HUBBHubbell IncorporatedIndustrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $439.07 · now $439.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HUBB has typically landed between $394.13 and $496.66 — a range of −10.2% to +13.1% from the issuance price $439.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($439.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HUBB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $439.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$394.13worst · -10.2%$496.66best · +13.1%
  • now $439.07 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $447.82 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $421.79–$473.85
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $394.13–$496.66
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−39.6%−39.6%+0.0%
2020-02-20−33.7%−33.7%+0.0%
2020-02-18−33.4%−33.4%+0.6%
3 best
2020-03-23+36.0%+0.0%+43.5%
2009-07-09+28.4%+0.0%+28.4%
2009-04-08+28.0%+0.0%+28.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$25.7B
market cap
$16.93
EPS (TTM)
28.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$5.8B
'20'25
Net income$887M
'20'25
Free cash flow$875M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr15.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr23.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.68
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $439.07$426.20$612.87
  • DCF (intrinsic)$519.38
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$518.96
  • Analyst target · range $503.00–$600.00$557.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$439.07

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.6%
n=18
Feb
63%
+2.8%
n=19
Mar
58%
+0.4%
n=19
Apr
53%
+1.7%
n=19
May
42%
+0.1%
n=19
Jun
37%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
68%
+5.2%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.2%
n=19
Oct
72%
+2.9%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.1%
n=18
Dec
78%
+1.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$556$4042026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $284K — DEL NERO JONATHAN M.2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Mikes Mark Eugene2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $3.5M — LANE KATHERINE ANNE, DEL NERO JONATHAN M.2026-02-06: 13 insider sales, $13.2M — BAKKER GERBEN, FLYNN ALYSSA R …2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $187K — MALLOY JOHN F.2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Mikes Mark Eugene2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $946K — FLYNN ALYSSA R2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $187K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-02: 16 open-market sales, $18.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer DEL NERO JONATHAN M. — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mikes Mark Eugene — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LANE KATHERINE ANNE — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer DEL NERO JONATHAN M. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer FLYNN ALYSSA R — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer FLYNN ALYSSA R — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAKKER GERBEN — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MALLOY JOHN F. — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mikes Mark Eugene — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer FLYNN ALYSSA R — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerSale547 @ $518.56$284K−15.7% of holding−11.3%not yet — horizon still open2,933Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Mikes Mark EugeneofficerSale2,601 @ $523.73$1.4M−50.1% of holding−5.5%−20.2%2,592Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09LANE KATHERINE ANNEofficerSale4,610 @ $505.60$2.3M−23.6% of holding−2.8%−8.4%14,913Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerSale2,245 @ $500.60$1.1M−44.8% of holding−2.8%−8.4%2,769Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale3,897 @ $498.61$1.9M−4.9% of holding−2.9%−11.7%75,717Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale3,691 @ $497.48$1.8M−4.4% of holding−2.9%−11.7%79,614Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale3,453 @ $496.50$1.7M−4.0% of holding−2.9%−11.7%83,305Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale2,985 @ $499.49$1.5M−3.9% of holding−2.9%−11.7%72,732Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale2,729 @ $502.91$1.4M−3.9% of holding−2.9%−11.7%67,360Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale2,643 @ $500.71$1.3M−3.6% of holding−2.9%−11.7%70,089Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale2,195 @ $495.51$1.1M−2.5% of holding−2.9%−11.7%86,758Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale1,919 @ $501.60$963K−2.8% of holding−2.9%−11.7%65,441Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale871 @ $503.38$438K−1.3% of