IAC · TickerCove

IACIAC Inc.as of 2026-09-10

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-10 at $38.28 · now $38.28 (2026-08-31, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-10 close, IAC has typically landed between $31.79 and $43.88 — a range of −17.0% to +14.6% from the issuance price $38.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,651 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-06-29 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 54.0% (90% CI 51.8–56.2%, ≈1,443 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-10 issuance close ($38.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-09, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$38.28 · 42% of range

$31.52 low$47.62 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-31 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,443 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

54.0%

90% CI 51.8%–56.2%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.1%

typical move · IQR 14.3%

−17.0%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

6 buys · 6 sells · 3 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where IAC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-10 close of $38.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $38.28 (+0.0%)
typical $37.85 (-1.1%)
middle 50% $35.12–$40.58
90% range $31.79–$43.88

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,651 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-08-31. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−44.0%	−44.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−42.1%	−42.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−41.2%	−41.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23	+67.6%	+0.0%	+69.8%
2020-03-20	+64.2%	+0.0%	+71.5%
2020-03-18	+60.6%	−6.1%	+60.6%

4,651 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-31 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+2.0%

n=18

Feb

68%

+1.3%

n=19

Mar

47%

−0.7%

n=19

Apr

58%

+3.2%

n=19

May

74%

+5.1%

n=19

Jun

47%

+0.3%

n=19

Jul

63%

+4.3%

n=19

Aug

42%

−0.3%

n=19

Sep

50%

−0.8%

n=18

Oct

50%

−1.3%

n=18

Nov

50%

+0.7%

n=18

Dec

61%

+3.4%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-12	Schwerdtman Michael H	officer	Sale	6,878 @ $40.54	$279K	−19.3% of holding	+4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	28,743	Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

141 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-31	Lourd Bryan	director	Award / grant	406	197,950	Form 4
2026-03-31	EISNER MICHAEL D	director	Award / grant	359	172,505	Form 4
2026-03-31	Seferian Maria	director	Award / grant	312	7,524	Form 4
2026-03-31	Clinton Chelsea	director	Award / grant	156	87,253	Form 4
2026-02-28	Schwerdtman Michael H	officer	Withheld for tax	4,384	35,621	Form 4
2026-02-28	Schwerdtman Michael H	officer	Option exercise	11,262	40,005	Form 4
2026-02-28	Schwerdtman Michael H	officer	Option exercise	11,262	11,262	Form 4
2026-02-10	KAUFMAN VICTOR	director	Withheld for tax	1,007	22,483	Form 4
2026-02-10	KAUFMAN VICTOR	director	Option exercise	2,445	23,490	Form 4
2026-02-10	KAUFMAN VICTOR	director	Option exercise	2,445	4,890	Form 4
2026-02-09	KAUFMAN VICTOR	director	Award / grant	6,845	6,845	Form 4
2026-02-09	Halpin Christopher	officer	Award / grant	219,058	219,058	Form 4
2026-02-09	Handler Kendall	officer	Award / grant	123,220	123,220	Form 4
2026-02-08	Handler Kendall	officer	Withheld for tax	14,584	107,249	Form 4
2026-02-08	Halpin Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	11,668	137,757	Form 4
2026-02-08	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	22,855	22,855	Form 4
2026-02-08	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	22,855	149,425	Form 4
2026-02-08	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	28,568	121,833	Form 4
2026-02-08	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	28,568	14,284	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	43,361	126,570	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Withheld for tax	22,164	93,265	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	20,931	84,994	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Withheld for tax	9,898	72,387	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	43,042	115,429	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	40,716	40,716	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	84,937	144,623	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	19,388	82,285	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	19,388	38,778	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	40,716	105,925	Form 4
2026-02-06	Halpin Christopher	officer	Option exercise	84,937	169,931	Form 4
2026-02-06	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	43,042	86,085	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lourd Bryan	director	Award / grant	416	197,544	Form 4
2025-12-31	EISNER MICHAEL D	director	Award / grant	368	172,146	Form 4
2025-12-31	Seferian Maria	director	Award / grant	320	7,212	Form 4
2025-12-31	Clinton Chelsea	director	Award / grant	160	87,097	Form 4
2025-12-12	Seferian Maria	director	Option exercise	2,075	2,074	Form 4
2025-12-12	Seferian Maria	director	Option exercise	2,075	6,892	Form 4
2025-11-30	Handler Kendall	officer	Withheld for tax	26,237	62,897	Form 4
2025-11-30	Handler Kendall	officer	Withheld for tax	11,036	37,740	Form 4
2025-11-30	Handler Kendall	officer	Option exercise	51,394	89,134	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-10 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-11-13	2023-10-02	$50–100K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-11-13	2023-10-02	$50–100K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2023-02-07	2023-01-11	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-01-19	2022-12-01	$50–100K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-01-19	2022-12-01	$100–250K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2023-01-06	2022-12-06	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2022-12-06	2022-11-03	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2022-10-07	2022-09-29	$15–50K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2022-01-07	2021-12-14	$1–15K
Greg Gianforte	Senate	purchase	2020-08-03	2020-07-28	$100–250K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2019-12-20	2019-11-06	$100–250K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2019-12-20	2019-11-06	$100–250K

Resolves in i

22d remaining

2026-09-1125% elapsed2026-10-09

Logged immutably 2026-09-11; scored automatically on 2026-10-09 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i