Issued 2026-09-16 at $89.82 · now $89.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HUT has typically landed between $56.65 and $147.19 — a range of −36.9% to +63.9% from the issuance price $89.82.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,122 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-03-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($89.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HUT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $89.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $89.82 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $90.24 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.34–$110.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.65–$147.19
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −68.1% | −68.1% | +0.3% |
| 2020-02-12 | −67.8% | −67.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-14 | −67.4% | −68.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-12-08 | +428.1% | −4.1% | +428.1% |
| 2020-12-14 | +336.2% | +0.0% | +429.9% |
| 2020-12-11 | +335.7% | +0.0% | +450.9% |
2,122 overlapping windows · 2018-03-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Sale | 5,807 @ $78.70 | $457K | −23.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Sale | 638 @ $79.33 | $51K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Semah Victor | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $125.00 | $1.3M | −24.2% of holding | −15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,378 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 4,449 @ $117.69 | $524K | −25.7% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,875 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 2,348 @ $118.76 | $279K | −18.2% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,527 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 914 @ $116.80 | $107K | −5.0% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,324 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 8 @ $119.44 | $956 | −0.1% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,519 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 23,000 @ $115.94 | $2.7M | −47.2% of holding | −17.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,738 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $117.04 | $878K | −29.1% of holding | −17.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,238 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $100.78 | $2.0M | −7.1% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 262,136 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Sale | 17,491 @ $110.00 | $1.9M | −100.0% of holding | +9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Sale | 16,496 @ $105.00 | $1.7M | −48.5% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Semah Victor | officer | Sale | 10,518 @ $76.83 | $808K | −20.3% of holding | +63.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,378 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Semah Victor | officer | Sale | 5,498 @ $49.05 | $270K | −18.1% of holding | +28.3% | +81.9% | 24,796 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Sale | 4,625 @ $49.05 | $227K | −27.7% of holding | +28.3% | +81.9% | 12,068 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-28 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $26.55 | $226K | −46.5% of holding | +28.9% | +92.5% | 9,791 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $26.63 | $40K | −7.6% of holding | +23.2% | +95.3% | 18,291 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Sale | 6,060 @ $22.09 | $134K | −49.0% of holding | +58.3% | +127.3% | 6,295 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-23 | Flinn Joseph | director | Sale | 11,069 @ $15.77 | $175K | −35.9% of holding | +30.6% | +163.6% | 19,791 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-05 | Semah Victor | officer | Sale | 11,363 @ $12.95 | $147K | −41.9% of holding | +27.6% | +309.1% | 15,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Option exercise | 12,355 | 24,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Option exercise | 12,355 | 12,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | TAI WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 4,327 | 4,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Award / grant | 4,595 | 4,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Glennan Sean Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 27,229 | 27,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Semah Victor | officer | Award / grant | 27,229 | 27,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Award / grant | 4,550 | 4,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SHATTUCK MAYO A III | director | Award / grant | 4,773 | 4,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Award / grant | 4,372 | 4,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | ONEAL E STANLEY | director | Award / grant | 4,863 | 4,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | TAI WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SHATTUCK MAYO A III | director | Option exercise | 16,416 | 109,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SHATTUCK MAYO A III | director | Option exercise | 16,416 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 15,947 | 25,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Option exercise | 14,775 | 14,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Option exercise | 14,775 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 23,000 | 48,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | TAI WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 189,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 277,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | ONEAL E STANLEY | director | Option exercise | 15,478 | 50,654 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | ONEAL E STANLEY | director | Option exercise | 15,478 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 15,947 | 25,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 23,000 | 48,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 15,947 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 23,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | ONEAL E STANLEY | director | Option exercise | 15,478 | 50,654 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | ONEAL E STANLEY | director | Option exercise | 15,478 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Option exercise | 14,775 | 14,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rickertsen Rick | director | Option exercise | 14,775 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SHATTUCK MAYO A III | director | Option exercise | 16,416 | 109,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SHATTUCK MAYO A III | director | Option exercise | 16,416 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | TAI WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 189,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | TAI WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 277,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 23,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Flinn Joseph | director | Option exercise | 15,947 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Wilkinson Amy Marie | director | Option exercise | 15,713 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Semah Victor | officer | Option exercise | 27,100 | 27,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Semah Victor | officer | Option exercise | 27,100 | 51,896 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.