HURC · TickerCove

HURCHurco Companies, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.66 · now $22.66 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HURC has typically landed between $19.57 and $25.98 — a range of −13.6% to +14.6% from the issuance price $22.66.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$22.66 · 92% of range

$14.68 low$23.32 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 12.7%

−13.6%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HURC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $22.66 (+0.0%)
typical $22.62 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $21.17–$24.06
90% range $19.57–$25.98

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−47.9%	−47.9%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−45.3%	−45.3%	+0.0%
2009-02-05	−44.3%	−44.3%	+10.8%
3 best
2025-06-09	+50.1%	+0.0%	+55.9%
2008-02-22	+49.8%	+0.0%	+49.8%
2009-03-09	+49.7%	+0.0%	+69.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

80%

+5.5%

n=20

Feb

55%

+1.3%

n=20

Mar

50%

+0.8%

n=20

Apr

35%

+2.1%

n=20

May

40%

−3.5%

n=20

Jun

60%

+1.5%

n=20

Jul

35%

+0.9%

n=20

Aug

40%

−1.7%

n=20

Sep

70%

+2.6%

n=20

Oct

65%

+0.8%

n=20

Nov

40%

−2.0%

n=20

Dec

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-12-01	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Purchase	300 @ $16.00	$5K	ownership Δ n/a	−1.2%	−4.6%	300	Form 4 · filed 80 days after the trade
2025-09-03	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Purchase	600 @ $16.50	$10K	ownership Δ n/a	+3.3%	−6.4%	600	Form 4 · filed 169 days after the trade
2025-09-03	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Purchase	550 @ $16.50	$9K	+1.5% of holding	+3.3%	−6.4%	37,199	Form 4 · filed 169 days after the trade
2025-07-02	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $20.50	$20K	+0.4% of holding	−4.9%	−33.2%	226,460	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-02	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $20.38	$20K	+0.4% of holding	−4.9%	−33.2%	224,460	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-02	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $20.31	$20K	+0.4% of holding	−4.9%	−33.2%	225,460	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-27	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $18.50	$37K	+0.9% of holding	+3.2%	−30.0%	223,460	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-24	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $15.99	$32K	+0.9% of holding	+19.0%	−18.1%	221,460	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-24	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Purchase	700 @ $15.75	$11K	ownership Δ n/a	+19.0%	−18.1%	700	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-23	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $15.80	$32K	+0.9% of holding	+16.4%	−19.6%	219,460	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-23	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $15.68	$31K	+0.9% of holding	+16.4%	−19.6%	217,460	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Purchase	409 @ $14.50	$6K	+4.1% of holding	+25.3%	−13.0%	10,379	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-13	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Purchase	211 @ $14.40	$3K	+2.0% of holding	+25.3%	−13.0%	10,590	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-12	Porter Richard R.	director	Purchase	500 @ $14.71	$7K	+2.6% of holding	+24.4%	−14.1%	19,864	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-28	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,000 @ $15.51	$47K	−0.4% of holding	+1.5%	−9.2%	760,582	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,000 @ $15.51	$47K	−0.4% of holding	+4.6%	−6.6%	763,582	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-26	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,000 @ $15.50	$47K	−0.4% of holding	+1.5%	−4.1%	766,582	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-25	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,000 @ $15.56	$47K	−0.4% of holding	+1.6%	−2.8%	769,582	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,000 @ $15.78	$47K	−0.4% of holding	+0.8%	−7.4%	772,582	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,395 @ $22.62	$77K	−0.4% of holding	−20.8%	−23.2%	775,582	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-14	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,093 @ $22.60	$70K	−0.4% of holding	−22.0%	−24.8%	778,977	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-13	Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	4,510 @ $22.63	$102K	−0.6% of holding	−21.6%	−25.0%	782,070	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-12	GARDNER TIMOTHY J	director	Award / grant	5,432	28,216	Form 4
2026-03-12	Keyler Lawrence	director	Award / grant	5,432	5,432	Form 4
2026-03-12	Porter Richard R.	director	Award / grant	5,432	25,296	Form 4
2026-03-12	Rashleger Benjamin	director	Award / grant	5,432	10,410	Form 4
2026-03-12	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Award / grant	5,432	42,631	Form 4
2026-03-12	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Award / grant	5,432	222,614	Form 4
2026-03-12	Dubin Cynthia S	director	Award / grant	5,432	25,049	Form 4
2026-01-07	Volovic Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	2,725	161,277	Form 4
2026-01-07	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Withheld for tax	2,147	217,182	Form 4
2026-01-07	McClelland Sonja K	director	Withheld for tax	1,873	117,525	Form 4
2026-01-07	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Withheld for tax	528	15,190	Form 4
2026-01-07	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Withheld for tax	510	15,369	Form 4
2026-01-06	Volovic Gregory S	director	Award / grant	34,530	164,002	Form 4
2026-01-06	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Award / grant	5,718	15,718	Form 4
2026-01-06	McClelland Sonja K	director	Award / grant	20,718	119,398	Form 4
2026-01-06	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Award / grant	5,525	15,879	Form 4
2026-01-04	Volovic Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	1,630	129,472	Form 4
2026-01-04	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Withheld for tax	1,173	219,329	Form 4
2026-01-04	McClelland Sonja K	director	Withheld for tax	978	98,680	Form 4
2026-01-04	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Withheld for tax	195	10,000	Form 4
2026-01-04	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Withheld for tax	130	10,354	Form 4
2026-01-03	Volovic Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	1,331	131,102	Form 4
2026-01-03	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Withheld for tax	958	220,502	Form 4
2026-01-03	McClelland Sonja K	director	Withheld for tax	799	99,658	Form 4
2026-01-03	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Withheld for tax	106	10,195	Form 4
2026-01-03	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Withheld for tax	106	10,484	Form 4
2025-12-11	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Gift	5,000	221,460	Form 4
2025-03-13	Longbottom Jay C.	director	Award / grant	4,978	25,392	Form 4
2025-03-13	GARDNER TIMOTHY J	director	Award / grant	4,978	22,784	Form 4
2025-03-13	Rashleger Benjamin	director	Award / grant	4,978	4,978	Form 4
2025-03-13	Dubin Cynthia S	director	Award / grant	4,978	19,617	Form 4
2025-03-13	Sivanesan Janaki	director	Award / grant	4,978	36,649	Form 4
2025-03-13	Porter Richard R.	director	Award / grant	4,978	19,364	Form 4
2025-01-07	Volovic Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	2,373	124,958	Form 4
2025-01-07	DOAR MICHAEL	director	Withheld for tax	2,136	215,460	Form 4
2025-01-07	McClelland Sonja K	director	Withheld for tax	1,833	100,457	Form 4
2025-01-07	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Withheld for tax	298	10,301	Form 4
2025-01-07	Jamison HaiQuynh	officer	Withheld for tax	295	9,970	Form 4
2025-01-07	McClelland Sonja K	director	Award / grant	23,497	102,290	Form 4
2025-01-07	Wright Jonathon D.	officer	Award / grant	5,563	10,599	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i