Issued 2026-09-16 at $236.46 · now $236.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HUBS has typically landed between $180.12 and $292.29 — a range of −23.8% to +23.6% from the issuance price $236.46.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,980 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-10-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($236.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HUBS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $236.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $236.46 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $236.88 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $214.23–$259.53
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $180.12–$292.29
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,980 windows spanning 2014-10-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2016-01-08 | −47.7% | −47.7% | +2.4% |
| 2020-02-18 | −46.8% | −46.8% | +0.8% |
| 2016-01-11 | −46.1% | −49.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-02-09 | +63.8% | +0.0% | +63.8% |
| 2016-02-10 | +57.4% | +0.0% | +57.4% |
| 2016-02-08 | +53.8% | −5.1% | +55.3% |
2,980 overlapping windows · 2014-10-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+0.5%
n=12
Feb
75%
+8.9%
n=12
Mar
33%
−5.3%
n=12
Apr
50%
+2.8%
n=12
May
58%
+6.5%
n=12
Jun
33%
−2.1%
n=12
Jul
75%
+6.2%
n=12
Aug
75%
+5.7%
n=12
Sep
33%
−3.6%
n=12
Oct
64%
+2.0%
n=11
Nov
58%
+5.3%
n=12
Dec
50%
−1.0%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $219.50 | $1.9M | −10.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 76,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Dischler Gerald | director | Purchase | 925 @ $215.93 | $200K | +91.1% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,940 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-04 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Sale | 702 @ $235.22 | $165K | −4.6% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,581 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $221.09 | $1.9M | −9.1% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $184.42 | $1.6M | −8.3% of holding | +23.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $220.00 | $1.9M | −2.3% of holding | −17.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 353,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $181.37 | $1.8M | +0.8% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,295,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Rangan Yamini | director | Purchase | 2,750 @ $189.84 | $522K | +2.7% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 102,982 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | NORRINGTON LORRIE M | director | Purchase | 1,313 @ $190.42 | $250K | +86.1% of holding | +2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,838 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Sale | 915 @ $236.66 | $217K | −5.3% of holding | −15.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,292 @ $230.72 | $1.9M | −2.2% of holding | −17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 362,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $262.75 | $2.2M | −2.2% of holding | −20.9% | −24.0% | 370,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,261 @ $253.00 | $2.1M | −1.7% of holding | +9.1% | −21.5% | 481,168 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Sale | 841 @ $238.01 | $200K | −7.7% of holding | +23.6% | −29.6% | 10,119 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Sale | 589 @ $251.88 | $148K | −5.1% of holding | +20.1% | −10.2% | 10,960 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $303.38 | $2.6M | −1.7% of holding | −22.5% | −43.7% | 487,344 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $366.99 | $3.1M | −1.7% of holding | −18.0% | −63.4% | 496,308 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $368.11 | $3.1M | −1.7% of holding | +3.4% | −59.3% | 504,966 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 235 @ $493.30 | $116K | −0.0% of holding | −24.3% | −60.5% | 513,466 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-21 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,265 @ $446.98 | $3.7M | −1.6% of holding | −23.0% | −61.2% | 513,466 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 2,387 @ $500.00 | $1.2M | −4.1% of holding | +1.3% | −54.2% | 56,277 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 615 @ $500.00 | $308K | −1.6% of holding | +1.3% | −54.2% | 38,794 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $506.52 | $4.3M | −1.6% of holding | −12.4% | −48.6% | 522,185 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 1,733 @ $501.57 | $869K | −0.1% of holding | −12.3% | −53.0% | 1,272,672 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $500.19 | $700K | −0.1% of holding | −12.3% | −53.0% | 1,274,405 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 1,006 @ $502.63 | $506K | −0.1% of holding | −12.3% | −53.0% | 1,271,666 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 608 @ $503.25 | $306K | −0.0% of holding | −12.3% | −53.0% | 1,271,058 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 14,971 @ $500.51 | $7.5M | −1.2% of holding | −13.1% | −50.9% | 1,278,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 1,482 @ $501.39 | $743K | −0.1% of holding | −13.1% | −50.9% | 1,276,605 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 800 @ $502.17 | $402K | −0.1% of holding | −13.1% | −50.9% | 1,275,805 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 477 @ $500.00 | $239K | −0.8% of holding | −13.1% | −50.9% | 62,291 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 119 @ $500.00 | $60K | −0.3% of holding | −13.1% | −50.9% | 40,563 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $449.84 | $3.8M | −1.6% of holding | +12.3% | −53.6% | 522,435 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-15 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $543.07 | $4.6M | −1.6% of holding | −20.9% | −44.3% | 522,435 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 2,383 @ $551.79 | $1.3M | −3.6% of holding | −8.9% | −37.0% | 63,918 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 615 @ $551.79 | $339K | −1.5% of holding | −8.9% | −37.0% | 41,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $548.03 | $4.7M | −1.6% of holding | −7.6% | −47.5% | 523,984 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 477 @ $593.48 | $283K | −0.7% of holding | −11.8% | −52.8% | 70,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 136 @ $600.00 | $82K | −0.2% of holding | −11.8% | −52.8% | 69,935 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 119 @ $600.00 | $71K | −0.3% of holding | −11.8% | −52.8% | 42,855 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 120 @ $593.48 | $71K | −0.3% of holding | −11.8% | −52.8% | 42,974 