HTFL · TickerCove

HTFLHeartflow, Inc. Common StockHealthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.30 · now $48.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HTFL has typically landed between $34.48 and $66.90 — a range of −28.6% to +38.5% from the issuance price $48.30.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

257 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-08-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$48.3 · 93% of range

$20.49 low$50.43 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+3.1%

typical move · IQR 26.7%

−28.6%worst (p90)+38.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HTFL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $48.3 (+0.0%)
typical $49.78 (+3.1%)
middle 50% $43.33–$56.23
90% range $34.48–$66.9

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 257 windows spanning 2025-08-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-14	−40.9%	−40.9%	+6.2%
2026-01-15	−38.3%	−42.8%	+2.9%
2026-01-16	−36.3%	−44.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-24	+108.1%	+0.0%	+108.1%
2026-07-23	+102.2%	−2.0%	+102.2%
2026-07-31	+99.7%	+0.0%	+99.7%

257 overlapping windows · 2025-08-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+2.5%

n=1

Feb

−22.5%

n=1

Mar

100%

+5.1%

n=1

Apr

100%

+22.3%

n=1

May

100%

+4.1%

n=1

Jun

−5.3%

n=1

Jul

−14.0%

n=1

Aug

100%

+99.7%

n=1

Sep

50%

+1.4%

n=2

Oct

100%

+10.4%

n=1

Nov

−13.2%

n=1

Dec

−9.6%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	668 @ $50.01	$33K	−0.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	179,528	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-14	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	4,593 @ $50.24	$231K	−2.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	180,196	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-11	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	29,714 @ $50.06	$1.5M	−13.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	184,789	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	3,890 @ $50.00	$195K	−1.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	321,914	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	35,010 @ $46.42	$1.6M	−9.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	325,804	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-08	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	6,640 @ $50.03	$332K	−3.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	214,503	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-03	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	27,540 @ $49.69	$1.4M	−11.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	221,143	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02	Verghese Vikram	officer	Sale	5,876 @ $50.60	$297K	−2.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	248,683	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-21	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	27,230 @ $50.00	$1.4M	−7.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	360,814	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-18	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	32,676 @ $45.00	$1.5M	−7.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	388,044	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	9,219 @ $41.23	$380K	−9.6% of holding	+17.6%	not yet — horizon still open	86,459	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	15,560 @ $39.06	$608K	−3.6% of holding	+17.3%	not yet — horizon still open	420,720	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $28.31	$639K	−4.9% of holding	+60.4%	not yet — horizon still open	436,280	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-15	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	9,219 @ $25.72	$237K	−9.4% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	88,731	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $27.75	$626K	−4.9% of holding	+7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	435,373	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-24	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	38,900 @ $35.00	$1.4M	−7.8% of holding	−31.7%	not yet — horizon still open	457,935	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $28.50	$643K	−4.3% of holding	−14.6%	not yet — horizon still open	496,835	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	9,219 @ $28.34	$261K	−10.5% of holding	+27.7%	not yet — horizon still open	78,731	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $29.12	$657K	−4.2% of holding	+2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	519,397	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-30	Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	892,533 @ $29.18	$26.0M	−9.5% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	8,504,382	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30	Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	56,224 @ $30.05	$1.7M	−0.7% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	8,448,158	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-29	Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	797,133 @ $29.37	$23.4M	−7.8% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	9,396,915	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28	Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	254,110 @ $30.51	$7.8M	−2.4% of holding	−2.2%	not yet — horizon still open	10,194,048	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $26.72	$603K	−3.9% of holding	+0.2%	not yet — horizon still open	549,163	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	64,533 @ $24.64	$1.6M	−44.3% of holding	+7.0%	not yet — horizon still open	81,002	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-19	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	64,533 @ $25.69	$1.7M	−45.1% of holding	+13.5%	not yet — horizon still open	78,518	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-18	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	9,725 @ $25.00	$243K	−1.7% of holding	+15.4%	not yet — horizon still open	571,725	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	12,837 @ $22.66	$291K	−2.2% of holding	+19.2%	+93.4%	581,450	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-05	Cullivan Julie A	director	Sale	9,122 @ $25.00	$228K	−25.1% of holding	+7.4%	+85.9%	27,291	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12	Rogers Campbell	officer	Sale	65,153 @ $24.49	$1.6M	−46.1% of holding	−4.9%	+72.5%	76,034	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-10	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Sale	22,562 @ $27.46	$620K	−3.7% of holding	−20.1%	−2.9%	591,656	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05	Cullivan Julie A	director	Sale	8,000 @ $27.32	$219K	−18.0% of holding	−10.9%	−3.8%	36,413	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04	Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	2,000,000 @ $28.05	$56.1M	−16.1% of holding	−16.3%	−16.0%	10,448,158	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-16	Lightcap Jeffrey C	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $26.34	$1.1M	ownership Δ n/a	+38.2%	+16.2%	40,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

