IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.Financial Services · Investment - Banking & Investment Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $86.74 · now $86.74 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IBKR has typically landed between $75.72 and $102.51 — a range of −12.7% to +18.2% from the issuance price $86.74.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($86.74) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IBKR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $86.74 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$75.72worst · -12.7%$102.51best · +18.2%
  • now $86.74 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $89.77 (+3.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $84.21$95.33
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $75.72$102.51
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-22−40.1%−40.1%+1.8%
2020-02-21−35.8%−35.8%+0.0%
2008-10-21−34.4%−34.4%+0.0%
3 best
2025-04-21+37.0%+0.0%+37.0%
2025-04-16+32.4%−2.8%+32.4%
2025-04-17+30.4%−3.8%+31.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$158.5B
market cap
$2.50
EPS (TTM)
36.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$10.2B
'20'25
Net income$984M
'20'25
Free cash flow$15.7B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr18.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.00
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $86.74$19.66$120.99
  • DCF (intrinsic)$26.65
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$40.96
  • Analyst target · range $98.00$114.00$109.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$86.74

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
−0.9%
n=18
Feb
63%
+3.8%
n=19
Mar
42%
−1.8%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.5%
n=19
May
58%
+2.2%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Jul
42%
+1.6%
n=19
Aug
68%
+2.2%
n=19
Sep
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Oct
61%
+2.7%
n=18
Nov
72%
+5.1%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$98$602026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-08-03: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-07-01: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-06-01: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-05-01: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-04-28: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Harris Lawrence E2026-04-01: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Conkling Lori A2026-02-25: 1 insider purchase, $4K — Conkling Lori A2026-01-27: 2 insider sales, $4.5M — Nemser Earl H …2026-01-26: 3 insider sales, $7.2M — Nemser Earl H …2026-01-23: 2 insider sales, $11.3M — Nemser Earl H …2026-01-22: 1 insider sale, $7.7M — Nemser Earl H2025-10-29: 1 insider sale, $735K — Harris Lawrence E2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $474K — Harris Lawrence E2025-10-27: 1 insider sale, $523K — Harris Lawrence E2025-10-24: 1 insider sale, $548K — Harris Lawrence E2025-10-23: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Harris Lawrence E2025-10-23: 1 insider purchase, $26K — Bright Jill2025-09-30: 2 insider sales, $218K — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-29: 3 insider sales, $1.2M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-26: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-25: 3 insider sales, $927K — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-24: 2 insider sales, $933K — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-23: 2 insider sales, $1.2M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-22: 2 insider sales, $972K — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-19: 2 insider sales, $3.3M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-18: 3 insider sales, $7.6M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-17: 2 insider sales, $6.6M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-16: 2 insider sales, $6.2M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-15: 3 insider sales, $6.1M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-12: 2 insider sales, $6.2M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-11: 2 insider sales, $7.1M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $6.6M — Brody Paul Jonathan2025-09-09: 2 insider sales, $6.7M — Brody Paul Jonathan …2025-08-14: 2 insider sales, $3.4M — Nemser Earl H …2025-08-13: 5 insider sales, $493K — Nemser Earl H …2025-08-12: 2 insider sales, $13.1M — Nemser Earl H …2025-08: 23 open-market sales, $22.8M2025-09: 35 open-market sales, $62.9M2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $26K2025-10: 5 open-market sales, $3.8M2026-01: 8 open-market sales, $30.7M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $4K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $2K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-07-01, filed same daydirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-04-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 24 days after the tradedirector Conkling Lori A — Purchase on 2026-02-25, filed 29 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2025-10-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Harris Lawrence E — Sale on 2025-10-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bright Jill — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brody Paul Jonathan — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nemser Earl H — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $94.53$2K+1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,559Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $87.03$2K+1.