HVTHaverty Furniture Companies, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvementas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.29 · now $27.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HVT has typically landed between $23.57 and $31.75 — a range of −13.6% to +16.4% from the issuance price $27.29.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HVT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$23.57worst · -13.6%$31.75best · +16.4%
  • now $27.29 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.15 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.16–$29.15
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.57–$31.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-05−42.0%−42.0%+0.0%
2020-03-04−38.7%−39.5%+0.0%
2020-03-03−37.2%−37.2%+3.8%
3 best
2020-07-28+66.1%+0.0%+68.4%
2020-07-24+63.9%−2.7%+63.9%
2020-07-27+63.8%−1.2%+66.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.7%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.3%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Apr
40%
−1.3%
n=20
May
45%
+0.9%
n=20
Jun
35%
−3.1%
n=20
Jul
55%
+1.9%
n=20
Aug
60%
+5.0%
n=20
Sep
55%
−1.0%
n=20
Oct
35%
−1.8%
n=20
Nov
80%
+7.9%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$29$192026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $591K — SMITH CLARENCE H2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $186K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $58K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $101K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $231K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $345K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $343K — HAVERTY RAWSON JR2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $343K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $576K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $101K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $244K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $591K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SMITH CLARENCE H — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAVERTY RAWSON JR — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorSale20,991 @ $28.16$591K−22.6% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open71,705Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-12HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale7,500 @ $24.86$186K−100.0% of holding+5.6%−12.3%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale2,331 @ $24.90$58K−100.0% of holding+5.3%−12.7%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale4,523 @ $22.42$101K−100.0% of holding+7.1%−10.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale10,003 @ $23.10$231K−68.9% of holding−14.2%−7.5%4,523Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-16HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale14,997 @ $23.02$345K−50.8% of holding−11.0%−5.2%14,526Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-27HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale15,000 @ $22.84$343K−33.7% of holding−4.6%−1.1%29,523Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-17HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale25,000—−84.7% of holding−1.7%+12.2%4,523Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-17HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale25,000—−84.7% of holding−1.7%+12.2%4,523Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-12HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale8,500—−22.4% of holding+0.7%+14.1%29,523Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale8,500—−22.4% of holding+0.7%+14.1%29,523Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-11HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale1,500 @ $20.67$31K−3.8% of holding+6.1%+11.6%38,023Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale3,222 @ $20.49$66K−41.6% of holding−4.8%−0.2%4,523Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale10,000—−100.0% of holding−10.1%−7.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale10,000—−100.0% of holding−10.1%−7.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale16,000—−61.5% of holding−4.1%−1.6%10,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorSale16,000—−61.5% of holding−4.1%−1.6%10,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

161 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11Smith Edward KendrickdirectorAward / grant4,4686,360Form 4
2026-05-11Morhous Natalie BolchdirectorAward / grant4,46812,213Form 4
2026-05-11PALMER VICKI RdirectorAward / grant4,46845,450Form 4
2026-05-11HAVERTY RAWSON JRdirectorAward / grant4,4684,468Form 4
2026-05-11Cote Michael RdirectorAward / grant9,01429,079Form 4
2026-05-11SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorAward / grant4297,299Form 4
2026-05-11DUKES LAURA ALLISONdirectorAward / grant6,88145,529Form 4
2026-05-11Schiller Derek GordondirectorAward / grant5,36319,678Form 4
2026-05-11TRUJILLO ALFREDOdirectorAward / grant8,60274,809Form 4
2026-05-11HOUGH G. THOMASdirectorAward / grant10,27839,291Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorWithheld for tax3,31292,696Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorWithheld for tax2,66422,328Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorWithheld for tax1,95929,482Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerWithheld for tax1,44123,808Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise3,1786,170Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,19528,317Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,18829,505Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,93631,441Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise1,18096,008Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise2,6480Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise2,7952,795Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise1,1802,583Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise8960Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise961962Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise1,4632,841Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise89622,825Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise96123,786Form 4
2026-05-08Gill John LinwoodofficerOption exercise1,46325,249Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise1,41120,399Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise1,41521,814Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise3,17824,992Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise1,4110Form 4
2026-05-08BURDETTE STEVEN GdirectorOption exercise1,4151,414Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,1950Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,1881,188Form 4
2026-05-08Hare Richard BdirectorOption exercise1,9363,757Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise2,64892,033Form 4
2026-05-08SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOption exercise2,79594,828Form 4
2026-03-17SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOther acquisition70089,385Form 4
2026-03-17SMITH CLARENCE HdirectorOther acquisition700125,236Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.