HUN · TickerCove

HUNHuntsman CorporationBasic Materials · Chemicalsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.19 · now $9.19 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HUN has typically landed between $7.61 and $10.66 — a range of −17.2% to +16.0% from the issuance price $9.19.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.19) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$9.19 · 22% of range

$7.27 low$15.89 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.0%

typical move · IQR 13.0%

−17.2%worst (p90)+16.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HUN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.19 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $9.19 (+0.0%)
typical $9.1 (-1.0%)
middle 50% $8.5–$9.69
90% range $7.61–$10.66

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-11-13	−68.4%	−68.4%	+0.0%
2008-11-14	−67.6%	−67.6%	+0.0%
2008-11-17	−63.5%	−65.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06	+79.0%	+0.0%	+79.0%
2009-03-05	+76.5%	+0.0%	+76.5%
2008-09-29	+74.9%	+0.0%	+84.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Feb

65%

+4.7%

n=20

Mar

45%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

60%

+5.1%

n=20

May

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Jun

30%

−5.5%

n=20

Jul

70%

+4.6%

n=20

Aug

40%

+0.4%

n=20

Sep

50%

−3.2%

n=20

Oct

55%

+5.4%

n=20

Nov

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Dec

50%

−1.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-03	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	100,000 @ $9.81	$981K	+1.4% of holding	−6.8%	not yet — horizon still open	7,256,341	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10	Lister Philip M.	officer	Purchase	29,762 @ $8.15	$243K	+34.1% of holding	+27.7%	+66.7%	116,914	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	23,000 @ $11.20	$258K	+0.3% of holding	−5.3%	−49.7%	6,600,227	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	22,000 @ $11.17	$246K	+0.3% of holding	−5.3%	−49.7%	6,577,227	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	42,000 @ $11.74	$493K	+0.6% of holding	−6.8%	−49.8%	6,555,227	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $15.73	$236K	+0.2% of holding	+0.0%	−42.3%	6,513,227	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03	Huntsman Peter R	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $16.50	$248K	+0.2% of holding	+1.3%	−39.1%	6,498,227	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

123 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-31	Buberl Jan	officer	Withheld for tax	422	55,791	Form 4
2026-06-02	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Withheld for tax	883	177,944	Form 4
2026-02-13	Huntsman Peter R	director	Withheld for tax	21,662	7,175,525	Form 4
2026-02-13	Huntsman Peter R	director	Withheld for tax	19,184	7,156,341	Form 4
2026-02-13	Huntsman Peter R	director	Withheld for tax	16,804	7,197,187	Form 4
2026-02-13	Lister Philip M.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,706	129,256	Form 4
2026-02-13	Lister Philip M.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,375	132,962	Form 4
2026-02-13	Rogers Robert Wade	officer	Withheld for tax	2,329	541,391	Form 4
2026-02-13	Wright Scott J	officer	Withheld for tax	2,096	194,167	Form 4
2026-02-13	Lister Philip M.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,579	135,337	Form 4
2026-02-13	Buberl Jan	officer	Withheld for tax	1,514	56,213	Form 4
2026-02-13	Rogers Robert Wade	officer	Withheld for tax	1,417	543,720	Form 4
2026-02-13	Benko Brittany	officer	Withheld for tax	1,281	77,466	Form 4
2026-02-13	Wright Scott J	officer	Withheld for tax	1,250	196,263	Form 4
2026-02-13	Rogers Robert Wade	officer	Withheld for tax	1,109	545,137	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Withheld for tax	932	178,827	Form 4
2026-02-13	Benko Brittany	officer	Withheld for tax	909	78,747	Form 4
2026-02-13	Wright Scott J	officer	Withheld for tax	843	197,513	Form 4
2026-02-13	Benko Brittany	officer	Withheld for tax	630	79,656	Form 4
2026-02-13	Jorgensen Steven C.	officer	Withheld for tax	583	41,929	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Withheld for tax	579	176,618	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Withheld for tax	449	175,247	Form 4
2026-02-13	Buberl Jan	officer	Withheld for tax	414	57,727	Form 4
2026-02-13	Jorgensen Steven C.	officer	Withheld for tax	414	42,512	Form 4
2026-02-13	Jorgensen Steven C.	officer	Withheld for tax	321	42,926	Form 4
2026-02-13	Buberl Jan	officer	Withheld for tax	321	58,141	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	3,141	6,282	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,950	1,950	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,513	0	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,513	175,696	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,950	177,197	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	3,141	179,759	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,950	177,197	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	1,513	175,696	Form 4
2026-02-13	Hansen Steen Weien	officer	Option exercise	3,141	179,759	Form 4
2026-02-12	Huntsman Peter R	director	Award / grant	372,268	7,213,991	Form 4
2026-02-12	Buberl Jan	officer	Award / grant	28,259	58,462	Form 4
2026-02-12	ESPELAND CURTIS E	director	Award / grant	12,434	52,279	Form 4
2026-02-12	Egan Cynthia	director	Award / grant	12,434	12,434	Form 4
2026-02-12	Rogers Robert Wade	officer	Award / grant	37,679	546,246	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i