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open2,534Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $88.03$2K+1.0% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open2,509Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-01Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $86.10$2K+1.0% of holding+6.6%not yet — horizon still open2,484Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $79.64$2K+1.0% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open2,459Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-28Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale26,000 @ $76.93$2.0M−13.0% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open173,482Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $68.38$2K+1.0% of holding+8.5%not yet — horizon still open2,434Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase25 @ $69.21$2K+1.0% of holding−1.4%+23.4%2,409Form 4 · filed 24 days after the trade
2026-02-25Conkling Lori AdirectorPurchase50 @ $73.21$4K+2.1% of holding−3.3%+20.8%2,384Form 4 · filed 29 days after the trade
2026-01-27Nemser Earl HdirectorSale39,731 @ $75.07$3.0M−66.0% of holding−0.3%+9.1%20,469Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-27Nemser Earl HdirectorSale20,469 @ $75.75$1.6M−100.0% of holding−0.3%+9.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-26Nemser Earl HdirectorSale60,882 @ $75.83$4.6M−39.3% of holding−2.3%+13.4%94,118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-26Nemser Earl HdirectorSale30,817 @ $76.72$2.4M−32.7% of holding−2.3%+13.4%63,301Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-26Nemser Earl HdirectorSale3,101 @ $77.98$242K−4.9% of holding−2.3%+13.4%60,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-23Nemser Earl HdirectorSale84,935 @ $77.65$6.6M−28.3% of holding−7.0%+11.4%215,065Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-23Nemser Earl HdirectorSale60,065 @ $78.14$4.7M−27.9% of holding−7.0%+11.4%155,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-22Nemser Earl HdirectorSale100,000 @ $76.81$7.7M−25.0% of holding−6.4%+11.3%300,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-29Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale10,645 @ $69.00$735K−5.1% of holding−5.5%+11.1%198,704Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-28Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale6,855 @ $69.15$474K−3.2% of holding−5.4%+10.9%209,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-27Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale7,500 @ $69.73$523K−3.4% of holding−7.6%+6.7%216,204Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-24Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale8,000 @ $68.50$548K−3.5% of holding−7.9%+7.3%223,704Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-23Harris Lawrence EdirectorSale22,000 @ $67.63$1.5M−8.7% of holding−7.2%+8.7%231,704Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-23Bright JilldirectorPurchase400 @ $65.95$26K+4.0% of holding−7.2%+8.7%10,304Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-30Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale1,979 @ $69.30$137K−19.7% of holding−2.6%+0.0%8,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale1,155 @ $70.00$81K−14.3% of holding−2.6%+0.0%6,928Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale8,792 @ $68.27$600K−42.1% of holding−3.7%−0.8%12,083Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-29Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale7,414 @ $67.16$498K−26.2% of holding−3.7%−0.8%20,875Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-29Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale2,021 @ $68.70$139K−16.7% of holding−3.7%−0.8%10,062Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-26Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale15,477 @ $65.74$1.0M−34.1% of holding+1.6%+0.5%29,870Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-26Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale1,581 @ $66.15$105K−5.3% of holding+1.6%+0.5%28,289Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-25Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale8,866 @ $64.76$574K−15.2% of holding+2.9%+2.1%49,595Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale4,248 @ $65.19$277K−8.6% of holding+2.9%+2.1%45,347Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale1,182 @ $63.81$75K−2.0% of holding+2.9%+2.1%58,461Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-24Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale13,464 @ $64.76$872K−18.2% of holding+2.6%+4.8%60,570Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale927 @ $65.54$61K−1.5% of holding+2.6%+4.8%59,643Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale12,798 @ $65.49$838K−14.7% of holding−1.8%+5.5%74,034Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale6,227 @ $64.90$404K−6.7% of holding−1.8%+5.5%86,832Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale14,639 @ $63.94$936K−13.5% of holding+2.5%+4.7%93,622Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-22Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale563 @ $64.61$36K−0.6% of holding+2.5%+4.7%93,059Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-19Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale50,553 @ $64.61$3.3M−31.8% of holding+1.8%+5.3%108,401Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-19Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale140 @ $65.19$9K−0.1% of holding+1.8%+5.3%108,261Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale71,019 @ $65.05$4.6M−30.9% of