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $645.54 | $5.5M | −1.6% of holding | −17.2% | −54.6% | 525,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 2,709 @ $650.03 | $1.8M | −5.9% of holding | −16.4% | −55.6% | 43,464 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 680 @ $600.00 | $408K | −0.9% of holding | −3.5% | −44.3% | 71,693 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-15 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $538.60 | $4.6M | −1.6% of holding | +11.5% | −43.0% | 525,687 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 2,382 @ $573.92 | $1.4M | −3.2% of holding | +6.8% | −44.2% | 72,373 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $607.48 | $5.2M | −1.6% of holding | −2.8% | −33.2% | 527,233 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 3,242 @ $681.02 | $2.2M | −4.0% of holding | −16.7% | −45.5% | 78,389 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $810.00 | $6.9M | −1.6% of holding | −17.5% | −50.1% | 524,751 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $789.81 | $2.4M | −6.7% of holding | −18.5% | −50.9% | 41,613 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Rangan Yamini | director | Sale | 3,057 @ $701.59 | $2.1M | −5.4% of holding | +8.9% | −26.3% | 54,079 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Sale | 1,796 @ $701.59 | $1.3M | −4.5% of holding | +8.9% | −26.3% | 38,560 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | NORRINGTON LORRIE M | director | Sale | 572 @ $721.60 | $413K | −33.7% of holding | +7.3% | −27.8% | 1,125 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-20 | NORRINGTON LORRIE M | director | Sale | 572 @ $690.00 | $395K | −25.2% of holding | −1.8% | −27.9% | 1,697 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Halligan Brian | director | Sale | 8,500 @ $729.65 | $6.2M | −1.6% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 513,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 4,131 @ $741.23 | $3.1M | −0.3% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 1,277,428 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 3,670 @ $740.33 | $2.7M | −0.3% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 1,281,559 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 3,436 @ $739.29 | $2.5M | −0.3% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 1,285,229 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 3,095 @ $737.05 | $2.3M | −0.2% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 1,291,267 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Sale | 2,602 @ $738.26 | $1.9M | −0.2% of holding | −2.2% | −27.9% | 1,288,665 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
167 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Rangan Yamini | director | Withheld for tax | 2,622 | 101,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Withheld for tax | 1,077 | 55,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Withheld for tax | 578 | 1,293,809 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Withheld for tax | 322 | 14,259 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Halligan Brian | director | Withheld for tax | 158 | 354,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Dischler Gerald | director | Award / grant | 1,015 | 1,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Withheld for tax | 728 | 15,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Rangan Yamini | director | Withheld for tax | 2,139 | 103,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Withheld for tax | 781 | 56,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Withheld for tax | 436 | 1,294,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Halligan Brian | director | Withheld for tax | 371 | 354,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Ward Jill A | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 6,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Halligan Brian | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 354,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Simons Jay | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 8,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Johnson Claire D'Oyly-Hughes | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | NORRINGTON LORRIE M | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 4,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Anagnost Andrew | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 2,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | BERRY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 1,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Shih Clara | director | Award / grant | 1,211 | 1,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Rangan Yamini | director | Withheld for tax | 2,622 | 105,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Withheld for tax | 1,076 | 57,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Withheld for tax | 577 | 1,294,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Withheld for tax | 259 | 16,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Halligan Brian | director | Withheld for tax | 157 | 353,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Withheld for tax | 514 | 17,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Rangan Yamini | director | Withheld for tax | 2,139 | 97,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Withheld for tax | 780 | 58,138 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Withheld for tax | 381 | 1,285,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Halligan Brian | director | Withheld for tax | 266 | 370,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | BERRY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 170 | 170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Halligan Brian | director | Gift | 27 | 379,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Halligan Brian | director | Gift | 27 | 102,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Halligan Brian | director | Gift | 101,973 | 101,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Halligan Brian | director | Gift | 101,973 | 379,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Rangan Yamini | director | Withheld for tax | 1,016 | 61,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Withheld for tax | 404 | 42,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Shah Dharmesh | director | Withheld for tax | 155 | 1,277,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Halligan Brian | director | Withheld for tax | 110 | 481,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | FISHER ERIKA ASHLEY | officer | Award / grant | 7,580 | 17,699 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bueker Kathryn | director | Award / grant | 16,676 | 58,918 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.