holding−2.9%−11.7%64,570Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerSale867 @ $497.10$431K−22.0% of holding−2.9%−11.7%3,072Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale700 @ $494.22$346K−0.8% of holding−2.9%−11.7%88,953Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerSale361 @ $497.23$179K−11.8% of holding−2.9%−11.7%2,711Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale150 @ $503.43$76K−0.2% of holding−2.9%−11.7%64,420Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-17MALLOY JOHN F.directorPurchase435 @ $429.24$187K+2.3% of holding+1.6%−1.2%19,085Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05Mikes Mark EugeneofficerSale2,470 @ $466.50$1.2M−34.0% of holding−6.8%−3.6%4,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerSale2,011 @ $470.32$946K−38.3% of holding−8.0%+0.1%3,243Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-21CARDOSO CARLOS M.directorSale400 @ $386.29$155K−18.8% of holding+0.4%−3.9%1,727Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14BAKKER GERBENdirectorSale7,723 @ $384.63$3.0M−8.6% of holding−2.2%+1.2%82,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-20FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerSale1,164 @ $389.06$453K−21.2% of holding−5.5%+5.8%4,327Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-10MALLOY JOHN F.directorPurchase461 @ $446.96$206K+2.5% of holding−3.0%−13.9%18,628Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

187 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Guzzi AnthonydirectorAward / grant7733,719Form 4
2026-08-14LIND BONNIE CRUICKSHANKdirectorAward / grant662,962Form 4
2026-08-14KEATING NEAL J.directorAward / grant327,934Form 4
2026-07-06Gumbs GregoryofficerWithheld for tax4152,952Form 4
2026-07-06Mikes Mark EugeneofficerWithheld for tax2073,239Form 4
2026-05-15Guzzi AnthonydirectorAward / grant8033,545Form 4
2026-05-15LIND BONNIE CRUICKSHANKdirectorAward / grant682,888Form 4
2026-05-15KEATING NEAL J.directorAward / grant337,880Form 4
2026-05-05BAKKER GERBENdirectorWithheld for tax2,67979,081Form 4
2026-05-05LANE KATHERINE ANNEofficerWithheld for tax45617,310Form 4
2026-05-05FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerWithheld for tax2524,224Form 4
2026-05-05Mikes Mark EugeneofficerWithheld for tax1883,446Form 4
2026-05-05Capozzoli Joseph AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax986,625Form 4
2026-05-05DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerWithheld for tax733,480Form 4
2026-05-05LANE KATHERINE ANNEofficerAward / grant98417,766Form 4
2026-05-05DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerAward / grant2323,553Form 4
2026-05-05Dial Debra L.directorAward / grant3411,223Form 4
2026-05-05FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerAward / grant5434,476Form 4
2026-05-05BAKKER GERBENdirectorAward / grant5,78181,760Form 4
2026-05-05Baine Edward HdirectorAward / grant341341Form 4
2026-05-05CARDOSO CARLOS M.directorAward / grant3412,068Form 4
2026-05-05Mikes Mark EugeneofficerAward / grant4143,634Form 4
2026-05-05Pollino JenniferdirectorAward / grant341341Form 4
2026-05-05KEATING NEAL J.directorAward / grant34115,599Form 4
2026-05-05LIND BONNIE CRUICKSHANKdirectorAward / grant3415,722Form 4
2026-05-05MALLOY JOHN F.directorAward / grant34119,426Form 4
2026-05-05Rochow Garrick JdirectorAward / grant3411,155Form 4
2026-05-05Guzzi AnthonydirectorAward / grant34115,599Form 4
2026-05-05HERNANDEZ RHETT ANTHONYdirectorAward / grant3413,227Form 4
2026-05-05Capozzoli Joseph AnthonyofficerAward / grant3106,723Form 4
2026-02-17Gumbs GregoryofficerAward / grant6283,367Form 4
2026-02-17Gumbs GregoryofficerAward / grant2,5632,563Form 4
2026-02-17Mikes Mark EugeneofficerAward / grant6283,220Form 4
2026-02-17Mikes Mark EugeneofficerAward / grant2,5632,563Form 4
2026-02-17FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerAward / grant1,9711,971Form 4
2026-02-17FLYNN ALYSSA RofficerAward / grant4833,933Form 4
2026-02-17DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerAward / grant1643,321Form 4
2026-02-17DEL NERO JONATHAN M.officerAward / grant670670Form 4
2026-02-17Capozzoli Joseph AnthonyofficerAward / grant5316,396Form 4
2026-02-17Capozzoli Joseph AnthonyofficerAward / grant2,1692,169Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-16$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-17$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-09$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-04$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-03$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-07-072026-06-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-13$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-29$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-14$15–50K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-21$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-28$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.