HTO · TickerCove

HTOH2O AmericaUtilities · Regulated Wateras of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $63.14 · now $63.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HTO has typically landed between $57.55 and $69.86 — a range of −8.9% to +10.6% from the issuance price $63.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($63.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$63.14 · 92% of range

$43.43 low$64.97 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 8.5%

−8.9%worst (p90)+10.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HTO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $63.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $63.14 (+0.0%)
typical $63.01 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $60.31–$65.71
90% range $57.55–$69.86

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-02-05	−32.6%	−32.6%	+3.9%
2020-02-21	−31.0%	−31.0%	+0.0%
2009-02-09	−30.7%	−33.1%	+3.1%
3 best
2009-03-11	+36.9%	+0.0%	+38.1%
2009-03-05	+36.1%	−4.9%	+36.1%
2009-03-09	+34.4%	+0.0%	+43.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−2.0%

n=20

Feb

45%

−2.0%

n=20

Mar

55%

+2.0%

n=20

Apr

45%

−1.0%

n=20

May

55%

−0.5%

n=20

Jun

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Jul

55%

+1.4%

n=20

Aug

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.5%

n=20

Oct

55%

+3.5%

n=20

Nov

65%

+2.0%

n=20

Dec

70%

+3.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-07	ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	2,784 @ $62.03	$173K	+0.1% of holding	−2.9%	not yet — horizon still open	4,615,265	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01	ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	2,132 @ $60.76	$130K	+0.0% of holding	+0.8%	not yet — horizon still open	4,612,481	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01	ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,686 @ $60.73	$102K	−0.0% of holding	+0.8%	not yet — horizon still open	4,610,349	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-10	GIP ATLAS Holdings Ltd	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	50,385 @ $59.06	$3.0M	+1.1% of holding	−11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	4,582,469	Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade
2026-04-10	ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	50,385 @ $59.06	$3.0M	+1.1% of holding	−11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	4,582,469	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-13	Walters Andrew F	director	Sale	2,100 @ $47.22	$99K	−8.0% of holding	+1.7%	+10.5%	24,192	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-30	Mattern Megan	officer	Withheld for tax	1,154	13,631	Form 4
2026-07-01	Walters Andrew F	director	Disposition	374	26,461	Form 4
2026-07-01	Kelly Ann P	officer	Withheld for tax	88	9,976	Form 4
2026-06-05	Walters Andrew F	director	Gift	3,508	26,835	Form 4
2026-06-02	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	0	18,160	Form 4
2026-06-02	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	0	18,160	Form 4
2026-05-13	Guardino Carl	director	Award / grant	1,947	9,139	Form 4
2026-05-13	HANLEY MARY ANN	director	Award / grant	1,947	11,583	Form 4
2026-05-13	More Daniel B.	director	Award / grant	1,947	1,947	Form 4
2026-05-13	Heather Hunt	director	Award / grant	1,947	11,238	Form 4
2026-05-13	KLEIN REBECCA A	director	Award / grant	1,947	9,208	Form 4
2026-05-13	KRUGER DENISE L	director	Award / grant	1,947	6,923	Form 4
2026-05-13	Rowe Nick Orlando	director	Award / grant	1,947	2,452	Form 4
2026-05-13	WALLACE CAROL P	director	Award / grant	1,947	11,238	Form 4
2026-03-02	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	145	18,021	Form 4
2026-03-02	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	145	18,021	Form 4
2026-03-01	Rowe Nick Orlando	director	Award / grant	505	505	Form 4
2026-02-27	Walters Andrew F	director	Withheld for tax	605	30,343	Form 4
2026-02-27	Brown Willie D. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	521	13,554	Form 4
2026-02-27	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	470	14,565	Form 4
2026-02-27	Hauk Bruce A	officer	Withheld for tax	378	16,616	Form 4
2026-02-27	Hauk Bruce A	officer	Award / grant	2,743	15,491	Form 4
2026-02-27	Walters Andrew F	director	Award / grant	5,950	29,244	Form 4
2026-02-27	Walters Andrew F	director	Award / grant	1,704	30,948	Form 4
2026-02-27	Hauk Bruce A	officer	Award / grant	1,503	16,994	Form 4
2026-02-27	Kelly Ann P	officer	Award / grant	1,707	10,064	Form 4
2026-02-27	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	1,312	13,772	Form 4
2026-02-27	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Award / grant	1,263	15,035	Form 4
2026-02-27	Mattern Megan	officer	Award / grant	2,166	14,785	Form 4
2026-02-27	Brown Willie D. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	1,384	12,812	Form 4
2026-02-27	Brown Willie D. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	1,263	14,075	Form 4
2026-01-03	Walters Andrew F	director	Withheld for tax	216	23,294	Form 4
2026-01-03	Brown Willie D. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	178	11,428	Form 4
2026-01-03	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	160	12,460	Form 4
2026-01-03	Hauk Bruce A	officer	Withheld for tax	152	12,748	Form 4
2026-01-02	Hauk Bruce A	officer	Withheld for tax	873	12,900	Form 4
2026-01-02	Walters Andrew F	director	Withheld for tax	682	23,510	Form 4
2026-01-02	Brown Willie D. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	565	11,606	Form 4
2026-01-02	Johnson A Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	514	12,620	Form 4
2026-01-02	Kelly Ann P	officer	Withheld for tax	200	8,357	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i