HYLN · TickerCove

HYLNHyliion Holdings Corp.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.94 · now $3.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HYLN has typically landed between $2.72 and $5.60 — a range of −31.0% to +42.1% from the issuance price $3.94.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,839 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-04-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.94 · 36% of range

$1.58 low$8.1 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.6%

typical move · IQR 26.9%

−31.0%worst (p90)+42.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HYLN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.94 (+0.0%)
typical $3.84 (-2.6%)
middle 50% $3.31–$4.37
90% range $2.72–$5.6

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,839 windows spanning 2019-04-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-09-29	−62.6%	−62.6%	+0.0%
2020-09-30	−59.8%	−59.9%	+0.0%
2020-10-01	−57.9%	−57.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-28	+297.2%	−1.1%	+297.2%
2026-04-29	+290.5%	+0.0%	+301.7%
2026-04-27	+277.2%	−2.7%	+277.2%

1,839 overlapping windows · 2019-04-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

71%

+8.1%

n=7

Feb

14%

+1.8%

n=7

Mar

14%

−13.4%

n=7

Apr

43%

−10.0%

n=7

May

88%

+39.6%

n=8

Jun

63%

+18.4%

n=8

Jul

50%

+1.5%

n=8

Aug

38%

+5.1%

n=8

Sep

63%

+8.0%

n=8

Oct

14%

−14.2%

n=7

Nov

57%

+3.4%

n=7

Dec

29%

−4.9%

n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Cubbage Vincent T.	director	Purchase	50,000 @ $3.40	$170K	+4.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,131,363	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-21	Freeland Richard Joseph	director	Purchase	65,000 @ $1.57	$102K	+41.2% of holding	+27.1%	+15.4%	222,798	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-23	Panzer Jon	officer	Purchase	40,000 @ $1.14	$46K	+4.5% of holding	+6.5%	+27.2%	925,669	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Purchase	20,000 @ $1.13	$23K	+3.6% of holding	+6.5%	+27.2%	573,002	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Standley Greg	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $1.13	$6K	+2.1% of holding	+6.5%	+27.2%	241,659	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

161 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-21	Healy Thomas J.	director	Other acquisition	29,840	32,782,422	Form 4
2026-08-21	Panzer Jon	officer	Other acquisition	13,595	935,480	Form 4
2026-08-21	Oxholm Jose Miguel	officer	Other acquisition	11,980	799,814	Form 4
2026-08-21	MOOK JOSHUA T.	officer	Other acquisition	10,700	1,096,606	Form 4
2026-08-21	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Other acquisition	6,670	593,920	Form 4
2026-08-19	Standley Greg	officer	Other acquisition	3,731	253,568	Form 4
2026-06-26	Healy Thomas J.	director	Gift	2,500,000	32,812,262	Form 4
2026-05-26	Cubbage Vincent T.	director	Gift	11,500	1,081,363	Form 4
2026-05-20	Healy Thomas J.	director	Other acquisition	11,426	35,312,262	Form 4
2026-05-20	Oxholm Jose Miguel	officer	Other acquisition	3,026	811,794	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOOK JOSHUA T.	officer	Other acquisition	2,003	1,107,306	Form 4
2026-05-20	Panzer Jon	officer	Other acquisition	1,965	949,075	Form 4
2026-05-20	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Other acquisition	1,715	600,590	Form 4
2026-05-19	Healy Thomas J.	director	Other acquisition	16,600	35,323,688	Form 4
2026-05-19	Oxholm Jose Miguel	officer	Other acquisition	8,550	814,820	Form 4
2026-05-19	Panzer Jon	officer	Other acquisition	6,100	951,040	Form 4
2026-05-19	MOOK JOSHUA T.	officer	Other acquisition	4,800	1,109,309	Form 4
2026-05-19	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Other acquisition	4,800	602,305	Form 4
2026-05-19	Standley Greg	officer	Other acquisition	3,981	257,299	Form 4
2026-03-10	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Other acquisition	130	607,105	Form 4
2026-03-03	Healy Thomas J.	director	Other acquisition	58,202	35,340,288	Form 4
2026-03-03	Oxholm Jose Miguel	officer	Other acquisition	24,900	823,370	Form 4
2026-03-03	Panzer Jon	officer	Other acquisition	16,820	957,140	Form 4
2026-03-03	LANTZ CHERI	officer	Other acquisition	16,700	730,204	Form 4
2026-03-03	MOOK JOSHUA T.	officer	Other acquisition	14,816	1,114,109	Form 4
2026-03-03	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Other acquisition	12,758	607,235	Form 4
2026-03-03	Standley Greg	officer	Other acquisition	7,411	261,280	Form 4
2026-02-11	Healy Thomas J.	director	Award / grant	296,342	35,398,490	Form 4
2026-02-11	Panzer Jon	officer	Award / grant	100,610	973,960	Form 4
2026-02-11	Oxholm Jose Miguel	officer	Award / grant	95,122	848,270	Form 4
2026-02-11	MOOK JOSHUA T.	officer	Award / grant	95,122	1,128,925	Form 4
2026-02-11	RAMASAMY GOVINDARAJ	officer	Award / grant	80,488	619,993	Form 4
2026-02-11	KNIGHT ROBERT M JR	director	Award / grant	60,976	375,345	Form 4
2026-02-11	Cubbage Vincent T.	director	Award / grant	60,976	1,092,863	Form 4
2026-02-11	Craig Jeffrey A	director	Award / grant	60,976	402,845	Form 4
2026-02-11	Freeland Richard Joseph	director	Award / grant	60,976	283,774	Form 4
2026-02-11	Gustanski Mary	director	Award / grant	60,976	256,379	Form 4
2026-02-11	Trent Melanie Montague	director	Award / grant	60,976	218,774	Form 4
2026-02-11	Boehm Rodger L	director	Award / grant	60,676	218,474	Form 4
2026-02-11	Standley Greg	officer	Award / grant	46,803	268,691	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i