266 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	9,219	95,678	Form 4
2026-08-17	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	9,219	82,972	Form 4
2026-08-07	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Withheld for tax	1,904	458,842	Form 4
2026-08-07	Rogers Campbell	officer	Withheld for tax	637	86,459	Form 4
2026-08-07	Verghese Vikram	officer	Withheld for tax	473	254,559	Form 4
2026-08-07	Jones Marie L.	officer	Withheld for tax	82	32,176	Form 4
2026-08-06	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Withheld for tax	5,847	460,746	Form 4
2026-08-06	Rogers Campbell	officer	Withheld for tax	1,635	87,096	Form 4
2026-08-06	Verghese Vikram	officer	Withheld for tax	1,537	255,032	Form 4
2026-08-06	Jones Marie L.	officer	Withheld for tax	486	32,258	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	9,737	466,593	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	18,694	456,856	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	2,789	438,162	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	2,789	65,703	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	18,694	1,984,637	Form 4
2026-07-30	Farquhar John C.M.	director	Option exercise	9,737	182,043	Form 4
2026-07-27	Verghese Vikram	officer	Option exercise	22,522	255,898	Form 4
2026-07-27	Verghese Vikram	officer	Option exercise	22,522	66,588	Form 4
2026-07-24	Lightcap Jeffrey C	director	Option exercise	47,420	293,681	Form 4
2026-07-24	Lightcap Jeffrey C	director	Option exercise	47,420	0	Form 4
2026-07-22	BARABE TIMOTHY C	director	Option exercise	3,710	188,231	Form 4
2026-07-22	BARABE TIMOTHY C	director	Option exercise	3,710	15,000	Form 4
2026-07-21	Verghese Vikram	officer	Option exercise	22,522	233,376	Form 4
2026-07-21	Verghese Vikram	officer	Option exercise	22,522	89,110	Form 4
2026-07-17	BARABE TIMOTHY C	director	Option exercise	5,000	184,521	Form 4
2026-07-17	BARABE TIMOTHY C	director	Option exercise	5,000	18,710	Form 4
2026-07-15	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	9,219	97,950	Form 4
2026-07-15	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	9,219	92,191	Form 4
2026-07-08	WELDON WILLIAM C	director	Option exercise	17,123	209,685	Form 4
2026-07-08	WELDON WILLIAM C	director	Option exercise	17,123	226,808	Form 4
2026-07-08	WELDON WILLIAM C	director	Option exercise	17,123	243,931	Form 4
2026-07-08	WELDON WILLIAM C	director	Option exercise	17,123	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cullivan Julie A	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-16	WELDON WILLIAM C	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lightcap Jeffrey C	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-16	Riley Wayne Joseph	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-16	Tansey Casey M	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-16	BARABE TIMOTHY C	director	Award / grant	16,075	16,075	Form 4
2026-06-15	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	10,000	88,731	Form 4
2026-06-15	Rogers Campbell	officer	Option exercise	10,000	71,633	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i