holding+1.4%+2.3%158,954Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale37,905 @ $64.40$2.4M−14.2% of holding+1.4%+2.3%229,973Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale7,937 @ $63.43$503K−2.9% of holding+1.4%+2.3%267,878Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-17Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale61,794 @ $62.06$3.8M−16.2% of holding+9.4%+8.2%320,542Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale44,727 @ $62.48$2.8M−14.0% of holding+9.4%+8.2%275,815Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-16Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale98,601 @ $62.24$6.1M−20.5% of holding+10.6%+9.0%382,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-16Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale587 @ $62.62$37K−0.2% of holding+10.6%+9.0%382,336Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale57,289 @ $62.66$3.6M−9.9% of holding+10.9%+8.4%520,529Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale37,506 @ $63.79$2.4M−7.2% of holding+10.9%+8.4%483,023Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale1,499 @ $64.26$96K−0.3% of holding+10.9%+8.4%481,524Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale61,617 @ $64.19$4.0M−9.6% of holding+9.6%+5.1%577,818Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale35,592 @ $63.84$2.3M−5.3% of holding+9.6%+5.1%639,435Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-11Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale57,851 @ $62.94$3.6M−7.3% of holding+9.4%+3.4%729,750Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale54,723 @ $63.54$3.5M−7.5% of holding+9.4%+3.4%675,027Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-10Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale104,906 @ $62.51$6.6M−11.8% of holding+13.0%+4.6%787,601Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale84,956 @ $62.02$5.3M−8.7% of holding+12.0%+5.6%892,507Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09Brody Paul JonathandirectorSale22,537 @ $61.30$1.4M−2.3% of holding+12.0%+5.6%977,463Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-14Nemser Earl HdirectorSale33,379 @ $63.86$2.1M−7.4% of holding−5.0%+10.9%420,521Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14Nemser Earl HdirectorSale20,521 @ $64.22$1.3M−4.9% of holding−5.0%+10.9%400,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

58 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-31Nemser Earl HdirectorAward / grant803,568803,568Form 4
2026-05-08Galik MilandirectorWithheld for tax255,0393,215,389Form 4
2026-05-08Brody Paul JonathandirectorWithheld for tax82,9202,856,806Form 4
2026-05-08Frank Thomas AJofficerWithheld for tax31,730251,518Form 4
2026-05-08Nemser Earl HdirectorWithheld for tax22,486429,344Form 4
2026-05-08Mendonca DenisofficerWithheld for tax11,157145,071Form 4
2026-01-01Conkling Lori AdirectorAward / grant3892,334Form 4
2026-01-01Harris Lawrence EdirectorAward / grant389199,482Form 4
2026-01-01Nemser Earl HdirectorAward / grant389451,830Form 4
2026-01-01Brody Paul JonathandirectorAward / grant3892,939,726Form 4
2026-01-01Yuen NicoledirectorAward / grant38910,126Form 4
2026-01-01Repetto Richard HdirectorAward / grant3893,046Form 4
2026-01-01Peterffy WilliamdirectorAward / grant38910,126Form 4
2026-01-01Galik MilandirectorAward / grant3893,470,428Form 4
2026-01-01Bright JilldirectorAward / grant38911,082Form 4
2025-12-31Brody Paul JonathandirectorAward / grant3892,939,337Form 4
2025-12-31Yuen NicoledirectorAward / grant3899,737Form 4
2025-12-31Harris Lawrence EdirectorAward / grant389199,093Form 4
2025-12-31Repetto Richard HdirectorAward / grant3892,657Form 4
2025-12-31Nemser Earl HdirectorAward / grant389451,441Form 4
2025-12-31Galik MilandirectorAward / grant3893,470,039Form 4
2025-12-31Peterffy WilliamdirectorAward / grant3899,737Form 4
2025-12-31Bright JilldirectorAward / grant38910,693Form 4
2025-12-31Conkling Lori AdirectorAward / grant3891,556Form 4
2025-12-31Galik MilandirectorAward / grant224,6503,469,650Form 4
2025-12-31Conkling Lori AdirectorAward / grant3891,945Form 4
2025-12-31Brody Paul JonathandirectorAward / grant53,4522,938,948Form 4
2025-12-31Conkling Lori AdirectorAward / grant1,1671,167Form 4
2025-12-31Mendonca DenisofficerAward / grant11,156156,228Form 4
2025-12-31Nemser Earl HdirectorAward / grant23,240451,052Form 4
2025-12-31Frank Thomas AJofficerAward / grant13,944283,248Form 4
2025-12-29Galik MilandirectorOther acquisition895,6880Form 4
2025-07-30Brody Paul JonathandirectorAward / grant1,000,0001,000,000Form 4
2025-07-30Nemser Earl HdirectorAward / grant400,000760,114Form 4
2025-06-23Nemser Earl HdirectorGift500427,812Form 4
2025-05-09Galik MilandirectorWithheld for tax63,580811,250Form 4
2025-05-09Brody Paul JonathandirectorWithheld for tax22,192721,374Form 4
2025-05-09Frank Thomas AJofficerWithheld for tax8,21267,326Form 4
2025-05-09Nemser Earl HdirectorWithheld for tax5,178107,078Form 4
2025-05-09Mendonca DenisofficerWithheld for tax2,46736,268Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-14$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-13$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-06-24$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Morgan McgarveyHousesale2024-12-102024-11-13$1–15K
Morgan McgarveyHousepurchase2024-07-032024-06-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-06-122023-05-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-06-102022-05-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-06-102022-05-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.