HSICHenry Schein, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Distributionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $86.77 · now $86.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HSIC has typically landed between $77.78 and $97.00 — a range of −10.4% to +11.8% from the issuance price $86.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($86.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HSIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $86.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$77.78worst · -10.4%$97best · +11.8%
  • now $86.77 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $86.7 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $82.65–$90.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $77.78–$97
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−36.1%−36.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−34.7%−34.7%+0.0%
2020-02-19−32.4%−32.4%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-06+24.9%−3.0%+24.9%
2020-05-07+24.3%−5.1%+24.3%
2020-05-01+21.2%−2.0%+21.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$9.7B
market cap
$3.31
EPS (TTM)
25.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$13.2B
'20'25
Net income$398M
'20'25
Free cash flow$573M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr3.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.14
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $86.77$61.12$102.88
  • DCF (intrinsic)$76.57
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$90.83
  • Analyst target · range $64.00–$100.00$86.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$86.77

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+3.4%
n=18
Feb
63%
+0.8%
n=19
Mar
63%
+0.3%
n=19
Apr
53%
+0.6%
n=19
May
74%
+2.0%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.4%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.5%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.1%
n=19
Oct
39%
−0.8%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.5%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$91$622026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $692K — DANIEL WILLIAM K2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $99K — Popeck Thomas C2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $225K — KUEHN KURT P2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $229K — LASKAWY PHILIP A2026-03-04: 2 insider sales, $479K — MLOTEK MARK E …2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $3.6M — BERGMAN STANLEY M …2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $876K — BERGMAN STANLEY M2026-02-26: 2 insider sales, $3.1M — BERGMAN STANLEY M …2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $671K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $4.0M2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $4.6M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $692K↑ buys↓ salesdirector DANIEL WILLIAM K — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Popeck Thomas C — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KUEHN KURT P — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LASKAWY PHILIP A — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MLOTEK MARK E — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MLOTEK MARK E — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BERGMAN STANLEY M — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BERGMAN STANLEY M — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BERGMAN STANLEY M — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed same daydirector BERGMAN STANLEY M — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BERGMAN STANLEY M — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11DANIEL WILLIAM KdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $69.19$692K+100.0% of holding+16.2%not yet — horizon still open20,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19Popeck Thomas CofficerSale1,355 @ $72.79$99K−1.5% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open86,182Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10KUEHN KURT PdirectorSale2,844 @ $78.96$225K−15.6% of holding−1.6%+2.1%15,420Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05LASKAWY PHILIP AdirectorSale2,844 @ $80.36$229K−11.5% of holding−3.6%−0.7%21,961Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04MLOTEK MARK EdirectorSale4,100 @ $80.80$331K−4.7% of holding−4.2%−0.1%82,379Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04MLOTEK MARK EdirectorSale1,825 @ $80.81$147K−2.2% of holding−4.2%−0.1%80,554Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorSale23,858 @ $81.31$1.9M−5.6% of holding−4.4%−2.0%403,757Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorSale19,954 @ $81.31$1.6M−4.9% of holding−4.4%−2.0%383,803Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorSale10,785 @ $81.20$876K−3.4% of holding−4.1%−4.1%309,092Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-26BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorSale31,134 @ $80.90$2.5M−6.7% of holding−3.7%−1.6%434,827Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorSale7,212 @ $81.51$588K−1.7% of holding−3.7%−1.6%427,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07DANIEL WILLIAM KdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $67.08$671Kownership Δ n/a+0.2%+11.1%10,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-19Connett Bradford CofficerSale4,036 @ $71.15$287K−6.0% of holding−1.7%−20.7%62,688Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19LASKAWY PHILIP AdirectorSale2,604 @ $71.04$185K−9.5% of holding−1.7%−20.7%24,805Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05KUEHN KURT PdirectorSale2,787 @ $71.55$199K−15.1% of holding+0.9%−17.1%15,687Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

185 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Albertini AndreaofficerWithheld for tax603120,088Form 4
2026-09-08Albertini AndreaofficerDisposition3,984116,104Form 4
2026-06-12DANIEL WILLIAM KdirectorAward / grant2,2157,641Form 4
2026-05-21BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorGift50253,279Form 4
2026-05-19BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorGift1,040253,329Form 4
2026-03-17Ettinger Michael SofficerGift1,000112,208Form 4
2026-03-16MLOTEK MARK EdirectorWithheld for tax5,92898,372Form 4
2026-03-16South Ronald N.officerWithheld for tax5,21688,930Form 4
2026-03-16Ettinger Michael SofficerWithheld for tax4,214113,208Form 4
2026-03-16Albertini AndreaofficerWithheld for tax1,401120,691Form 4
2026-03-16Popeck Thomas CofficerWithheld for tax58787,537Form 4
2026-03-16Sheehy Christine ZayacofficerWithheld for tax46318,454Form 4
2026-03-16BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorWithheld for tax50254,369Form 4
2026-03-16Ettinger Michael SofficerGift1,300117,422Form 4
2026-03-16BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorGift400254,419Form 4
2026-03-12BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorGift970254,819Form 4
2026-03-06Popeck Thomas CofficerAward / grant53,20688,124Form 4
2026-03-06Sheehy Christine ZayacofficerAward / grant7,08718,917Form 4
2026-03-06South Ronald N.officerAward / grant20,29694,146Form 4
2026-03-06Ettinger Michael SofficerAward / grant27,061118,722Form 4
2026-03-06MLOTEK MARK EdirectorGift30077,239Form 4
2026-03-06MLOTEK MARK EdirectorAward / grant27,061104,300Form 4
2026-03-06Albertini AndreaofficerAward / grant60,631122,092Form 4
2026-03-06Faig Carole TdirectorAward / grant2,5778,025Form 4
2026-03-06Serota Scott PhilipdirectorAward / grant2,57710,790Form 4
2026-03-06KUEHN KURT PdirectorAward / grant2,57718,264Form 4
2026-03-06BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorOther acquisition3,812379,991Form 4
2026-03-06BERGMAN STANLEY MdirectorAward / grant2,577255,789Form 4
2026-03-06LASKAWY PHILIP AdirectorAward / grant2,57724,538Form 4
2026-03-06SHEARES BRADLEY TdirectorAward / grant2,57747,623Form 4
2026-03-06DANIEL WILLIAM KdirectorAward / grant2,5775,426Form 4
2026-03-06HERRING JOSEPH LdirectorAward / grant2,57730,325Form 4
2026-03-06DERBY DEBORAHdirectorAward / grant2,57715,093Form 4
2026-03-06Tuckson Reed VaughndirectorAward / grant2,57712,520Form 4
2026-03-06HOMBACH ROBERT J.directorAward / grant2,5775,421Form 4
2026-03-06ALI MOHAMADdirectorAward / grant2,57715,075Form 4
2026-03-06Margulies Anne H.directorAward / grant2,57723,153Form 4
2026-03-06MLOTEK MARK EdirectorGift30077,539Form 4
2026-03-06Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant177,116177,116Form 4
2026-03-06Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant64,43395,156Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2026-02-112026-01-09$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-21$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-21$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-04-102025-03-06$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-04-072025-03-31$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-12-052024-11-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-09-162024-08-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.