HWCHancock Whitney Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $74.55 · now $74.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HWC has typically landed between $65.65 and $86.12 — a range of −11.9% to +15.5% from the issuance price $74.55.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($74.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HWC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $74.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$65.65worst · -11.9%$86.12best · +15.5%
  • now $74.55 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $75.45 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.84–$80.05
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $65.65–$86.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−61.1%−61.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−61.0%−61.0%+0.0%
2020-02-18−58.4%−58.4%+1.3%
3 best
2020-05-07+48.4%−15.4%+48.4%
2020-05-15+46.8%+0.0%+68.9%
2020-05-06+45.8%−15.4%+45.8%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.8%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.2%
n=19
Mar
58%
−1.6%
n=19
Apr
42%
+0.8%
n=19
May
68%
+0.7%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.2%
n=19
Jul
68%
+4.2%
n=19
Aug
37%
−0.9%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.4%
n=19
Oct
72%
+2.6%
n=18
Nov
67%
+5.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$80$532026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $381K — Mayfield Emory L Jr2026-07-24: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Achary Michael M2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $28K — PICKERING CHRISTINE L2026-02-10: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — HAIRSTON JOHN M, PICKERING CHRISTINE L2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — HAIRSTON JOHN M2026-01-23: 1 insider sale, $358K — Ziluca Christopher S2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $312K — Liollio Dean2025-10-17: 2 insider sales, $1.7M — HAIRSTON JOHN M, Achary Michael M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $1.7M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $312K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $358K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $4.8M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $28K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1.7M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $381K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Mayfield Emory L Jr — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Achary Michael M — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PICKERING CHRISTINE L — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAIRSTON JOHN M — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same daydirector PICKERING CHRISTINE L — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same daydirector HAIRSTON JOHN M — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ziluca Christopher S — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Liollio Dean — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HAIRSTON JOHN M — Sale on 2025-10-17, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Achary Michael M — Sale on 2025-10-17, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Mayfield Emory L JrofficerSale4,990 @ $76.40$381K−24.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open15,565Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-24Achary Michael MofficerSale22,694 @ $76.18$1.7M−33.9% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open44,160Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-22PICKERING CHRISTINE LdirectorSale417 @ $67.16$28K−1.6% of holding+10.3%not yet — horizon still open25,066Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-10HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorSale26,453 @ $72.81$1.9M−10.5% of holding−9.3%−5.9%226,506Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10PICKERING CHRISTINE LdirectorSale1,082 @ $73.03$79K−4.3% of holding−9.3%−5.9%24,134Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-09HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorSale37,000 @ $74.36$2.8M−12.8% of holding−11.8%−8.2%252,959Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-23Ziluca Christopher SofficerSale5,227 @ $68.57$358K−13.6% of holding+1.0%+6.7%33,301Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-14Liollio DeandirectorSale5,328 @ $58.48$312K−15.2% of holding+11.8%+3.2%29,694Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-17HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorSale21,883 @ $54.65$1.2M−7.5% of holding+1.5%+19.1%271,022Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-17Achary Michael MofficerSale9,894 @ $54.86$543K−15.1% of holding+1.5%+19.1%55,733Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-24Williams Albert JdirectorPurchase23 @ $56.38$1K+1.3% of holding+3.2%+5.5%1,724Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-04-21PICKERING CHRISTINE LdirectorSale838 @ $48.09$40K−3.5% of holding+1.8%−12.1%23,019Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

111 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-29Liollio DeandirectorAward / grant35932,675Form 4
2026-06-29Little Sonya CdirectorAward / grant8919,979Form 4
2026-06-29Wilkins Carleton RicharddirectorAward / grant5419,302Form 4
2026-06-29Perez SoniadirectorAward / grant2113,444Form 4
2026-05-01Davis Stacy JoofficerWithheld for tax833,563Form 4
2026-04-29Williams Albert JdirectorAward / grant1,1872,948Form 4
2026-04-29Feagin Moses HdirectorAward / grant1,1872,937Form 4
2026-04-29Kent Suzette KdirectorAward / grant1,1879,555Form 4
2026-04-29LANE HARRY MERRITT IIIdirectorAward / grant1,18710,398Form 4
2026-04-29Teofilo Joan CahilldirectorAward / grant1,18720,268Form 4
2026-04-29Perez SoniadirectorAward / grant1,18713,349Form 4
2026-04-29Hanna Randall WdirectorAward / grant1,18729,875Form 4
2026-04-29Little Sonya CdirectorAward / grant1,18719,789Form 4
2026-04-29Levens Jerry LdirectorAward / grant1,18725,955Form 4
2026-04-29Liollio DeandirectorAward / grant1,18732,090Form 4
2026-04-29BERTUCCI FRANK EdirectorAward / grant1,18726,644Form 4
2026-04-29PICKERING CHRISTINE LdirectorAward / grant1,18725,483Form 4
2026-04-29Olinde Thomas HdirectorAward / grant1,18746,053Form 4
2026-04-29Wilkins Carleton RicharddirectorAward / grant1,18719,191Form 4
2026-03-26Liollio DeandirectorAward / grant42430,903Form 4
2026-03-26Little Sonya CdirectorAward / grant8618,602Form 4
2026-03-26Wilkins Carleton RicharddirectorAward / grant5318,004Form 4
2026-03-26Perez SoniadirectorAward / grant2312,162Form 4
2026-02-27HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorAward / grant20,429246,935Form 4
2026-02-27Loper D ShaneofficerAward / grant8,493124,274Form 4
2026-02-27Achary Michael MofficerAward / grant5,52566,682Form 4
2026-02-27Ziluca Christopher SofficerAward / grant3,43244,065Form 4
2026-02-27Otero MichaelofficerAward / grant3,14637,958Form 4
2026-02-27Mayfield Emory L JrofficerAward / grant2,20920,555Form 4
2026-02-27Davis Stacy JoofficerAward / grant1,5613,646Form 4
2026-02-27Kuhner Juanita P.officerAward / grant1,5616,051Form 4
2026-02-13Loper D ShaneofficerGift1,163115,781Form 4
2026-02-01HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorAward / grant45,507317,481Form 4
2026-02-01HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorWithheld for tax19,752297,729Form 4
2026-02-01Loper D ShaneofficerAward / grant12,732123,943Form 4
2026-02-01Achary Michael MofficerAward / grant10,36066,170Form 4
2026-02-01HAIRSTON JOHN MdirectorWithheld for tax7,770289,959Form 4
2026-02-01Ziluca Christopher SofficerAward / grant7,70041,001Form 4
2026-02-01Otero MichaelofficerAward / grant4,26736,923Form 4
2026-02-01Loper D ShaneofficerWithheld for tax3,675120,268Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.