Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.30 · now $2.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HSDT has typically landed between $1.08 and $3.18 — a range of −53.1% to +38.3% from the issuance price $2.30.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,045 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-06-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HSDT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.3 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.97 (-14.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.59–$2.35
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.08–$3.18
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-05-30 | −95.2% | −95.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-29 | −95.1% | −95.1% | +16.8% |
| 2025-05-28 | −94.9% | −94.9% | +14.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-19 | +277.6% | −8.0% | +277.6% |
| 2025-08-15 | +277.3% | −2.5% | +277.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | +270.9% | −2.3% | +270.9% |
3,045 overlapping windows · 2014-06-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Tjandrasuwita Agustina Gani | officer | Award / grant | 88,817 | 88,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Chee Choon Wee | director | Award / grant | 923,000 | 923,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Jiang Cosmo Yi | director | Withheld for tax | 610 | 1,004,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Jiang Cosmo Yi | director | Option exercise | 1,005,040 | 1,005,040 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Jiang Cosmo Yi | director | Option exercise | 1,005,040 | 1,005,040 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | STRAW EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 6,360 | 8,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | STRAW EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 18,564 | 18,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 18,564 | 18,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 6,360 | 8,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Lee Michel Kai Tai | director | Award / grant | 6,360 | 6,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Lee Michel Kai Tai | director | Award / grant | 18,564 | 18,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Mello Sergio | director | Award / grant | 6,360 | 6,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Mello Sergio | director | Award / grant | 18,564 | 18,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Chee Choon Wee | director | Option exercise | 1,109,118 | 1,109,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Summer Wisdom Holdings Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 1,453,277 | 5,377,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fusion Summer Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 1,453,277 | 5,377,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Chee Choon Wee | director | Option exercise | 1,109,118 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 23,529 | 23,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 2,180 | 95,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | STRAW EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 2,180 | 92,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | STRAW EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 23,529 | 23,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | BUCKMAN PAUL | director | Award / grant | 2,180 | 92,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | BUCKMAN PAUL | director | Award / grant | 23,529 | 23,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Perkins Sherrie L | director | Award / grant | 2,180 | 92,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Perkins Sherrie L | director | Award / grant | 23,529 | 23,529 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | Jiang Cosmo Yi | director | Award / grant | 1,005,040 | 1,005,040 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | Chee Choon Wee | director | Award / grant | 2,218,236 | 2,218,236 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | MATHIESEN JEFFREY S | director | Award / grant | 26,200 | 26,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Favit-Van Pelt Antonella R. | officer | Award / grant | 17,500 | 17,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | ANDREEFF DANE | director | Award / grant | 52,400 | 52,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | BUCKMAN PAUL | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 2,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Perkins Sherrie L | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 2,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 2,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | STRAW EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 10,732 | 10,732 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Favit-Van Pelt Antonella R. | officer | Award / grant | 95,892 | 95,892 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Walter Blane | director | Award / grant | 10,732 | 10,732 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | ANDREEFF DANE | director | Award / grant | 279,715 | 279,715 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | BUCKMAN PAUL | director | Award / grant | 10,732 | 10,732 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | MATHIESEN JEFFREY S | director | Award / grant | 139,857 | 139,857 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Perkins Sherrie L | director | Award / grant | 10,732 | 10,732 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.