Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.06 · now $16.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IART has typically landed between $12.74 and $19.02 — a range of −20.7% to +18.4% from the issuance price $16.06.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where IART has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $16.06 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.66 (-2.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.34–$16.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.74–$19.02
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −38.1% | −38.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −37.9% | −39.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −37.5% | −39.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-29 | +59.1% | +0.0% | +63.3% |
| 2026-04-28 | +53.3% | −6.1% | +53.3% |
| 2024-10-08 | +52.7% | +0.0% | +52.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | GRAVES JEFFREY A | director | Purchase | 9,000 @ $11.35 | $102K | +28.0% of holding | +14.9% | +12.6% | 41,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
104 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Veillon-Berteloot Chantal | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,455 | 20,772 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-03 | Knight Lea Daniels | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,226 | 45,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mosebrook Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 937 | 34,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVIS ROBERT T. JR. | officer | Award / grant | 11,180 | 54,530 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Award / grant | 5,590 | 68,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McBreen Michael J. | officer | Award / grant | 31,909 | 124,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | ESSIG STUART | director | Award / grant | 705,468 | 705,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | ESSIG STUART | director | Award / grant | 365,297 | 365,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McBreen Michael J. | officer | Award / grant | 60,372 | 60,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-09 | BRADLEY KEITH | director | Withheld for tax | 882 | 88,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | SCHADE CHRISTIAN S | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 17,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Lo Renee Wonlai | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 17,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | GRAVES JEFFREY A | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 17,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | HILL BARBARA B | director | Award / grant | 6,638 | 133,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | HILL BARBARA B | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 151,191 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Clay Shaundra | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 17,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | BRADLEY KEITH | director | Award / grant | 17,700 | 17,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | DAVIS ROBERT T. JR. | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,487 | 66,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Knight Lea Daniels | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,089 | 50,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | McBreen Michael J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,247 | 60,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Veillon-Berteloot Chantal | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,420 | 22,227 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,190 | 35,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Withheld for tax | 861 | 21,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mosebrook Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 806 | 35,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Hutchinson Michael Damon | officer | Award / grant | 70,305 | 159,911 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mosebrook Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 15,957 | 15,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Poul Mojdeh | director | Award / grant | 343,393 | 445,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Option exercise | 18,922 | 40,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | DAVIS ROBERT T. JR. | officer | Award / grant | 43,350 | 43,350 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | McBreen Michael J. | officer | Award / grant | 92,108 | 92,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Option exercise | 2,356 | 18,994 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Option exercise | 16,566 | 2,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Award / grant | 60,865 | 63,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Knight Lea Daniels | officer | Award / grant | 111,179 | 111,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Veillon-Berteloot Chantal | officer | Award / grant | 41,783 | 41,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | McBreen Michael J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,354 | 67,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | DAVIS ROBERT T. JR. | officer | Withheld for tax | 687 | 74,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Withheld for tax | 601 | 22,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Mosebrook Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 341 | 36,259 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Singh Harvinder | officer | Option exercise | 1,216 | 21,350 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.