,463Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-19Gardiner WarrenofficerSale2,491 @ $156.30$389K−9.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open22,698Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-13Tirinnanzi Martha AdirectorSale141 @ $155.00$22K−2.7% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open5,087Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerSale3,771 @ $151.33$571K−5.2% of holding+4.7%not yet — horizon still open68,088Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerSale400 @ $149.83$60K−0.6% of holding+4.7%not yet — horizon still open71,859Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerSale100 @ $151.78$15K−0.1% of holding+4.7%not yet — horizon still open67,988Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05Foley DouglasofficerSale7,300 @ $148.88$1.1M−27.7% of holding+9.4%not yet — horizon still open19,063Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerSale9,482 @ $141.65$1.3M−14.8% of holding+5.7%not yet — horizon still open54,620Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerSale3,200 @ $140.90$451K−4.8% of holding+5.7%not yet — horizon still open64,102Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerSale3,000 @ $139.75$419K−4.3% of holding+5.7%not yet — horizon still open67,302Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerSale200 @ $142.30$28K−0.4% of holding+5.7%not yet — horizon still open54,420Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-12Hague William JeffersondirectorSale1,333 @ $139.46$186K−6.2% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open20,132Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-09Hague William JeffersondirectorSale91 @ $138.50$13K−0.4% of holding−6.8%not yet — horizon still open21,465Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale2,608 @ $152.00$396K−5.4% of holding−15.1%not yet — horizon still open45,473Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale1,965 @ $150.97$297K−3.9% of holding−15.1%not yet — horizon still open48,081Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-22Bowen SharondirectorSale667 @ $151.28$101K−4.2% of holding−13.3%not yet — horizon still open15,077Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-19Gardiner WarrenofficerSale2,490 @ $156.64$390K−9.0% of holding−14.8%not yet — horizon still open25,189Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Kapani MayurofficerSale2,900 @ $155.27$450K−4.2% of holding−10.6%not yet — horizon still open66,240Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Kapani MayurofficerSale1,371 @ $155.73$214K−2.1% of holding−10.6%not yet — horizon still open64,869Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-09Foley DouglasofficerSale1,600 @ $164.96$264K−5.7% of holding+1.6%−17.7%26,262Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27Jackson BenjaminofficerSale3,865 @ $165.00$638K−2.3% of holding+3.6%−13.2%161,439Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale3,099 @ $161.71$501K−5.9% of holding+1.8%−12.8%49,653Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerSale1,472 @ $162.62$239K−3.0% of holding+1.8%−12.8%48,181Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Martin Lynn CofficerSale8,193 @ $153.90$1.3M−12.6% of holding+7.1%−6.2%56,619Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Martin Lynn CofficerSale2,963 @ $153.11$454K−4.4% of holding+7.1%−6.2%64,812Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Martin Lynn CofficerSale2,300 @ $154.72$356K−4.1% of holding+7.1%−6.2%54,319Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-19Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerSale4,750 @ $153.21$728K−18.6% of holding+8.1%−8.4%20,819Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerSale4,653 @ $153.96$716K−22.3% of holding+8.1%−8.4%16,166Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Gardiner WarrenofficerSale2,490 @ $154.00$383K−8.3% of holding+8.1%−8.4%27,679Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Jackson BenjaminofficerSale1,919 @ $153.18$294K−1.1% of holding+8.1%−8.4%167,250Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerSale1,700 @ $154.91$263K−10.5% of holding+8.1%−8.4%14,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Jackson BenjaminofficerSale1,246 @ $153.90$192K−0.7% of holding+8.1%−8.4%166,004Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Jackson BenjaminofficerSale700 @ $154.93$108K−0.4% of holding+8.1%−8.4%165,304Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerSale200 @ $155.72$31K−1.4% of holding+8.1%−8.4%14,266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Sprecher Jeffrey CdirectorSale150,000 @ $155.00$23.2M−8.3% of holding+6.3%−10.6%1,651,705Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Sprecher Jeffrey CdirectorSale129,937 @ $155.00$20.1M−10.6% of holding+6.3%−10.6%1,094,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Kapani