HUBGHub Group, Inc.Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logisticsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.12 · now $33.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HUBG has typically landed between $28.15 and $38.91 — a range of −15.0% to +17.5% from the issuance price $33.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HUBG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$28.15worst · -15.0%$38.91best · +17.5%
  • now $33.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $33.21 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.98–$35.43
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.15–$38.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-06−35.6%−37.5%+0.0%
2009-02-09−35.4%−35.7%+0.0%
2008-09-26−35.3%−35.3%+0.0%
3 best
2008-01-11+47.5%+0.0%+47.5%
2008-01-17+42.0%+0.0%+45.2%
2008-01-14+41.8%−2.3%+41.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+0.8%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.9%
n=20
Mar
45%
−1.3%
n=20
Apr
50%
+2.8%
n=20
May
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.8%
n=20
Jul
70%
+2.3%
n=20
Aug
50%
−1.5%
n=20
Sep
30%
−3.1%
n=20
Oct
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Nov
75%
+4.4%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$52$332025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Yeager Phillip D2025-12-11: 1 insider purchase, $200K — Yablon Gary2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $200K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Yeager Phillip D — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Yablon Gary — Purchase on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-11Yeager Phillip DdirectorSale32,000 @ $43.68$1.4M−16.0% of holding+6.3%−5.1%168,315Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Yablon GarydirectorPurchase4,566 @ $43.73$200K+16.2% of holding+6.3%−5.1%32,778Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

72 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-01Mathews Dennis P.officerWithheld for tax1119,516Form 4
2026-01-02Yeager Phillip DdirectorWithheld for tax30,104138,211Form 4
2026-01-02YEAGER DAVID PdirectorWithheld for tax28,609349,111Form 4
2026-01-02LaFrance Thomas P.officerWithheld for tax8,39828,181Form 4
2026-01-02Bansal DhruvofficerWithheld for tax8,28722,598Form 4
2026-01-02Beth KevinofficerWithheld for tax6,99959,991Form 4
2026-01-02Meents BrianofficerWithheld for tax6,68719,961Form 4
2026-01-02Boosalis Mary HdirectorWithheld for tax1,69549,055Form 4
2026-01-02MCNITT PETERdirectorWithheld for tax1,69544,853Form 4
2026-01-02SLARK MARTIN PdirectorWithheld for tax1,695238,371Form 4
2026-01-02Kenny James C.directorWithheld for tax1,69556,675Form 4
2026-01-02Ross JenelldirectorWithheld for tax1,69523,395Form 4
2026-01-02Mathews Dennis P.officerWithheld for tax1075,029Form 4
2026-01-02FLANNERY MICHAEL EdirectorAward / grant4,67921,321Form 4
2026-01-02Meents BrianofficerAward / grant10,06830,029Form 4
2026-01-02Meents BrianofficerAward / grant10,52740,566Form 4
2026-01-02Mathews Dennis P.officerAward / grant4,6799,708Form 4
2026-01-02MCNITT PETERdirectorAward / grant4,67949,532Form 4
2026-01-02Kenny James C.directorAward / grant4,67961,354Form 4
2026-01-02SLARK MARTIN PdirectorAward / grant4,679243,050Form 4
2026-01-02Yeager Phillip DdirectorAward / grant43,275225,834Form 4
2026-01-02Ross JenelldirectorAward / grant4,67928,074Form 4
2026-01-02Yablon GarydirectorAward / grant4,67937,457Form 4
2026-01-02Yeager Phillip DdirectorAward / grant44,348182,559Form 4
2026-01-02Bansal DhruvofficerAward / grant13,84036,438Form 4
2026-01-02YEAGER DAVID PdirectorAward / grant19,884410,039Form 4
2026-01-02Bansal DhruvofficerAward / grant10,52746,965Form 4
2026-01-02YEAGER DAVID PdirectorAward / grant41,044390,155Form 4
2026-01-02Beth KevinofficerAward / grant10,06870,059Form 4
2026-01-02Beth KevinofficerAward / grant11,69681,755Form 4
2026-01-02Boosalis Mary HdirectorAward / grant4,67953,734Form 4
2026-01-02LaFrance Thomas P.officerAward / grant13,84042,021Form 4
2025-11-18Yeager Phillip DdirectorGift2,780200,315Form 4
2025-10-24Bansal DhruvofficerWithheld for tax22930,885Form 4
2025-10-24Mathews Dennis P.officerAward / grant2,8085,136Form 4
2025-04-01Rhodes Brent MichaelofficerWithheld for tax2838,431Form 4
2025-02-11YEAGER DAVID PdirectorGift1,225377,720Form 4
2025-01-03YEAGER DAVID PdirectorWithheld for tax12,691330,483Form 4
2025-01-03Yeager Phillip DdirectorWithheld for tax9,040144,264Form 4
2025-01-03Beth KevinofficerWithheld for tax2,21553,819Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.