MayurofficerSale10,694 @ $155.25$1.7M−14.2% of holding+6.3%−10.6%64,869Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Kapani MayurofficerSale4,519 @ $154.49$698K−5.6% of holding+6.3%−10.6%75,563Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Jackson BenjaminofficerSale12,861 @ $165.00$2.1M−7.2% of holding+0.0%−19.7%165,692Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale1,522 @ $168.13$256K−11.1% of holding−1.6%−24.8%12,247Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale1,000 @ $171.25$171K−9.1% of holding−1.6%−24.8%9,947Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale1,000 @ $169.34$169K−8.2% of holding−1.6%−24.8%11,247Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale700 @ $166.92$117K−4.8% of holding−1.6%−24.8%13,769Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale300 @ $169.92$51K−2.7% of holding−1.6%−24.8%10,947Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale100 @ $173.88$17K−1.0% of holding−1.6%−24.8%9,747Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale100 @ $172.02$17K−1.0% of holding−1.6%−24.8%9,847Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Foley DouglasofficerSale1,600 @ $163.20$261K−6.2% of holding+4.7%−23.3%24,196Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-08Kapani MayurofficerSale3,409 @ $156.51$534K−4.8% of holding+2.3%−16.8%67,176Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Kapani MayurofficerSale1,936 @ $156.93$304K−2.9% of holding+2.3%−16.8%65,240Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale3,300 @ $157.89$521K−18.2% of holding+2.0%−17.8%14,869Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-05SPRIESER JUDITH AdirectorSale400 @ $158.54$63K−2.7% of holding+2.0%−17.8%14,469Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-20Gardiner WarrenofficerSale1,572 @ $153.65$242K−7.1% of holding+1.5%−15.7%20,534Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

168 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise6,431170,695Form 4
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise6,431177,126Form 4
2026-09-01Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerOption exercise5,00019,367Form 4
2026-09-01Edmonds Christopher ScottofficerOption exercise5,0000Form 4
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise6,4316,431Form 4
2026-09-01Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise6,4310Form 4
2026-08-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,06547,639Form 4
2026-08-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,0652,064Form 4
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise4,27169,231Form 4
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise3,02872,259Form 4
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise3,0280Form 4
2026-08-12Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise4,2715,764Form 4
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerOption exercise15,88270,302Form 4
2026-07-16Martin Lynn CofficerOption exercise15,8820Form 4
2026-05-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,06550,046Form 4
2026-05-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,0654,129Form 4
2026-05-18Hague William JeffersondirectorWithheld for tax5021,556Form 4
2026-05-18Bowen SharondirectorAward / grant1,53815,744Form 4
2026-05-18Cooper Shantella E.directorAward / grant1,53811,894Form 4
2026-05-18Pinto Daniel EdirectorAward / grant1,5381,538Form 4
2026-05-18Hague William JeffersondirectorAward / grant1,53821,606Form 4
2026-05-18Hill Jonathan HopkindirectorAward / grant1,6983,135Form 4
2026-05-18Hill Jonathan HopkindirectorWithheld for tax273,108Form 4
2026-05-18NOONAN THOMAS EdirectorAward / grant1,53822,967Form 4
2026-05-18Tirinnanzi Martha AdirectorAward / grant1,6985,228Form 4
2026-05-18Silver Caroline LouisedirectorAward / grant1,69812,911Form 4
2026-05-18Silver Caroline LouisedirectorWithheld for tax6412,847Form 4
2026-05-18Mulhern Mark FdirectorAward / grant1,53812,008Form 4
2026-05-18Farooqui Duriya MdirectorAward / grant1,53815,837Form 4
2026-05-14Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise4,27169,140Form 4
2026-05-14Kapani MayurofficerOption exercise4,27110,035Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise1,079162,518Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise875163,393Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise770164,163Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise1,07931,947Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise87532,159Form 4
2026-03-10Jackson BenjaminofficerOption exercise77025,839Form 4
2026-02-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,06552,752Form 4
2026-02-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerGift20047,981Form 4
2026-02-26Surdykowski Andrew JofficerOption exercise2,0656,194Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2026-02-262026-01-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.